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Latin America Publications

Below is a list of our Latin America Publications for the last 5 months. If you are looking for reports older than 5 months please email info@pantheonmacro.com, or contact your account rep

Please use the filters on the right to search for a specific date or topic.

Chartbook Datanotes Weekly Monitor

PM Datanote: BCCh Rate Decision, Chile, 2025

  • In one line: BCCh holds fire, flags sticky core inflation and need for more data before resuming cuts.

PM Datanote: CPI, Mexico, August, 2025

  • In one line: Headline inflation eases, but core remains sticky.

8 September 2025 LatAm Monitor Mexico's economy holds steady, but capex weakness and trade risks persist

  • Mexico’s economy is showing modest resilience, supported by manufacturing and services.
  • Consumption is underpinned by wages and remittances, but capex is weakening amid trade tensions.
  • Brazil’s trade surplus is holding up, but industry is deteriorating due to US tariffs and tight policy.

PM Datanote: GDP, Second Quarter, Brazil, 2025

  • In one line: Growth slows as capex falls, but services hold up. 

2 September 2025 LatAm Monitor Brazil's growth slows as disinflation advances amid tariffs and fiscal noise

  • Inflation in Brazil eased to 5.0% in August, helped by falling food prices and stronger BRL support.
  • GDP growth slowed sharply in Q2, as earlier momentum in agriculture, industry and services faded.
  • US tariffs and widening external deficits remain risks, keeping the COPOM cautious and Selic rate at 15%.

PM Datanote: Retail Sales, Brazil, June, 2025

  • In one line: Sales stumble again as financial headwinds intensify.

11 August 2025 LatAm Monitor Banxico slows pace of easing as core inflation pressures persist

  • Banxico opted for a smaller rate cut, balancing better headline inflation against sticky core pressures.
  • Its updated forecasts show headline inflation easing but core elevated, delaying convergence to target.
  • The more gradual 25bp pace is likely to continue, with data-dependency guiding further cuts in 2025.

PM Datanote: Economic activity index, Chile, June, 2025

  • In one line: Mining volatility drags on Q2, but growth outlook holds firm.

4 August 2025 LatAm Monitor Tariff reprieve to lift Mexico's GDP, but recovery remains delicate

  • Mexico’s industrial and service sectors rebounded in Q2, offsetting weak agriculture.
  • The US tariff extension brings near-term relief, supporting manufacturing, exports and capex.
  • Domestic policy volatility, weak sentiment and a real wage slowdown still weigh on broader momentum.

July 2025 - Latin America Chartbook

LATAM RECOVERY REMAINS UNEVEN AMID POLICY AND RISK…

  • …DISINFLATION IS PROGRESSING, BUT GROWTH REMAINS FRAGILE

PM Datanote: Unemployment rate, Brazil, June, 2025

  • In one line: Labour market still strong, but momentum set to fade.

28 July 2025 LatAm Monitor Brazil's inflation plateaus as demand softens and disinflation forces build

  • Headline inflation is stabilising in Brazil, but services remain sticky amid wage pressures.
  • A stronger BRL and falling input prices are helping, but tariff noise and politics cloud the outlook.
  • PMIs signal weakening activity; firms are cutting back on hiring and capex as confidence deteriorates.

PM Datanote: Bi-weekly CPI, Mexico, July, 2025

  • In one line: Core inflation softens, allowing further monetary policy normalisation.
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Keywords for: Latin America

Latin America Document Vault, independent macro research, Pantheon Macro, Pantheon Macroeconomics, independent research, ian shepherdson, economic intelligence,