Latin America Publications
Below is a list of our Latin America Publications for the last 6 months. If you are looking for reports older than 6 months please email info@pantheonmacro.com, or contact your account rep
Please use the filters on the right to search for a specific date or topic.
Andrés Abadía (Chief LatAm Economist)
- Mexico’s disinflation is continuing, despite recent upside surprises due to temporary seasonal factors.
- Core inflation is still falling, opening the door to rate cuts as the economy struggles.
- The outlook is benign thanks to the MXN, but key threats remain, particularly on the policy front.
Andrés Abadía (Chief LatAm Economist)Latin America
- Brazilian Real — Fundamentals supportive
- Mexican Peso — All good here, at least in the near term
- Argentinian Peso — Milei’s moment is here
Andrés Abadía (Chief LatAm Economist)Latin America
- In one line: Surprisingly resilient, but high interest rates are now a drag.
Andrés Abadía (Chief LatAm Economist)Latin America
- Brazil’s economy dodged a contraction in Q3, despite the drag from rising real interest rates.
- Solid private consumption, for now, and resilient exports are overshadowing the capex recession.
- The outlook is deteriorating, as rates continue to stifle economic activity, but 2024 will be better.
Andrés Abadía (Chief LatAm Economist)Latin America
- In one line: A poor start to Q4, due chiefly to plunging mining activity.
Andrés Abadía (Chief LatAm Economist)Latin America
- Chile’s sub-par economic recovery continued in October, with the non-mining sector a key driver.
- The near-term outlook is benign, but indicators point to difficult times for capex further out.
- Peru’s disinflation gathered speed in November, opening the door to bolder rate cuts this month.
Andrés Abadía (Chief LatAm Economist)Latin America
- Brazil’s unemployment fell in October to recent cyclical lows, but the good news won’t continue.
- Mexico’s job market remains resilient, buoying Banxico’s hawks, but the current strength can’t last.
- In Chile and Colombia, the job market also looks solid, but this is a lagging indicator; it will slow soon.
Andrés Abadía (Chief LatAm Economist)Latin America