Pantheon Macroeconomics

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Key Issues

Trade

8 June 2021 German Manufacturing was Soft in April; Spain was Much Better

Yesterday's main economic reports point to mixed conditions in euro area manufacturing at the start of Q2.

Claus Vistesen (Chief Eurozone Economist)8th Jun 2021 00:20Eurozone

8 June 2021 China is Exposed to a Double Whammy Against Exports

It's now widely appreciated that Chinese exports are exposed, as the global economy switches lanes to services, from manufacturing.

Freya Beamish (Chief Asia Economist)8th Jun 2021 00:10China+

7 June 2021 Having Your Cake and Eating it as the Household Savings Rate Falls

China is at a critical point in the recovery. The economy is switching lanes from the supply-led, export-supported manufacturing surge to consumer and services drivers.

Freya Beamish (Chief Asia Economist)7th Jun 2021 00:10China+

4 June 2021 The EZ Services Sector is Now Stretching its Legs

If the PMIs are right, services activity in the Eurozone rebounded strongly midway through the second quarter, as virus restrictions were eased.

Claus Vistesen (Chief Eurozone Economist)4th Jun 2021 00:10Eurozone

4 June 2021 Did the U.S. Stimulus Give the Trade Cycle a Final Boost in May

Chinese exports have recovered much more quickly than elsewhere, thanks in large part to the still strong command element of the economy. 

Freya Beamish (Chief Asia Economist)4th Jun 2021 00:00China+

3 June 2021 The Stage is Set for a Decent Rebound in Swiss GDP in Q2

In this Monitor, we are introducing our coverage of the Swiss economy, with a look at the recent Q1 GDP numbers, and an outlook for the rest of the year.

Claus Vistesen (Chief Eurozone Economist)3rd Jun 2021 00:10Eurozone

2 June 2021 Bottlenecks are Biting in the North East Asian Supply Chain

China's PMIs strongly suggest that supply-side bottlenecks, if anything, are worsening.

Freya Beamish (Chief Asia Economist)2nd Jun 2021 00:00China+

1 June 2021 The PMI Suggests PPI Inflation Likely Jumped Again in May

China's official manufacturing PMI was little changed at 51.0 in May, after April's 51.1, with the index remaining oblivious to U.S. stimulus efforts and in recent months.

Freya Beamish (Chief Asia Economist)1st Jun 2021 00:10China+

28 May 2021 Italian Economy is Roaring Back to Life, but We're Still Cautious

Italian Economy is Roaring Back to Life, but We're Still Cautious

Claus Vistesen (Chief Eurozone Economist)28th May 2021 00:10Eurozone

24 May 2021 China's Reopening Story Remains in Tact Despite Slow M1 Growth

China's Reopening Story Remains in Tact Despite Slow M1 Growth

Freya Beamish (Chief Asia Economist)24th May 2021 00:10China+

6 May 2021 The PBoC's Digital Yuan is Just Another Way of Keeping Control

The PBoC's Digital Yuan is Just Another Way of Keeping Control

Freya Beamish (Chief Asia Economist)6th May 2021 00:00China+

28 Apr 2021 Inflation is Beside the Point for the BoJ, Global Yields will Dictate Policy

Inflation is Beside the Point for the BoJ, Global Yields will Dictate Policy

Freya Beamish (Chief Asia Economist)28th Apr 2021 00:00China+

26 Apr 2021 BoJ Forecasts are Due an Upgrade; Lowballing is the Order of the Day

BoJ Forecasts are Due an Upgrade; Lowballing is the Order of the Day

Freya Beamish (Chief Asia Economist)26th Apr 2021 00:10China+

21 Apr 2021 Fiscal Stimulus in the EZ is no Match for the Splurge in the U.S.

Fiscal Stimulus in the EZ is no Match for the Splurge in the U.S.

Claus Vistesen (Chief Eurozone Economist)21st Apr 2021 00:10Eurozone

20 Apr 2021 EZ Construction Flat-lined in Q4 and Q1, but Q2 Should b e Better

EZ Construction Flat-lined in Q4 and Q1, but Q2 Should b e Better

Claus Vistesen (Chief Eurozone Economist)20th Apr 2021 00:20Eurozone

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