Pantheon Macroeconomics

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Key Issues

Housing Supply

14 June 2021 We're Betting on a Further Fall in EZ Unemployment in H2

In any given quarter, the change in the unemployment rate can be derived by the difference between the change in employment and the change in the size of the labour force as a...

Claus Vistesen (Chief Eurozone Economist)14th Jun 2021 00:20Eurozone

11 June 2021 If the ECB's New Forecasts are Right, PEPP will be Axed in Q4

The ECB conformed to our expectations yesterday, guiding markets towards unchanged and ample accommodation through Q3.

Claus Vistesen (Chief Eurozone Economist)11th Jun 2021 00:10Eurozone

11 June 2021 Monetary Conditions Finally Look to be Stabilising

The PBoC has had its foot off the brake for most of this year so far, following tightening through the second half of 2020, culminating in its efforts to shake out speculative...

Freya Beamish (Chief Asia Economist)11th Jun 2021 00:00China+

9 June 2021 Consumers will have to Step up to Deliver a Solid Q2 in the Eurozone

Data yesterday showed that the euro area economy did better than initially estimated at the start of the year, contrary to our expectations, though the main story didn't change.

Claus Vistesen (Chief Eurozone Economist)9th Jun 2021 00:10Eurozone

8 June 2021 German Manufacturing was Soft in April; Spain was Much Better

Yesterday's main economic reports point to mixed conditions in euro area manufacturing at the start of Q2.

Claus Vistesen (Chief Eurozone Economist)8th Jun 2021 00:20Eurozone

8 June 2021 China is Exposed to a Double Whammy Against Exports

It's now widely appreciated that Chinese exports are exposed, as the global economy switches lanes to services, from manufacturing.

Freya Beamish (Chief Asia Economist)8th Jun 2021 00:10China+

4 June 2021 The EZ Services Sector is Now Stretching its Legs

If the PMIs are right, services activity in the Eurozone rebounded strongly midway through the second quarter, as virus restrictions were eased.

Claus Vistesen (Chief Eurozone Economist)4th Jun 2021 00:10Eurozone

3 June 2021 The Stage is Set for a Decent Rebound in Swiss GDP in Q2

In this Monitor, we are introducing our coverage of the Swiss economy, with a look at the recent Q1 GDP numbers, and an outlook for the rest of the year.

Claus Vistesen (Chief Eurozone Economist)3rd Jun 2021 00:10Eurozone

2 June 2021 The Rise in EZ Headline Inflation is Over, for a Brief Moment

Inflation in the euro area increased further midway through the second quarter. 

Claus Vistesen (Chief Eurozone Economist)2nd Jun 2021 00:10Eurozone

2 June 2021 Bottlenecks are Biting in the North East Asian Supply Chain

China's PMIs strongly suggest that supply-side bottlenecks, if anything, are worsening.

Freya Beamish (Chief Asia Economist)2nd Jun 2021 00:00China+

24 May 2021 China's Reopening Story Remains in Tact Despite Slow M1 Growth

China's Reopening Story Remains in Tact Despite Slow M1 Growth

Freya Beamish (Chief Asia Economist)24th May 2021 00:10China+

18 May 2021 Industry and Capex are Losing Steam, the Retail Wobble is Nothing

Industry and Capex are Losing Steam, the Retail Wobble is Nothing

Freya Beamish (Chief Asia Economist)18th May 2021 00:10China+

13 May 2021 Volatility will Cloud the Reopening Rebound in the EZ Core CPI, If Any

Volatility will Cloud the Reopening Rebound in the EZ Core CPI, If Any

Claus Vistesen (Chief Eurozone Economist)13th May 2021 00:10Eurozone

12 May 2021 Are Chinese Firms Running out of Cash to Support Commodities

Are Chinese Firms Running out of Cash to Support Commodities

Freya Beamish (Chief Asia Economist)12th May 2021 00:00China+

10 May 2021 Exports are Softening, but a More Serious Correction is in the Cards

Exports are Softening, but a More Serious Correction is in the Cards

Freya Beamish (Chief Asia Economist)10th May 2021 00:10China+

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