Pantheon Macroeconomics

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Greece Equities

29 July 2021 EZ Equity Investors Can't Look to the Macro Data for Help in H2

The macro-fundamentals are starting to turn against equities, but the policy put is alive and well. Even if EZ equity earnings rise by 40% over the next year, as analysts...

Claus Vistesen (Chief Eurozone Economist)Eurozone

29 June 2021 Who's Afraid of the Taper? Not Many it Seems, for Now

From an immunological perspective, variant risk is assessed on a spectrum--no variant is either completely resistant or susceptible to the vaccines--but for markets it is...

Claus Vistesen (Chief Eurozone Economist)Eurozone

7 Jan 2021 Will the Post-Brexit Deal Recovery in U.K. Equity Prices Gather Steam?

The last-minute trade deal signed with the E.U. has put a spring in the s tep of U.K. equities.

Samuel Tombs (UK Economist)U.K.

12 Nov 2020 Virus Cases are Now Falling, but Q4 GDP Won't be Pretty

In our last two Monitors we painted the picture of a bright world in which Covid-19 is swiftly vanquished by a vaccine next year. In this Monitor, we'll plant our feet back on...

Claus Vistesen (Chief Eurozone Economist)Eurozone

10 Nov 2020 Is this the Beginning of the End of the Covid-19 Nightmare?

Yesterday's news that Pfizer's Covid-19 vaccine has a 90% effectiveness against the virus is unequivocally good news for the EZ economy, even if its positive impact...

Claus Vistesen (Chief Eurozone Economist)Eurozone

5 Nov 2020 Eurozone GDP will Decline in Q4, but by How Much

Normally, we wouldn't pin our story on the fact that the PMIs are signalling a risk of outright contraction in the economy, but on this occasion we think the surveys are on...

Claus Vistesen (Chief Eurozone Economist)Eurozone

27 Oct 2020 Controlling the Virus will Cost EZ Q4 GDP Growth Dearly

On a headline level, yesterday's IFO in Germany confirmed the main message from last week's PMIs.

Claus Vistesen (Chief Eurozone Economist)Eurozone

26 Oct 2020 EZ Q4 GDP Growth Forecasts Fall, the Only Question is, How Much?

The headline EZ data added to the evidence of a weakening recovery while we were away.

Claus Vistesen (Chief Eurozone Economist)Eurozone

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