Pantheon Macroeconomics

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Key Issues

France

14 June 2021 We're Betting on a Further Fall in EZ Unemployment in H2

In any given quarter, the change in the unemployment rate can be derived by the difference between the change in employment and the change in the size of the labour force as a...

Claus Vistesen (Chief Eurozone Economist)14th Jun 2021 00:20Eurozone

7 June 2021 Don't Despair over Poor EZ Retail Sales at the Start of Q2

For forecasters, including us, pinning their hopes on a reopening-rebound in EZ Q2 GDP, chiefly thanks to rising consumers' spending, Friday's data were a slap in the face. 

Claus Vistesen (Chief Eurozone Economist)7th Jun 2021 00:20Eurozone

4 June 2021 The EZ Services Sector is Now Stretching its Legs

If the PMIs are right, services activity in the Eurozone rebounded strongly midway through the second quarter, as virus restrictions were eased.

Claus Vistesen (Chief Eurozone Economist)4th Jun 2021 00:10Eurozone

2 June 2021 The Rise in EZ Headline Inflation is Over, for a Brief Moment

Inflation in the euro area increased further midway through the second quarter. 

Claus Vistesen (Chief Eurozone Economist)2nd Jun 2021 00:10Eurozone

1 June 2021 EZ Consumers' Spending, Ex-Services, Softened at the Start of Q2

Friday's headline data in the French economy weren't pretty. First, the third and final Q1 GDP estimate was revised down by 0.5pp, to -0.1% quarter-on-quarter, indicating that the...

Claus Vistesen (Chief Eurozone Economist)1st Jun 2021 00:20Eurozone

27 May 2021 The Recovery in France has Begun, but Q2 will be Pedestrian

Yesterday's INSEE surveys in France complemented the upbeat IFO in Germany earlier in the week

Claus Vistesen (Chief Eurozone Economist)26th May 2021 17:30Eurozone

21 May 2021 The Euro Glut is Alive and Well, in Fact, it Has Rarely Been Bigger

The Euro Glut is Alive and Well, in Fact, it Has Rarely Been Bigger

Claus Vistesen (Chief Eurozone Economist)21st May 2021 00:20Eurozone

13 May 2021 Volatility will Cloud the Reopening Rebound in the EZ Core CPI, If Any

Volatility will Cloud the Reopening Rebound in the EZ Core CPI, If Any

Claus Vistesen (Chief Eurozone Economist)13th May 2021 00:10Eurozone

29 Apr 2021 EZ Consumer Confidence was Still Virus-Stricken at the start of Q2

EZ Consumer Confidence was Still Virus-Stricken at the start of Q2

Claus Vistesen (Chief Eurozone Economist)29th Apr 2021 00:10Eurozone

20 Apr 2021 EZ Construction Flat-lined in Q4 and Q1, but Q2 Should b e Better

EZ Construction Flat-lined in Q4 and Q1, but Q2 Should b e Better

Claus Vistesen (Chief Eurozone Economist)20th Apr 2021 00:20Eurozone

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