Pantheon Macroeconomics

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Columbia Eurozone

23 July 2021 Welcome to a New, and Even More Dovish, ECB Rate Guidance

The ECB formally presented its new inflation target yesterday, and updated the forward guidance on rates attached to it.

Claus Vistesen (Chief Eurozone Economist)23rd Jul 2021 00:10Eurozone

22 July 2021 All Change at the ECB Today as It Presents Its New Inflation Target

Today's ECB meeting was supposed to be a snoozer, in which the council goes on holiday with the message that it will hold off making any major decisions on the pace of...

Claus Vistesen (Chief Eurozone Economist)22nd Jul 2021 00:10Eurozone

21 July 2021 Sticking our Neck out With a Call on EZ Net Trade in 2021 and 2022

This is not, on the face of it, the best time to take a step back and look at the prospects for net exports in the Eurozone in a post-Covid world.

Claus Vistesen (Chief Eurozone Economist)21st Jul 2021 00:10Eurozone

20 July 2021 Europe's New Green Deal is Trail- Blazing, but it's Going to Cost

Talking about a green energy transition in Europe is easy, but more often than not, actions fall short of promises, for political reasons.

Claus Vistesen (Chief Eurozone Economist)20th Jul 2021 00:10Eurozone

16 July 2021 Supply Constraints & Reopening Boost Italian & Spanish inflation

Earlier this week we delved into German and French inflation data, looking for signs of supply-side price pressures in goods prices, and a reopening bump in Covid-sensitive...

Claus Vistesen (Chief Eurozone Economist)16th Jul 2021 00:10Eurozone

15 July 2021 How Well did the EZ Economy do in the Second Quarter?

Virus cases fell throughout the second quarter, allowing EZ governments to ease restrictions and the economy to roar back to life.

Claus Vistesen (Chief Eurozone Economist)15th Jul 2021 00:10Eurozone

14 July 2021 On the Hunt for Supply Pressures, and Reopening in the EZ CPI Data

Yesterday's detailed inflation data in Germany and France were similar, at least as far as the main story goes.

Claus Vistesen (Chief Eurozone Economist)14th Jul 2021 00:10Eurozone

13 July 2021 The ECB is All-In on the Climate, but What does it Mean in Practice?

The ECB is pushing forward with its commitment to incorporate climate change into its policy framework over the next few years.

Claus Vistesen (Chief Eurozone Economist)13th Jul 2021 00:20Eurozone

9 July 2021 The ECB's New Inflation Target Signals Looser Policy, in Theory

The ECB sprang a surprise on markets yesterday, releasing the details of its policy review--see here--ahead of the planned announcement in September.

Claus Vistesen (Chief Eurozone Economist)9th Jul 2021 00:10Eurozone

8 July 2021 German Industry was Sluggish in H1, Blame Collapsing Auto Output

Manufacturing in Germany has stalled. Data yesterday showed that industrial production, including construction, edged lower by 0.3% month-to-month in May, matching the revised...

Claus Vistesen (Chief Eurozone Economist)8th Jul 2021 00:10Eurozone

7 July 2021 EZ Manufacturing is Being Held Back by Weakness in Autos

Weakness in the core remained a drag on euro area manufacturing midway through Q2, amid strength elsewhere.

Claus Vistesen (Chief Eurozone Economist)7th Jul 2021 00:10Eurozone

6 July 2021 The ECB Probably will Come up with a New Inflation Target in Q3

Judging by the questions we're receiving from readers, and reports in the financial news, the outcome of the ECB's strategic policy review is now starting to occupy investors'...

Claus Vistesen (Chief Eurozone Economist)6th Jul 2021 00:20Eurozone

1 July 2021 All Aboard for a Wild Ride in the Second Half EZ Inflation Numbers

Yesterday's advance CPI data in the Eurozone broadly confirmed our expectations.

Claus Vistesen (Chief Eurozone Economist)1st Jul 2021 00:10Eurozone

30 June 2021 Eurozone Headline Inflation Fell only Marginally in June

Data yesterday revealed that inflation in Germany eased slightly at the end of Q2.

Claus Vistesen (Chief Eurozone Economist)30th Jun 2021 00:10Eurozone

29 June 2021 Who's Afraid of the Taper? Not Many it Seems, for Now

From an immunological perspective, variant risk is assessed on a spectrum--no variant is either completely resistant or susceptible to the vaccines--but for markets it is...

Claus Vistesen (Chief Eurozone Economist)29th Jun 2021 00:20Eurozone

28 June 2021 Don't Fear the Slowdown in EZ M1 Growth; the Trend is still Solid

Data on Friday showed that money supply growth in the Eurozone slowed further midway through Q2. Broad money, M3, rose by 8.4% year-over-year in May, easing from a 9.4% increase...

Claus Vistesen (Chief Eurozone Economist)28th Jun 2021 00:20Eurozone

25 June 2021 More Upbeat Survey Data in the EZ; Services are Driving the Upturn

Yesterday's national survey data in the core Eurozone economies added to the evidence that services are now driving the recovery.

Claus Vistesen (Chief Eurozone Economist)25th Jun 2021 00:10Eurozone

24 June 2021 EZ GDP Likely Rebounded Solidly in Q2, but Markets Fear Tapering

The evidence continues to support our own and consensus forecasts that the euro area economy is roaring back to life in the second quarter.

Claus Vistesen (Chief Eurozone Economist)24th Jun 2021 00:10Eurozone

23 June 2021 Moving Closer to the First Set of EU Recovery Fund Disbursements

European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen is currently on tour in Europe, negotiating with national governments on the final makeup of the spending plans for the...

Claus Vistesen (Chief Eurozone Economist)23rd Jun 2021 00:10Eurozone

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