In one line: Inflation held steady, but declines are coming; we are adding a July ECB rate cut.
Melanie Debono (Senior Eurozone Economist)Global
- In one line: Electricity discounts are now well and truly a thing of the past.
Miguel Chanco (Chief EM Asia Economist)Global
In one line: Falling oil prices and a stronger euro are gifts to ECB doves.
Claus Vistesen (Chief Eurozone Economist)Global
- In one line: Short-lived, policy-induced deflation is over.
Miguel Chanco (Chief EM Asia Economist)Global
- In one line: Weak economic activity curbing inflation.
Andrés Abadía (Chief LatAm Economist)Global
- In one line: Food disinflation strikes again; consumer non-durables IP stages a partial rebound.
Miguel Chanco (Chief EM Asia Economist)Global
- In one line: A surprising—though likely temporary—dip into outright deflation.
Miguel Chanco (Chief EM Asia Economist)Global
- In one line: Setting the stage for an immediate follow-up rate cut in April; consumer goods output go MIA to close off 2024.
Miguel Chanco (Chief EM Asia Economist)Global
In one line: Hot, but all eyes on tariffs this morning.
Claus Vistesen (Chief Eurozone Economist)Global
- In one line: A huge, albeit temporary, gift from the new government.
Miguel Chanco (Chief EM Asia Economist)Global
In one line: Upside risks building in energy, but the Q1 core looks benign on our forecasts.
Claus Vistesen (Chief Eurozone Economist)Global
- In one line: Carpet being rolled out for a February rate cut.
Miguel Chanco (Chief EM Asia Economist)Global
- In one line: A modest downtick in late Q4, but the outlook is grim.
Andrés Abadía (Chief LatAm Economist)Global
- In one line: Undershooting expectations; a relief for the BCCh.
Andrés Abadía (Chief LatAm Economist)Global
- In one line: Reassuringly unchanged readings to close out 2024.
Miguel Chanco (Chief EM Asia Economist)Global
In one line: No major surprises; red carpet being relaid for rate cuts.
Miguel Chanco (Chief EM Asia Economist)Global
- In one line: Core inflation continues to fall, allowing Banxico to cut rates further.
Andrés Abadía (Chief LatAm Economist)Global