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18th May 2026 12:00EurozoneDaily Monitor
  • Simple as well as hybrid Taylor Rule models suggest the ECB will hike by 75-to-100bp this year.
  • Our fair value models see sticky Bund yields around 3%, but fiscal stimulus looms as an upside risk.
  • Our forecasts assume that the 2s10s curve will flatten as the ECB tightens.

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Keywords for: 19 May 2026 Eurozone Monitor

independent macro research, Pantheon Macro, Pantheon Macroeconomics, independent research, ian shepherdson, economic intelligence