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16th Jun 2026 17:31EurozoneDaily Monitor
  • Based on current oil prices, and our forecast for the June HICP, the ECB will hold fire in July…
  • …but we still think the bank will tighten by 50bp in the end, so we now see a final hike in September.
  • Inflation is now on track to undershoot the ECB’s forecast this year, but not in 2027.

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Keywords for: 18 June 2026 Eurozone Monitor

independent macro research, Pantheon Macro, Pantheon Macroeconomics, independent research, ian shepherdson, economic intelligence