Pantheon Macroeconomics

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China+ Publications

Below is a list of our China+ Publications for the last 6 months. If you are looking for reports older than 6 months please email info@pantheonmacro.com, or contact your account rep

Please use the filters on the right to search for a specific date or topic.

Weekly Monitor

2 January 2024 China+ Monitor China's Property Sector is Barely Making Progress

  • Developer funding improved in November, thanks to regulatory support to ensure project completions.
  • Home sales continue to fall steeply, but construction activity appears to be bottoming out at a low level.
  • A sharp fall in existing-home prices likely indicates a supply surge as investors offload properties.

Duncan WrigleyChina+

18 December 2023 China+ Monitor China's Recovery Makes Glacial Progress in November

  • November data show China’s consumption demand stagnating as winter closes in.
  • The headline jump in industrial output is misleading, driven by utilities and base effects.
  • A sharp fall in existing-home prices likely indicates a supply surge as investors offload proper ties.

Duncan WrigleyChina+

11 December 2023 China+ Monitor Japan's Downward GDP Revision Reflects Weak Private Consumption

  • Japan’s Q3 GDP growth was revise d down, largely due to a lower estimate for private consumption.
  • Service exports surprisingly fell over the quarter, suggesting foreign tourism spending has peaked.
  • Wage growth improved in October, partly thanks to bonuses; the BoJ is tracking the spring wage talks.

Duncan WrigleyChina+

4 December 2023 China+ Monitor BoK Holds Fast, Worried About Persistently Elevated Inflation

  • The BoK left the policy rate unchanged last week; it raise d its 2024 inflation forecast.
  • The Bank is likely to shift its focus to growth support in 2024 but delay the first rate cut until Q3.
  • Korean export growth rose in November, largely thanks to base effects; trade is still bottoming out.

Duncan WrigleyChina+

27 November 2023 China+ Monitor Japan's Core Inflation Basically Steady, Despite Headline Uptick

  • Japan’s core inflation barely moved in October, despite a rise in headline inflation...
  • ...Driven by the partial roll-back of energy subsidies, soaring hotel costs and fresh food inflation.
  • The fall in the November flash manufacturing PMI confirms Japan’s sluggish recovery.

Duncan WrigleyChina+

20 November 2023 China+ Monitor China's Property Developers Continue to Flounder

  • China’s residential market flagged again in October, despite the new homebuyer incentives since August.
  • Developer funding shows little sign of turning around, as worries over debt issues are prevailing.
  • The reported affordable-housing programme likely will fall short of the shantytown redevelopment boost.

Duncan WrigleyChina+

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independent macro research, China+ Document Vault, Pantheon Macro, Pantheon Macroeconomics, independent research, ian shepherdson, economic intelligence,