Pantheon Macroeconomics

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China+ Publications

Below is a list of our China+ Publications for the last 6 months. If you are looking for reports older than 6 months please email info@pantheonmacro.com, or contact your account rep

Please use the filters on the right to search for a specific date or topic.

China+ Datanote : PPI, China, October

  • Producer prices fall at a faster pace, thanks to volatility in global energy and commodity prices

Kelvin Lam (Senior China+ Economist)China+

China+ Datanote : FX Reserves, China, October

  • China FX reserves fall for the third straight month as capital outflow continues

Kelvin Lam (Senior China+ Economist)China+

9 November 2023 China+ Monitor Slowing Capital Outflows Ease Pressure on China's Foreign Reserves

  • China saw a smaller decline of $13.8B in its FX reserves, to $3,101B, in October...
  • ...Thanks to a less significant valuation effect and lower capital outflows via the Stock Connects.
  • We expect capital outflows to moderate in Q4 as fundamentals strengthen on stimulus measures.

Kelvin Lam (Senior China+ Economist)China+

CHINA+ DATA WRAP 7 NOVEMBER 2023: Chinese exports continue to fall

  • Falling Chinese exports indicate weak global demand; Japanese wages pick up slightly

Kelvin Lam (Senior China+ Economist)China+

8 November 2023 China+ Monitor China's Evolving Developer Support Policy Offers a Glimmer of Hope

  • Shenzhen’s backing for Vanke offers a possible blueprint for resolving Chinese developers’ issues...
  • ...But only a few private developers are truly similar to Vanke, leaving many firms in a grey area.
  • Japan’s wage growth picked up in October, mainly due to a downward revision of September’s data.

Duncan WrigleyChina+

23 October 2023 China+ Monitor Surging Korean Chip Shipments Hold Promise, Despite Hazy Demand

  • Korean exports rose in October for the first time in over a year, despite the sub-50 export order PMI.
  • The rebound in chip exports is due to downstream restocking, while end-product demand is unclear.
  • China’s October services PMI slowed, after the summer tourism and leisure activity bump.

Duncan WrigleyChina+

3 November 2023 China+ Monitor China's Industrial Profits Improve Further Stoking Investment Demand

  • China's industrial profits posted a second straight month of growth in September.
  • Revenue is growing faster than costs, as demand and pricing power improve.
  • Industrial profits should continue to improve in Q4, due to a gradual rebound in domestic demand.

Kelvin Lam (Senior China+ Economist)China+

2 November 2023 China+ Monitor Chinese Manufacturing Hits a Soft Patch, as Export Orders Fall

  • China's October manufacturing PMIs were hit by falling export orders and output.
  • Input costs rose, on the lagged effect of the global energy and commodity price surge in September.
  • China's Financial Work conference Focused on real economy support and tackling hidden risks.

Duncan WrigleyChina+

China+ Datanote : Exports, Korea, October

  • Korean exports rise in October for the first time in 12 months

Kelvin Lam (Senior China+ Economist)China+

China+ Datanote : Caixin Manufacturing PMI, China, October

  • China’s manufacturing sector hit a soft patch in October

Duncan WrigleyChina+

CHINA+ DATA WRAP 1 NOVEMBER 2023

  • China’s manufacturing sector hit a soft patch in October
  • Japan’s final PMI points to moderate activity decline
  • Korean manufacturing PMI shows leading signs of stabilising demand
  • Korean exports rise in October for the first time in 12 months, owing to base effects

Duncan WrigleyChina+

CHINA+ DATA WRAP 30 OCTOBER 2023

  • The BoJ makes tweak to yield curve control policy, while expecting core inflation to fall in 2024
  • China’s fall in manufacturing activity reinforces the need for continued economic support
  • China’s infrastructure construction activity is holding up

Duncan WrigleyChina+

1 November 2023 China+ Monitor The BoJ's Softened Policy Commitment Invites Speculation

  • The BoJ announced another change to make itsyield curve control policy more flexible yesterday.
  • The switch to a soft "reference" target, from a hard cap, is likely to lead investors to test the BoJ.
  • The Bank is likely to hold the line, just, until U.S. yields fall next year, relieving pressure on the JPY.

Duncan WrigleyChina+

PM DATANOTE: BoJ Policy Decision, Japan, October

  • The BoJ tweaks its yield curve control policy, aiming to keep supportive settings in place

Duncan WrigleyChina+

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Keywords for: China+ Documents

China+ Document Vault, Pantheon Macro, Pantheon Macroeconomics, independent macro research, independent research, ian shepherdson, economic intelligence