China+ Publications
Below is a list of our China+ Publications for the last 6 months. If you are looking for reports older than 6 months please email info@pantheonmacro.com, or contact your account rep
Please use the filters on the right to search for a specific date or topic.
Daily Monitor
- China’s domestic demand rose at a sluggish pace in October, while production grew faster.
- Upticks in retail sales of autos and mobile phones are bright spots.
- The PBoC injected RMB600B of MLF funds yesterday, enabling government-bond issuance.
Duncan WrigleyChina+
- China’s exports extended their downward trend inOctober, due to weak G7 and regional demand.
- That said, real export demand for certain goods remains healthy, taking price effects into account.
- The good news is that imports rose unexpectedly, likely on rising stimulus-related demand.
Kelvin Lam (Senior China+ Economist)China+
- China’s credit expansion was lukewarm in October, apart from government-bond issuance.
- The slump in net household long-term loans exaggerates the weakness in the residential market.
- China is likely to rely on fiscal stimulus to stabilise growth, giving sentiment time to rebuild.
Duncan WrigleyChina+
- China saw a smaller decline of $13.8B in its FX reserves, to $3,101B, in October...
- ...Thanks to a less significant valuation effect and lower capital outflows via the Stock Connects.
- We expect capital outflows to moderate in Q4 as fundamentals strengthen on stimulus measures.
Kelvin Lam (Senior China+ Economist)China+
- Shenzhen’s backing for Vanke offers a possible blueprint for resolving Chinese developers’ issues...
- ...But only a few private developers are truly similar to Vanke, leaving many firms in a grey area.
- Japan’s wage growth picked up in October, mainly due to a downward revision of September’s data.
Duncan WrigleyChina+
- China's industrial profits posted a second straight month of growth in September.
- Revenue is growing faster than costs, as demand and pricing power improve.
- Industrial profits should continue to improve in Q4, due to a gradual rebound in domestic demand.
Kelvin Lam (Senior China+ Economist)China+
- China's October manufacturing PMIs were hit by falling export orders and output.
- Input costs rose, on the lagged effect of the global energy and commodity price surge in September.
- China's Financial Work conference Focused on real economy support and tackling hidden risks.
Duncan WrigleyChina+
- The BoJ announced another change to make itsyield curve control policy more flexible yesterday.
- The switch to a soft "reference" target, from a hard cap, is likely to lead investors to test the BoJ.
- The Bank is likely to hold the line, just, until U.S. yields fall next year, relieving pressure on the JPY.
Duncan WrigleyChina+
