Pantheon Macroeconomics

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Pantheon Publications

Below is a list of our Publications for the last 6 months. If you are looking for reports older than 6 months please email info@pantheonmacro.com, or contact your account rep.

Please use the filters on the right to search for a specific date or topic.

Housing Supply

PM Datanote: Housing Starts, March 2024

Large fall is likely an Easter timing quirk; the trend still looks flat.

Ian Shepherdson (Chief Economist, Chairman and Founder)US

EZ Datanote: Money Supply, EZ, Feb; ISTAT Confidence, Italy, Mar & Unemployment, Germany, Mar

In one line:  Improvement in money supply continues; Italian business confidence rises & German unemployment will climb further. 

Melanie Debono (Senior Eurozone Economist)Eurozone

February 2024 - U.K. Housing Watch

PRICES HAVE TURNED A CORNER; EXPECT A 5% RISE IN 2024...

  • ...AS REAL INCOMES RISE & MORTGAGE RATES EDGE LOWER

Samuel TombsUK

January 2024 - U.K. Housing Watch

PRICES HAVE NEARLY STABILISED; EXPECT A 5% RISE IN 2024...

  • ...AS REAL INCOMES RISE & MORTGAGE RATES KEEP FALLING

Samuel TombsUK

PM Datanote: Housing Starts/Philly Fed

Starts data are noisy, but a modest housing recovery is underway.

US

Final Manufacturing PMIs & Money Supply, EZ, Dec/Nov 2023

In one line: EZ manufacturing remained in recession in Q4; is the plunge in M1 fading?

Claus Vistesen (Chief Eurozone Economist)Eurozone

December 2023 - U.K. Housing Watch

HOUSE PRICE NADIR IS JUST A COUPLE OF MONTHS AWAY...

  • ...FALLING MORTGAGE RATES WILL LEAD TO A 5% RISE IN 2024

Samuel TombsUK

PM Datanote: U.S. Housing Starts, November

Probably an overshoot, but a steady increase in single-family starts lies ahead.

US

China+ Datanote: Money & Credit, China, November

  • China’s ebbing money growth is a symptom of soggy credit demand

Duncan WrigleyChina+

EZ Datanote: EZ Money Supply, EZ, October 2023

In one line: Adjusted for savings money data suggest an improving outlook for H1 next year. 

Melanie Debono (Senior Eurozone Economist)Eurozone

November 2023 - U.K. Housing Watch

MORTGAGE RATES TO FALL FASTER THAN WE EXPECTED IN Q1...

  • ...WE NOW FORESEE A 5%, NOT 6%, PEAK-TO-TROUGH FALL IN PRICES

Samuel TombsUK

PM Datanote: U.S. Housing Starts, October

The recovery in construction activity is stalling, for now.

US

China+ Datanote: Money & Credit, China, October

  • Stepped-up government bond issue stabilises credit growth against property sector downdraft

Duncan WrigleyChina+

PM Datanote: U.S. Housing Starts, September

The rebound in construction activity is already petering out.

US

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Pantheon Macro, Pantheon Macroeconomics, independent macro research, independent research, ian shepherdson, economic intelligence