- In one line: Rising car registrations signals recovering underlying economic activity.
Rob Wood (Chief UK Economist)UK
- In one line: The Construction PMI will continue to recover as tariff uncertainty fades and Government investment soars.
Rob Wood (Chief UK Economist)UK
In one line: Another bleak construction PMI read.
Melanie Debono (Senior Eurozone Economist)Eurozone
In one line: Q2 was a quarter to forget in French manufacturing; Spain is looking better.
Claus Vistesen (Chief Eurozone Economist)Eurozone
In one line: Poor, but falling turnover at odds with the surveys.
Claus Vistesen (Chief Eurozone Economist)Eurozone
Philippine inflation still comfortably below the BSP’s range
Miguel Chanco (Chief EM Asia Economist)Emerging Asia
- In one line: Happy days as growth improves and inflation slows; the MPC could welcome the news with another cut in August.
Rob Wood (Chief UK Economist)UK
- In one line: Rebounding employment expectations suggest inflation pressure will remain stubborn.
Rob Wood (Chief UK Economist)UK
- In one line: June’s downward revisions to the PMI’s sub-indices were likely driven by oil prices, sentiment will continue to improve.
Rob Wood (Chief UK Economist)UK
- In one line: Falling saving flows and rising corporate borrowing point to solid economic growth.
Rob Wood (Chief UK Economist)UK
- In one line: House prices fall in June but returning buyer demand will push up prices soon.
Rob Wood (Chief UK Economist)UK
- In one line: Better balanced growth after revisions bodes well.
Rob Wood (Chief UK Economist)UK
HOUSE PRICES COLLAPSE IN APRIL...
- ...BUT THE RECOVERY IS ALREADY UNDERWAY
Rob Wood (Chief UK Economist)UK
A big jump in services inflation still looks unlikely.
Oliver Allen (Senior US Economist)US
In one line: Back above zero, but unlikely to stay there for long.
Melanie Debono (Senior Eurozone Economist)Global
In one line: Back above zero, but unlikely to stay there for long.
Melanie Debono (Senior Eurozone Economist)Eurozone
Implausible sector breakdown highlights ADP's uselessness.
Oliver Allen (Senior US Economist)US
- In one line: Manufacturing slumps as mining props up output.
Andrés Abadía (Chief LatAm Economist)Latin America
- The HKMA intervened again on Wednesday to defend the currency peg, which has been in place since 1983.
- The LERS is a double-edged sword: Hong Kong loses monetary policy freedom but gains stability.
- Any talk of re-pegging the HKD is premature; China and HKSAR are not yet an Optimal Currency Area.
Kelvin Lam (Senior China+ Economist)China+
- Headline inflation in Switzerland rose above zero in June, by 0.2pp to 0.1%.
- It will fall back again in July, to zero, where we expect it to hold steady until Q4.
- Our forecasts remain well below the SNB’s; another rate cut in September, to -0.25%, is still likely.
Melanie Debono (Senior Eurozone Economist)Eurozone
