Pantheon Macroeconomics

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Pantheon Publications

Below is a list of our Publications for the last 5 months. If you are looking for reports older than 6 months please email info@pantheonmacro.com, or contact your account rep.

Please use the filters on the right to search for a specific date or topic.

24 February 2026 US Monitor Does 2025 consumption data support the K-shaped narrative?

  • The share of total consumption by the top 20% has been remarkable stable at 40% over the last 25 years. 
  • New sectoral data show no connection between the spending share of the top 20% and growth last year.
  • High-income households became more cautious, accumulating liquid assets more quickly than in 2024.

24 February 2026 LatAm Monitor Mexico activity stabilises after Q4 rebound, but risks loom in 2026

  • Mexico’s Q4 GDP growth beat expectations, driven by strength in services, and easing inflation.
  • Retail sales and leading indicators improved, but job-market cooling tempers domestic-demand outlook.
  • Banxico is pausing easing, as trade risk, fiscal tightening and sticky core inflation constrain the outlook.

24 February 2026 Emerging Asia Monitor Thailand's scorching exports in January look like a one-off, for now

  • Booming Korean exports in the first 20 days of February are mainly a semiconductor story…
  • …Chip exports skyrocketed almost 180% thanks to rising prices and volumes.
  • The BoK is likely to hold rates on Friday, despite soft activity outside the tech sector.

24 February 2026 China+ Monitor Korean exports take off, thanks to AI boom driving chip demand

  • Booming Korean exports in the first 20 days of February are mainly a semiconductor story…
  • …Chip exports skyrocketed almost 180% thanks to rising prices and volumes.
  • The BoK is likely to hold rates on Friday, despite soft activity outside the tech sector.

24 February 2026 Eurozone Monitor Meet the new US tariff on the EU; (almost) the same as the old one

  • Mr. Trump’s new tariffs on the EU are little changed, but will they shift the timing of US imports?…
  • …A universal US tariff reduces the disinflationary threat to EZ core goods from Chinese dumping.
  • Italian energy prices will fall further this year, as the government aims to lower electricity and gas prices.

24 February 2026 UK Monitor AI and the labour market: few signs of robots taking our jobs, yet

  • A jump in payroll-measured productivity has coincided with the proliferation of AI tools.
  • Studies link AI exposure and weak hiring in some sectors, but the impact is tiny at a macro level, so far.
  • The impact of AI will build over time, but the general equilibrium effects on the economy are hard to call. 

PANTHEON EM ASIA DATA WRAP 23 February 2026

An undoubtedly hot start to the year for two-way trade in Thailand

PM Datanote: US S&P Global Composite PMI, February 2026

Pointing to a slowdown in underlying GDP growth in Q1.

PM Datanote: US New Home Sales, November / December 2025

The latest sales data are near worthless; homebuilders are still under pressure.

PM Datanote: US Advance GDP Q4 / Spending & Incomes, Q4 / December 2025

Underlying growth still solid in Q4, but likely to wane.

EZ Datanote: Advance PMIs, France, February 2026

In one line: A modest rebound, but GDP growth is doing better than implied by the PMIs. 

Global Datanote: Flash PMIs, France, February 2026

In one line: A modest rebound, but GDP growth is doing better than implied by the PMIs. 

Global Datanote: National CPI, Japan, January 2026

In one line: Japan's cooling consumer inflation justifies BoJ taking time on rate hike

Global Datanote: Flash PMIs, Japan, February 2026

In one line: Flash PMIs lifted by tech sector and landslide election victory 

CHINA+ DATA WRAP 20 February 2026: Japan's cooling consumer inflation

In one line: Cooling consumer inflation justifies BoJ taking time on rate hike 

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