Pantheon Macroeconomics

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Pantheon Publications

Below is a list of our Publications for the last 5 months. If you are looking for reports older than 6 months please email info@pantheonmacro.com, or contact your account rep.

Please use the filters on the right to search for a specific date or topic.

Datanotes

UK Datanote: UK Labour Market Data, February / March 2025

  • In one line: Enough softening for the MPC to cut, but strong wage growth will keep rate setters cautious.

Rob Wood (Chief UK Economist)UK

UK Datanote: U.K. Official House Price Index, February 2025

  • In one line: House prices rise in February but property price inflation will ease in Q2.

Rob Wood (Chief UK Economist)UK

UK Datanote: U.K. BRC Retail Sales Monitor, March 2025

  • In one line: Retail sales continue to grow strongly but slowing global growth clouds the outlook.

Rob Wood (Chief UK Economist)UK

PM Datanote: US Industrial Production, March

Pre-tariff jump in manufacturing output likely to reverse sharply.

Oliver Allen (Senior US Economist)US

PM Datanote: US Retail Sales, March

Real consumption likely grew by about 1% in Q1.

Oliver Allen (Senior US Economist)US

Global Datanote: Detailed Inflation, Eurozone, March 2025

In one line: Falling oil prices and a stronger euro are gifts to ECB doves.

Claus Vistesen (Chief Eurozone Economist)Global

EZ Datanote: Detailed Inflation, Eurozone, March 2025

In one line: Falling oil prices and a stronger euro are gifts to ECB doves.

Claus Vistesen (Chief Eurozone Economist)Eurozone

CHINA+ DATA WRAP 16 April 2025: China's Q1 GDP boosted by lingering stimulus

China’s Q1 GDP growth was boosted by demand stimulus and export front-loading pre-tariff turmoil

Duncan WrigleyChina+

PM Datanote: US Empire State Manufacturing Survey, April

A slump in manufacturing activity and surge in goods inflation lies ahead.

Oliver Allen (Senior US Economist)US

UK Datanote: UK Report on Jobs Survey, March 2025

  • In one line: Solid jobs and accelerating wages will keep the MPC cautious heading into the trade war.

Rob Wood (Chief UK Economist)UK

UK Datanote: UK GDP February 2025

  • In one line:GDP soars in February but the MPC will look through the pre-Tariff data.

Rob Wood (Chief UK Economist)UK

UK Datanote: UK International Trade, February 2025

  • In one line: Fracturing global trade will begin to weigh on the trade balance in the coming months.

Rob Wood (Chief UK Economist)UK

UK Datanote: UK RICS Residential Market Survey, March 2025

  • In one line: The housing market is cooling now but activity will pick up in H2.

Rob Wood (Chief UK Economist)UK

EZ Datanote: ZEW, Germany, April & Industrial Production, EZ, February 2025

In one line: Tariffs hit investor sentiment hard; industrial production will feel the tariff burn but not until later in the year probably. 

Melanie Debono (Senior Eurozone Economist)Eurozone

EZ Datanote: ECB BLS, EZ, Q1 2025

In one line: Banks tighten lending standards for firms & demand for credit eases again even before the shock of “Liberation Day". 

Melanie Debono (Senior Eurozone Economist)Eurozone

EZ Datanote: Detailed Inflation, France, March 2025

In one line: Soft, but selling prices point to upside risks for the core.

Claus Vistesen (Chief Eurozone Economist)Eurozone

China+ Datanote: Money & Credit, China, March

Government bond issuance still taking centre stage, with modest uptick in household loans 

Duncan WrigleyChina+

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independent macro research, Pantheon Macro, Pantheon Macroeconomics, independent research, ian shepherdson, economic intelligence