Pantheon Macroeconomics

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Pantheon Publications

Below is a list of our Publications for the last 5 months. If you are looking for reports older than 6 months please email info@pantheonmacro.com, or contact your account rep.

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Datanotes

PANTHEON EM ASIA DATA WRAP 7 May 2025

An overdue—and big—m/m correction in Philippine sales to close Q1

Miguel Chanco (Chief EM Asia Economist)Emerging Asia

UK Datanote: UK Final Services and Composite PMI, April 2025

  • In one line: Back-to-back rate cuts are likely as sentiment collapses, but accelerating inflation will keep MPC guidance cautious.

Rob Wood (Chief UK Economist)UK

UK Datanote: UK Car Registrations, April 2025

  • In one line: Car registrations tank as duties increase.

Rob Wood (Chief UK Economist)UK

PM Datanote: US ISM Services Survey, April

We doubt services inflation will reaccelerate sharply.

Oliver Allen (Senior US Economist)US

PANTHEON EM ASIA DATA WRAP 6 May 2025

Front-loading of Vietnamese exports to the US looks to have hit a ceiling
A quiet start to Q2 for retail sales in Vietnam, following a robust Q1
Lots of moving parts, but April saw no change to Vietnamese inflation
Below-target-range inflation in the Philippines looks set to persist until year-end
This bout of Thai deflation should be short and shallow

Miguel Chanco (Chief EM Asia Economist)Emerging Asia

CHINA+ DATA WRAP 6 May 2025: Caixin services PMI points to business jitters

 Caixin services PMI points to business jitters over tariff worries

Duncan WrigleyChina+

Global Datanote: Advance Inflation, Eurozone, April 2025 & Unemployment, Eurozone, March 2025

In one line: Inflation held steady, but declines are coming; we are adding a July ECB rate cut. 

Melanie Debono (Senior Eurozone Economist)Global

EZ Datanote: Advance Inflation, Eurozone, April 2025 & Unemployment, Eurozone, March 2025

In one line: Inflation held steady, but declines are coming; we are adding a July ECB rate cut. 

Melanie Debono (Senior Eurozone Economist)Eurozone

Global Datanote: CPI, Indonesia, April

  • In one line: Electricity discounts are now well and truly a thing of the past.

Miguel Chanco (Chief EM Asia Economist)Global

PANTHEON EM ASIA DATA WRAP 2 May 2025

Indonesia’s electricity discounts are now well and truly a thing of the past

Miguel Chanco (Chief EM Asia Economist)Emerging Asia

Global Datanote: ISM Manufacturing Survey, US, April, 2025

  • In one line: Headline index steady in April; but a lot of pain lies ahead.

Samuel TombsGlobal

PM Datanote: US ISM Manufacturing Survey, April

Headline index steady in April; but a lot of pain lies ahead.

Samuel TombsUS

PM Datanote: US Advance Goods Trade, March

Trade and inventories data leave a negative Q1 GDP print looking far more likely.

Oliver Allen (Senior US Economist)US

China+ Datanote: BoJ Policy Decision, Japan, May

BoJ's newly bearish tone on inflation risks supports our view that rate hikes are on hold this year

Duncan WrigleyChina+

CHINA+ DATA WRAP 1 May 2025: BoJ adopts bearish inflation outlook

BoJ's newly bearish tone on inflation risks supports our view that rate hikes are on hold this year

Duncan WrigleyChina+

PM Datanote: BanRep Announcement, Colombia, April, 2025

  • In one line: Surprise rate cut signals cautious support for the recovery.

Andrés Abadía (Chief LatAm Economist)Latin America

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independent macro research, Pantheon Macro, Pantheon Macroeconomics, independent research, ian shepherdson, economic intelligence