Pantheon Macroeconomics

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Pantheon Publications

Below is a list of our Publications for the last 5 months. If you are looking for reports older than 6 months please email info@pantheonmacro.com, or contact your account rep.

Please use the filters on the right to search for a specific date or topic.

Global

Global Datanote: CPI, US, March, 2025

  • In one line: Tariffs will snatch defeat from the jaws of victory.

Global Datanote: Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas Decision

  • In one line: Easing back on; three more cuts to go, from our vantage point.

Global Datanote: Reserve Bank of India Decision

  • In one line: Expect at least two more consecutive 25bp cuts.

Global Datanote: CPI, Indonesia, March

  • In one line: Short-lived, policy-induced deflation is over.

9 April 2025 Global Monitor US GDP growth will stagnate as trade uncertainty bites

  • US - Stagnation in GDP is now our base case, after the tariff madness
  • EUROZONE - We think the EZ economy is now entering a technical recession
  • UK - GDP likely unchanged in February as manufacturing drags on growth
  • CHINA+ - China’s brinkmanship with the US likely aimed at forcing start of talks
  • EM ASIA - GDP downgrades and more rate cuts, in the wake of ‘Liberation Day’
  • LATAM - LatAm positioned to capitalise on trade shifts and tariff pressures

Global Datanote: Employment, US, March 2025

Healthcare driving payroll growth again; ongoing support will offset some tariff damage.

Global Datanote: Inflation, Switzerland, March 2025

In one line: Holding at a 46-month low, but will rise again soon; Swiss retaliation to US tariff hikes poses an upside risk.

Global Datanote: Manufacturing PMI, ASEAN, March

  • In one line: The nascent improvement is far from comprehensive.

Global Datanote: Economic activity index, Chile, February, 2025

  • In one line: A poor headline, but the underlying trend remains positive.

2 April 2025 Global Monitor BoJ to stand pat in May, even after food inflation spices things up in April

  • US - Liberation Day to reduce uncertainty, but at what inflation cost?
  • EUROZONE - Data signal an ECB pause in April, ‘Liberation Day’ permitting
  • UK - Cuts and creative accounting will restore the fiscal headroom
  • CHINA+ - The BoJ to focus on tariff impact, as food inflation builds again
  • EM ASIA - Unsurprisingly, Taiwan’s central bank continues to hold rates
  • LATAM - Tough days for Banxico demand bold monetary policy action
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Keywords for: Publications

independent macro research, Pantheon Macro, Pantheon Macroeconomics, independent research, ian shepherdson, economic intelligence