Pantheon Macroeconomics

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Pantheon Publications

Below is a list of our Publications for the last 5 months. If you are looking for reports older than 6 months please email info@pantheonmacro.com, or contact your account rep.

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Global

Global Datanote: Employment, US, November 2025

In one line: Lackluster, but not alarming enough for a January easing.

Global Datanote: Flash PMIs, France, December 2025

In one line: Pointing to upside risks to our call for French GDP to fall in Q4. 

17 December 2025 Global Monitor Kast's mandate for reforms in Chile is more than a routine alternation of power

  • US - Lackluster payrolls, but not alarming enough for a January easing
  • EUROZONE - ECB preview: EZ policy rates to stay on hold all the way until 2027
  • UK - CPI preview 2: headline falling to 3.5%, but services up to 4.7%
  • CHINA+ - China’s domestic demand still in the slow lane as policy boost fades
  • EM ASIA - “End” to BSP’s easing will come when rates fall to 4.25%
  • LATAM - Kast’s mandate signals Chile’s return to discipline, and market confidence

Global Datanote: CPI, India, November 2025

  • In one line: Muddied by residual seasonality, but vegetable-price pressures are reviving.

Global Datanote: SNB Rate Decision, Q4 2025

  • In one line: On hold, as we expect it to be until early 2027. 

Global Datanote: Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas Decision, December 2025

  • In one line: Easing “nearing its end”, but we still see a terminal rate of 4.25%.

Global Datanote: Inflation IPCA, Brazil, November, 2025

  • In one line: Inflation under control, opening the door to gradual rate cuts.

10 December Global Monitor The SNB won't budge next year, even if inflation fall, below zero.

  • US - Consumer resilience is ebbing as year-end approaches.
  • EUROZONE - SNB to stand pat despite fall in inflation.
  • UK - PMI shows growth stabilising after Budget chaos.
  • CHINA+ - China's Politburo focus on domestic demand and structural issues.
  • EM ASIA - RBI resumes its easing cycle, but this cut will likely be its last.
  • LATAM - Brazil's Q3 GDP stalls as tight financial conditions bite.

Global Datanote: Reserve Bank of India Decision, December 2025

  • In one line: Not buying 8%-plus growth either, but taking the chance before CPI mean-reverts.

Global Datanote: GDP, Third Quarter, Brazil, 2025

  • In one line: Growth almost stalls as industry steadies and agriculture rebounds.

Global Datanote: Inflation, Switzerland, November 2025

  • In one line: Inflation has further to fall, but SNB easing is done.

3 December 2025 Global Monitor BoJ to focus on wages and markets, not inflation.

  • US - Why are tariff revenues falling short of everyone’s projections?
  • EUROZONE - Swiss and Italian GDP recovering; their fortunes will diverge in 2026
  • UK - Delayed fiscal tightening gives the MPC little reason to cut rates more
  • CHINA+ - China’s consumption promotion plan flatters to deceive
  • EM ASIA - Egg on our faces for India’s Q3, but the detail is with us
  • LATAM - Inflation eases further; Copom likely to cut rates in January

Global Datanote: RatingDog Manufacturing PMI, China, November 2025

In one line: RatingDog PMI stung by waning domestic demand, despite buoyant overseas orders

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independent macro research, Pantheon Macro, Pantheon Macroeconomics, independent research, ian shepherdson, economic intelligence