Pantheon Macroeconomics

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Pantheon Publications

Below is a list of our Publications for the last 5 months. If you are looking for reports older than 6 months please email info@pantheonmacro.com, or contact your account rep.

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Global

Global Datanote: Inflation, Switzerland, March 2026

In one line: Energy shock gives the SNB room to breathe as inflation is set to accelerate further. 

Global Datanote: CPI, Indonesia, March 2026

  • In one line: A swift return to BI’s target range thanks to base effects.

Global Datanote: Trade, Indonesia, February 2026

  • In one line: Trade surplus and exports will soon see brighter days.

Global Datanote: Manufacturing PMI, ASEAN, March 2026

  • In one line: Iran war hits most factories hard; price shock immediate and big.

1 April 2026 Global Monitor A return to 2% inflation in the Eurozone is a pipe dream

  • US - The labor market is too weak to embed the Iran war inflation shock
  • EUROZONE - EZ inflation will hit 3% soon, prompting two hikes by the ECB
  • UK - Forecast review: lower growth, higher inflation, MPC on hold
  • CHINA+ - China’s elderly-care insurance reform will lift GDP, but only slowly
  • EM ASIA - INR’s ‘record’ fall in context; more a threat to Q2 growth than inflation
  • LATAM - Banxico resumes easing, but rising risks sharply limit further cuts

Global Datanote: Industrial Production, India, February 2026

  • In one line: Likely as good as we’ll get in H1, if not 2026 at large.

Global Datanote: Bi-weekly CPI and EAI, Mexico, March/January, 2026

  • In one line: Inflation surprised to the upside, while activity weakened sharply at the start of the year.

Global Datanote: Flash Manufacturing PMI, Japan, March

  • domestic demand weakened, while manufacturers’ sentiment was resilient

Global Datanote: National CPI, Japan, February

  • In one line: In one line: inflation fell in February, ahead of oil price surge

25 March 2026 Global Monitor US households set to tighten their purse strings as lower stock prices drag on households' wealth

  • US - Markets are overlooking the labor market damage of the oil shock
  • EUROZONE - ECB quietly endorses market expectations for hikes this year
  • UK - Hawkish set of MPC minutes lowers the bar to hikes in 2026
  • CHINA+ - China’s private sector starting to revive in selected areas
  • EM ASIA - India should be able to stomach oil at $150 this year; main risk is 2027
  • LATAM - Benign inflation in Brazil, but oil shock clouds COPOM outlook

20 March 2026 Global Monitor Special Edition

  • US - How would the Fed react if oil prices soar to $150?
  • EUROZONE - EZ inflation to jump to just under 3% by May; ECB will hike in response
  • UK - Oil prices will need to go higher for longer to justify a rate hike
  • CHINA+ - China less exposed to the oil-price jolt than Japan
  • EM ASIA - India should be able to stomach oil at $150 this year; main risk is 2027
  • LATAM - Energy shock tests growth, inflation and policy outlook

Global Datanote: 20-Day Exports, Korea, March 2026

  • In one line: Korean exports jump, thanks to chip sales; oil product shipments surge

Global Datanote: Loan Prime Rates, China, March 2026

  • In one line: LPRs steady; PBoC aims for "price recovery”

Global Datanote: ECB Rate Decision, March 2026

  • In one line: From a “good place” to a stagflationary shock.

Global Datanote: SNB Rate Decision, Q1 2026

  • In one line: On hold, stronger emphasis on FX intervention.
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Keywords for: Publications

independent macro research, Pantheon Macro, Pantheon Macroeconomics, independent research, ian shepherdson, economic intelligence