Pantheon Macroeconomics

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Pantheon Publications

Below is a list of our Publications for the last 5 months. If you are looking for reports older than 6 months please email info@pantheonmacro.com, or contact your account rep.

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Global

Global Datanote: ISM Manufacturing Survey, US, October 2025

  • In one line: Tariff-led jump in goods inflation likely to be temporary.

Global Datanote: PMIs, Switzerland, October 2025

  • In one line: In line with our view of Swiss economic weakness.

Global Datanote: CPI, Indonesia, October 2025

  • In one line: Raising our 2026 average inflation forecast to just over 3%.

Global Datanote: Advance Inflation, Eurozone, October 2025

In one line: Only a washout in November can deliver an ECB rate cut now. 

Global Datanote: Official Manufacturing PMI, China, October 2025

In one line: Investment stimulus should lift China's manufacturing index from October's trough

Global Datanote: ECB Press Conference, October 2025

In one line: Thin gruel, but a bit of clarity on the ECB’s ETS2 assumptions. 

Global Datanote: Advance GDP, Mexico, Q3, 2025

  • In one line: A poor Q3, but early Q4 indicators hint at tentative stabilisation.

29 October 2025 Global Monitor The ECB will hold fire this week

  • US - Falling core services inflation to allow extended FOMC easing cycle
  • EUROZONE - Not much for the ECB to talk about tomorrow; all eyes on December
  • UK - Week in review: December rate-cut call, but reasons for caution still
  • CHINA+ - US-China agree broad framework for trade ahead of Xi-Trump meet-up
  • EM ASIA - A surprise hold, but BI isn’t done; we still see a cut to 4.50% by year-end
  • LATAM - Policy shift nears in Brazil as disinflation deepens; Milei’s win

PM Datanote: CPI, US, September 2025

Tariffs still pushing goods inflation higher, but services inflation looks soft under the hood.

Global Datanote: Flash Mfg PMI, Japan, October, 2025

In one line: Fading demand weighs on flash PMI manufacturing activity

Global Datanote: Exports, National CPI, Japan, September

In one line:  BoJ won’t be shocked by modest rise in inflation; likely to hold rates next week waiting for clarity on the new government’s fiscal easing

Global Datanote: Economic activity index, Mexico, August, 2025

  • In one line: Uneven performance, but risks remain tilted to the downside.

Global Datanote: Bank Indonesia Decision, October 2025

  • In one line: Another month, another surprise… this time for a pause, as the Board adopts wait-and-see.
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Keywords for: Publications

independent macro research, Pantheon Macro, Pantheon Macroeconomics, independent research, ian shepherdson, economic intelligence