Pantheon Macroeconomics

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Pantheon Publications

Below is a list of our Publications for the last 5 months. If you are looking for reports older than 6 months please email info@pantheonmacro.com, or contact your account rep.

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ian shepherdson (Chief Economist, Chairman and Founder)

9 April 2025 Global Monitor US GDP growth will stagnate as trade uncertainty bites

  • US - Stagnation in GDP is now our base case, after the tariff madness
  • EUROZONE - We think the EZ economy is now entering a technical recession
  • UK - GDP likely unchanged in February as manufacturing drags on growth
  • CHINA+ - China’s brinkmanship with the US likely aimed at forcing start of talks
  • EM ASIA - GDP downgrades and more rate cuts, in the wake of ‘Liberation Day’
  • LATAM - LatAm positioned to capitalise on trade shifts and tariff pressures

ian shepherdson (Chief Economist, Chairman and Founder)Global

2 April 2025 Global Monitor BoJ to stand pat in May, even after food inflation spices things up in April

  • US - Liberation Day to reduce uncertainty, but at what inflation cost?
  • EUROZONE - Data signal an ECB pause in April, ‘Liberation Day’ permitting
  • UK - Cuts and creative accounting will restore the fiscal headroom
  • CHINA+ - The BoJ to focus on tariff impact, as food inflation builds again
  • EM ASIA - Unsurprisingly, Taiwan’s central bank continues to hold rates
  • LATAM - Tough days for Banxico demand bold monetary policy action

ian shepherdson (Chief Economist, Chairman and Founder)Global

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independent macro research, Pantheon Macro, Pantheon Macroeconomics, independent research, ian shepherdson, economic intelligence