Pantheon Macroeconomics

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Pantheon Publications

Below is a list of our Publications for the last 5 months. If you are looking for reports older than 6 months please email info@pantheonmacro.com, or contact your account rep.

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ian shepherdson (Chief Economist, Chairman and Founder)

21 May 2025 Global Monitor Strong GDP growth won't prevent the SNB from cutting below zero

  • US - How stimulative will fiscal policy be if the “Big Beautiful Bill” passes?
  • EUROZONE - Swiss economy galloping in 2025, though growth is now slowing
  • UK - MPC preview: dovish shift, but not as much as the market expected
  • CHINA+ - Japan’s weak Q1 GDP print reinforces BoJ’s decision to pause
  • EM ASIA - US front-running boosts Thailand’s Q1, but it’s all downhill from here
  • LATAM - Banxico delivers another 50bp rate cut amid weak growth

14 May 2025 Global Monitor The tightening cycle is over in Brazil; when come the cuts?

  • US - Inflation outlook little changed by China deal, but exports will be firmer
  • EUROZONE - The US-China trade deal is worth less than markets believe
  • UK - MPC preview: dovish shift, but not as much as the market expected
  • CHINA+ - China considering a major overhaul of its housing-market model
  • EM ASIA - Philippines’ Q1 wasn’t that bad but may be as good as it gets for 2025
  • LATAM - Brazil’s COPOM sticks to the script but signals a long pause

7 May 2025 Global Monitor We now think the ECB will cut its deposit rate to 1.75% by July

  • US - Uncertainty over tariffs hasn’t killed jobs yet, but their imposition will hurt
  • EUROZONE - Soft headline inflation will pave the way for a 1.75% depo-rate by July
  • UK - MPC preview: all about the likely new downside scenario
  • CHINA+ - US and China edge closer to trade talks after back-channel signals
  • EM ASIA - Taiwan’s GDP gets a boost from “Liberation Day” tariff chaos
  • LATAM - Mexico narrowly escapes recession, but the outlook is far from rosy
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independent macro research, Pantheon Macro, Pantheon Macroeconomics, independent research, ian shepherdson, economic intelligence