Pantheon Macroeconomics

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Pantheon Publications

Below is a list of our Publications for the last 5 months. If you are looking for reports older than 6 months please email info@pantheonmacro.com, or contact your account rep.

Please use the filters on the right to search for a specific date or topic.

Andrés Abadía (Chief LatAm Economist)

PM Datanote: Industrial Production, Mexico, May, 2025

  • In one line: Industrial sector stabilises, but outlook remains weak. 

Andrés Abadía (Chief LatAm Economist)Latin America

14 July 2025 LatAm Monitor Banxico set to ease cautiously as disinflation advances but risks linger

  • Disinflation resumes in Mexico, but core pressures linger, led by services.
  • External weakness weighs on manufacturing, but interest rate cuts offer relief.
  • Construction rebounds, but trade tensions and weak US demand are a drag on industrial recovery.

Andrés Abadía (Chief LatAm Economist)Latin America

Global Datanote: CPI, Mexico, June, 2025

  • In one line: Core pressures lingering, but disinflation resumes.

Andrés Abadía (Chief LatAm Economist)Global

PM Datanote: CPI, Mexico, June, 2025

  • In one line: Core pressures lingering, but disinflation resumes.

Andrés Abadía (Chief LatAm Economist)Latin America

11 July 2025 LatAm Monitor Brazil's inflation is stabilising, but now faces another external test

  • Brazil’s inflation is stabilising, but the US tariffs shock threatens growth and adds new inflation risks.
  • Market reaction has been swift, but fundamentals and carry still support a stable BRL outlook.
  • Services inflation remains sticky and disinflation could stall if external strains persist or escalate.

Andrés Abadía (Chief LatAm Economist)Latin America

Global Datanote: CPI, Chile, June, 2025

  • In one line: Inflation falls again; BCCh likely to cut rates.

Andrés Abadía (Chief LatAm Economist)Global

PM Datanote: Inflation, Chile, June, 2025

  • In one line: Inflation falls again; BCCh likely to cut rates.

Andrés Abadía (Chief LatAm Economist)Latin America

10 July 2025 LatAm Monitor Record gains, policy shifts and diverging risks

  • Brazil — New highs, but risks cloud the outlook
  • Mexico — Rally cools as policy risks resurface
  • Chile — IPSA steadies post-rally, with upside scope

Andrés Abadía (Chief LatAm Economist)Latin America

9 July 2025 LatAm Monitor Disinflation in the Andes will allow further policy normalisation, just

  • Chile’s CPI drop strengthens the case for a July rate cut, as disinflation in key categories gains traction.
  • Fading shocks and a stronger CLP support disinflation; BCCh signals rates are moving towards neutral.
  • Colombia’s inflation has fallen below 5%, but sticky services and fiscal noise keep BanRep cautious.

Andrés Abadía (Chief LatAm Economist)Latin America

8 July 2025 LatAm Monitor Mexico's recovery faltering as investment weakens

  • Mexico’s private consumption showed resilience in early Q2, but high interest rates weigh heavily.
  • Capex continues to fall sharply amid trade-policy uncertainty and low business confidence.
  • External demand remains the main support for growth, as domestic momentum weakens further.

Andrés Abadía (Chief LatAm Economist)Latin America

7 July 2025 LatAm Monitor Brazil's manufacturing slumps, but mining shows resilience

  • Durable and capital goods output fell sharply in Brazil, highlighting weakness in domestic demand.
  • Business sentiment and PMIs deteriorated further in June, indicating weaker output in coming quarters.
  • Stable inflation and anchored expectations give BCRP room to stay neutral amid external volatility.

Andrés Abadía (Chief LatAm Economist)Latin America

3 July 2025 LatAm Monitor Currencies steady, but global and fiscal risks loom

  • Brazilian Real —  Rebound tests fiscal resolve
  • Mexican Peso —  Rally faces growing headwinds
  • Colombian Peso — Currency strength facing fiscal test

Andrés Abadía (Chief LatAm Economist)Latin America

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independent macro research, Pantheon Macro, Pantheon Macroeconomics, independent research, ian shepherdson, economic intelligence