Pantheon Macroeconomics

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Pantheon Publications

Below is a list of our Publications for the last 5 months. If you are looking for reports older than 6 months please email info@pantheonmacro.com, or contact your account rep.

Please use the filters on the right to search for a specific date or topic.

Elliott Laidman Doak (Senior UK Economist)

UK Datanote: U.K. CBI Industrial Trends Survey, April 2025

  • In one line: Manufacturing activity improves according to the CBI, but the trade war will hurt businesses.

Elliott Laidman Doak (Senior UK Economist)UK

29 April 2025 UK Monitor Insolvencies remain low, but we continue to monitor the situation

  • The insolvency rate remains low, and well below recession levels.
  • Payroll-tax hikes have stopped the insolvency rate falling, and leading indicators have ticked up a little.
  • We expect corporate distress to stay low, even as the trade war weighs on GDP growth.

Elliott Laidman Doak (Senior UK Economist)UK

23 April 2025 UK Monitor Gilt curve to stay steep as the MPC cuts and risk remains high

  • The gilt market continues to function well, but yields have been volatile.
  • The gilt curve has steepened as markets reprice for more interest rate cuts from the MPC.
  • Longer-dated gilts have sold off and remain vulnerable to policy developments. 

Elliott Laidman Doak (Senior UK Economist)UK

15 April 2025 UK Monitor Housing demand normalising after the stamp-duty-induced rush

  • Official house prices rose sharply in January, taking year-over-year house price inflation to a two-year high.
  • House price inflation will ease to 4.0% year-over-year in December, as higher stamp duty curbs demand.
  • Better affordability as markets price more rate cuts will be offset by weaker employment.

Elliott Laidman Doak (Senior UK Economist)UK

UK Datanote: U.K. CBI Industrial Trends Survey, March 2025

  • In one line: Trade uncertainty will continue to weigh on manufacturing sentiment and activity.

Elliott Laidman Doak (Senior UK Economist)UK

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Keywords for: Publications

independent macro research, Pantheon Macro, Pantheon Macroeconomics, independent research, ian shepherdson, economic intelligence