Pantheon Macroeconomics

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Pantheon Publications

Below is a list of our Publications for the last 5 months. If you are looking for reports older than 6 months please email info@pantheonmacro.com, or contact your account rep.

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Duncan Wrigley

CHINA+ DATA WRAP 1 September 2025: China's manufacturing PMIs post modest gains

In one line: China's manufacturing PMIs post modest gains; Korean exports propped up by chip exports

1 September 2025 China+ Monitor Chinese stock-market exuberance won't lift consumers' spirits

  • History suggests that China’s stock-market rally could boost GDP but won’t do much for consumer sentiment.
  • Policymakers will opt for targeted policy support, lest broad easing drives excessive funds into stocks.
  • Tokyo headline inflation slowed in August due to energy subsidies; food inflation remains elevated.

CHINA+ DATA WRAP 29 August 2025: Tokyo inflation falls

In one line: Tokyo inflation fall mainly due to energy subsidies

Global Datanote: BoK Policy Decision, Korea, August

In one line: BoK stays put amid US pressure not to weaken currency

CHINA+ DATA WRAP 28 August 2025: BoK stays put

In one line: BoK stays put amid US pressure not to weaken currency

29 August 2025 China+ Monitor BoK holds fast amid US pressure on currency and debt worries

  • The BoK left the policy rate unchanged yesterday, citing household-debt worries.
  • The Bank is probably also seeking to avoid upsetting the US with a rate cut which could weaken the KRW.
  • A likely government housing-supply plan and Fed rate cut in September should allow a BoK rate cut in Q4.

28 August 2025 China+ Monitor China's latest local property boosts to provide only a modest lift

  • Tier-one cities are leading another round of targeted residential property market easing in China.
  • The goal is stabilisation, however, rather than returning to solid growth, so expect an L-shaped recovery.
  • Industrial profits barely improved in July amid excess supply; manufacturing profits are rising though.
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independent macro research, Pantheon Macro, Pantheon Macroeconomics, independent research, ian shepherdson, economic intelligence