Pantheon Macroeconomics

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Pantheon Publications

Below is a list of our Publications for the last 5 months. If you are looking for reports older than 6 months please email info@pantheonmacro.com, or contact your account rep.

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Daily Monitor Melanie Debono (Senior Eurozone Economist)

20 August 2025 Eurozone Monitor Foreigners were favouring EZ assets even before higher US tariffs

  • The EZ current account surplus widened in June, despite a sharp drop in the goods trade balance. 
  • Services trade was a boost to GDP in Q2, unlike goods trade. 
  • Foreign investors are funnelling into EZ assets, but this isn’t a new Trump-era trend.

19 August 2025 Eurozone Monitor EZ goods trade surplus nears zero as US exports continue to slide

  • The hit to EZ goods trade from higher US tariffs is visible in the nominal monthly figures. 
  • Goods trade was a drag on EZ GDP in Q2, mainly due to a fall in exports to the US in April to June. 
  • We suspect the nominal goods trade surplus will turn to a deficit in Q3.

15 August 2025 Eurozone Monitor EZ GDP slowed in Q2 and will fall outright in Q3, marginally

  • The slowdown in EZ GDP growth in Q2 was confirmed, mainly due to weakness in industry. 
  • Industry will likely be a bigger drag on GDP in Q3, and the strength in construction will not continue.
  • The labour market continues to support GDP growth; surveys suggest employment will stay solid.
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independent macro research, Pantheon Macro, Pantheon Macroeconomics, independent research, ian shepherdson, economic intelligence