Pantheon Macroeconomics

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114 items tagged "china":

Chart of the Week 22nd Feb 2023

Chart of the Week 22nd Feb 2023

China's top brass wants more consumption; will they get it?

Chart of the Week 16th November 2022

Chart of the Week 16th November 2022

How will Germany's yield curve un-invert?

November 2025- Emerging Asia Chartbook

November 2025- Emerging Asia Chartbook

THAI AND PHILIPPINE GROWTH SLOWEST SINCE COVIDTAIWAN IS STILL FLYING, BUT THE TURN IN GDP HAS COME

December 2025- Emerging Asia Chartbook

December 2025- Emerging Asia Chartbook

BI--RIGHTLY--ISN'T BUYING THE 'STRONG' Q2 GDP...TAIWAN'S EXPORT OUTPERFORMANCE HAS STAYING POWER

January 2026 Emerging Asia Chartbook

January 2026 Emerging Asia Chartbook

EM ASIA EXPORTERS END 2025 WITH A GDP BANG...WE RAISE OUR 2026 INDIA CPI FORECAST TO OVER 4%

February 2026 Emerging Asia Chartbook

February 2026 Emerging Asia Chartbook

THAI BALLOT AND HOT Q4 GDP NO SILVER BULLET...INDIA'S 2026/27 BUDGET KICKS THE CAN DOWN THE ROAD

February 2025 - Latin America Chartbook

February 2025 - Latin America Chartbook

LATAM ACTIVITY STABILISES AS POLICY PATHS DIVERGEDISINFLATION PROVES UNEVEN, WHILE POLITICAL RISK INTENSIFIES

March 2026 - Emerging Asia Chartbook

March 2026 - Emerging Asia Chartbook

CPI FORECASTS UP ACROSS THE BOARD IN EM ASIA...BUT FROM LOW STARTING POINTS; ONLY SBV SET TO HIKE

Global Datanote: Flash PMIs, Eurozone, November 2025

Global Datanote: Flash PMIs, Eurozone, November 2025

In one line: Still pointing to upside risks to our forecast for Q4.

Global Datanote:  INSEE Business Confidence and Advance PMIs, France, November 2025

Global Datanote: INSEE Business Confidence and Advance PMIs, France, November 2025

In one line: Solid headlines in services; weakness coming in industrial output.

PM Datanote: Advance GDP, Mexico, Q3, 2025

PM Datanote: Advance GDP, Mexico, Q3, 2025

In one line: A poor Q3, but early Q4 indicators hint at tentative stabilisation.

Global Datanote: Advance GDP, Mexico, Q3, 2025

Global Datanote: Advance GDP, Mexico, Q3, 2025

In one line: A poor Q3, but early Q4 indicators hint at tentative stabilisation.

PM Datanote: GDP, Chile, Q3, 2025

PM Datanote: GDP, Chile, Q3, 2025

In one line: Momentum fades as mining weakens, while domestic demand holds firm.

EM Asia Datanote: GDP, India, Q3 2025

EM Asia Datanote: GDP, India, Q3 2025

In one line: Not worth the paper it's printed on.

PM Datanote: GDP, Third Quarter, Brazil, 2025

PM Datanote: GDP, Third Quarter, Brazil, 2025

In one line: Growth almost stalls as industry steadies and agriculture rebounds.

Global Datanote: GDP, Third Quarter, Brazil, 2025

Global Datanote: GDP, Third Quarter, Brazil, 2025

In one line: Growth almost stalls as industry steadies and agriculture rebounds.

Global Datanote: GDP, US, Q3 2025

Global Datanote: GDP, US, Q3 2025

In one line: Q3's strength is unlikely to be sustained.

PM Datanote:  Advance GDP, Mexico, Q4, 2025

PM Datanote: Advance GDP, Mexico, Q4, 2025

In one line: Solid Q4 rebound eases recession fears.

Global Datanote: Advance GDP, Mexico, Q4, 2025

Global Datanote: Advance GDP, Mexico, Q4, 2025

In one line: Solid Q4 rebound eases recession fears.

PM Datanote: GDP, Fourth Quarter, Brazil, 2025

PM Datanote: GDP, Fourth Quarter, Brazil, 2025

In one line: Q4 confirms stagnation as tight policy weighs on capex.

Global Datanote: GDP, Fourth Quarter, Brazil, 2025

Global Datanote: GDP, Fourth Quarter, Brazil, 2025

In one line: Q4 confirms stagnation as tight policy weighs on capex.

UK Datanote: UK Public Finances, November 2025

UK Datanote: UK Public Finances, November 2025

In one line: Fiscal plans rest on shaky foundations.

EM Asia Datanote: Core IP, India, December

EM Asia Datanote: Core IP, India, December

In one line: Just about enough to salvage Q4.

9 April 2026 China+ Monitor Iran war hits China via trade channel, but with limited impact

9 April 2026 China+ Monitor Iran war hits China via trade channel, but with limited impact

Iran war hits China via trade channel, but with limited impact

EZ Datanote: GfK Consumer Confidence, Germany, December 2025

EZ Datanote: GfK Consumer Confidence, Germany, December 2025

In one line: Decent headline, but mixed details.

EZ Datanote: Factory Orders, Germany, October 2025

EZ Datanote: Factory Orders, Germany, October 2025

In one line: Orders rise again, boosted by major orders.

EZ Datanote: GfK Consumer Confidence, Germany, February 2026

EZ Datanote: GfK Consumer Confidence, Germany, February 2026

In one line: Solid details, but will it be sustained?

EZ Datanote: Unemployment, Germany, March 2026

EZ Datanote: Unemployment, Germany, March 2026

In one line: Stable, but renewed risks now loom.

EZ Datanote: Factory Orders, Germany, February 2026

EZ Datanote: Factory Orders, Germany, February 2026

In one line: Strong gain in core orders.

CHINA+ DATA WRAP 1 December 2025: China's domestic demand stalling

CHINA+ DATA WRAP 1 December 2025: China's domestic demand stalling

RatingDog PMI stung by waning domestic demand, despite buoyant overseas ordersKorean manufacturing index treading water

EZ Datanote: Advance EC Consumer Confidence, Eurozone, November

EZ Datanote: Advance EC Consumer Confidence, Eurozone, November

In one line: Stable in November; spending should pick up regardless.

EZ Datanote: Unemployment, Eurozone, October 2025

EZ Datanote: Unemployment, Eurozone, October 2025

In one line: Steady near record lows.

EZ Datanote: Construction, Eurozone, October 2025

EZ Datanote: Construction, Eurozone, October 2025

In one line: EZ construction likely escaped recession in Q4.

EZ Datanote: Advance EC Consumer Confidence, Eurozone, December 2025

EZ Datanote: Advance EC Consumer Confidence, Eurozone, December 2025

In one line: Little holiday cheer for EZ households at year-end.

EZ Datanote: Advance EC Consumer Confidence, Eurozone, January 2026

EZ Datanote: Advance EC Consumer Confidence, Eurozone, January 2026

In one line: EZ consumers seem to be beating the January blues.

EZ Datanote: Advance EC Consumer Confidence, Eurozone, February 2026

EZ Datanote: Advance EC Consumer Confidence, Eurozone, February 2026

In one line: EZ consumer sentiment up once again, but by only a bit this time.

EZ Datanote: Unemployment, Eurozone, January 2026

EZ Datanote: Unemployment, Eurozone, January 2026

In one line: More hawkish data for EZ short-term bonds to digest.

EZ Datanote: Sentix, Eurozone, April 2026

EZ Datanote: Sentix, Eurozone, April 2026

In one line: Downside risks are widening for Q2.

EZ Datanote:  Detailed Inflation, France, October 2025

EZ Datanote: Detailed Inflation, France, October 2025

In one line: Lowest in the Eurozone.

EZ Datanote: Final Inflation, Eurozone, October 2025

EZ Datanote: Final Inflation, Eurozone, October 2025

In one line: Inflation to stay above 2% in Q4.

EZ Datanote: ISTAT Business Confidence, Italy, March 2026

EZ Datanote: ISTAT Business Confidence, Italy, March 2026

In one line: Households already rattled by energy shock; industry yet to report feeling jittery.

EZ Datanote: Construction, Eurozone, September 2025

EZ Datanote: Construction, Eurozone, September 2025

In one line: Construction had a neutral impact on EZ GDP in Q3.

EZ Datanote: ISTAT Business Confidence, Italy, December 2025

EZ Datanote: ISTAT Business Confidence, Italy, December 2025

In one line: Consistent with a pick up in GDP growth in Q4.

Global Datanote: GDP Flash, Switzerland, Q4 2025

Global Datanote: GDP Flash, Switzerland, Q4 2025

In one line: Better than we thought; growth will pick up in Q1.

EM Asia Datanote: GDP, India, Q4

EM Asia Datanote: GDP, India, Q4

In one line: New series paints a more stable picture of recent years; 'statistical discrepancies' no longer a bug-bear.

PM Datanote: President Boluarte impeached, Peru, Oct 2025

PM Datanote: President Boluarte impeached, Peru, Oct 2025

In one line: President Boluarte removed; uncertainty persists but economy remains resilient.

PM Datanote: US Employment Cost Index, Q3 2025

PM Datanote: US Employment Cost Index, Q3 2025

Much weaker wage growth likely lies ahead.

China+ Webinar June 2023 - What will China do about its Spluttering Economy?

China+ Webinar June 2023 - What will China do about its Spluttering Economy?

How Much Further Does The MPC Need To Go To Suppress Inflation?

China+ Webinar March 2023: China Is Prioritising Domestic Expansion As It Reopens...But How Much Policy Support Is Coming Out Of The NPC

China+ Webinar March 2023: China Is Prioritising Domestic Expansion As It Reopens...But How Much Policy Support Is Coming Out Of The NPC

China Is Prioritising Domestic Expansion As It Reopens...But How Much Policy Support Is Coming Out Of The NPC

China+ Webinar March 2024: Course Correction or More of the Same?

China+ Webinar March 2024: Course Correction or More of the Same?

China's Two Sessions - Course Correction or More of the Same?

China+ Webinar May 2024: China's New Round of Property Easing

China+ Webinar May 2024: China's New Round of Property Easing

China's New Round of Property Easing - Turning Point or Staging Point?

US Webinar September 2025: Is the Consumer Slowdown Already Over?

US Webinar September 2025: Is the Consumer Slowdown Already Over?

Real Income Outlook Implies Recent Pick-Up is a False Dawn

UK Webinar October 2025: Can the Budget Bring Back Rate Cuts?

UK Webinar October 2025: Can the Budget Bring Back Rate Cuts?

...One More Cut in February, but Inflation is Still Sticky

U.S. Webinar October 2025: How to Take the Economy's Pulse Without Official Data

U.S. Webinar October 2025: How to Take the Economy's Pulse Without Official Data

Only Labour Market Indicators are Worth your Attention

UK Webinar March 2026: How Long Will the MPC Have to Wait to Cut?

UK Webinar March 2026: How Long Will the MPC Have to Wait to Cut?

...The Rest of the Year if the Energy Futures are Sustained

Eurozone Webinar May 2022: How Will EZ Policymakers Respond To Stagflation?

Eurozone Webinar May 2022: How Will EZ Policymakers Respond To Stagflation?

Eurozone Webinar by Claus Vistesen and Melanie Debono

Brace for Chaos and Uncertainty...U.S. Webinar, 26 September, 2023

Brace for Chaos and Uncertainty...U.S. Webinar, 26 September, 2023

Brace for Chaos and Uncertainty...U.S. Webinar, 26 September, 2023

Eurozone Webinar January 2022: Omicron Is Milder Than Delta...But It Will Still Weigh On Growth In Q1

Eurozone Webinar January 2022: Omicron Is Milder Than Delta...But It Will Still Weigh On Growth In Q1

Global Webinar by Ian Shepherdson, Craig Botham, Miguel Chanco, Andres Abadia, Claus Vistesen, and Samuel Tombs.

Eurozone Webinar March 2023: The ECB Is Still Focused On Rising Core Inflation; Is It Making A Policy Error?

Eurozone Webinar March 2023: The ECB Is Still Focused On Rising Core Inflation; Is It Making A Policy Error?

The ECB Is Still Focused On Rising Core Inflation; Is It Making A Policy Error?

EZ Webinar April 2024: What is the Link Between EZ Wage Growth & Inflation?

EZ Webinar April 2024: What is the Link Between EZ Wage Growth & Inflation?

What is the Link Between EZ Wage Growth & Inflation?

EZ Webinar December 2023: When Will the ECB's Message Shift?

EZ Webinar December 2023: When Will the ECB's Message Shift?

EZ Webinar December 2023: When Will the ECB's Message Shift?

EZ Webinar February 2024: Will the SNB Beat the ECB to it on Rate Cuts?

EZ Webinar February 2024: Will the SNB Beat the ECB to it on Rate Cuts?

Switzerland Focus: Will the SNB Beat the ECB to it on Rate Cuts?

Global Webinar January 2023: The Global Economy in 2023 - More Turbulence Ahead, but Inflation will Calm

Global Webinar January 2023: The Global Economy in 2023 - More Turbulence Ahead, but Inflation will Calm

Global Webinar January 2023: The Global Economy in 2023 - More Turbulence Ahead, but Inflation will Calm

Global Webinar November 2023: Who Will Be Easing Next Year, And By How Much?

Global Webinar November 2023: Who Will Be Easing Next Year, And By How Much?

Global Webinar November 2023: Who Will Be Easing Next Year, And By How Much?

Rate Cuts on the Horizon: How soon, and How Big?

Rate Cuts on the Horizon: How soon, and How Big?

Rate Cuts on the Horizon: How soon, and How Big?

U.K. Webinar June 2023: How Much Further Does The MPC Need To Go To Suppress Inflation?

U.K. Webinar June 2023: How Much Further Does The MPC Need To Go To Suppress Inflation?

How Much Further Does The MPC Need To Go To Suppress Inflation?

U.K. Webinar March 2023: Does The MPC Still Need To Trigger A Recession To Get CPI Inflation Sustainably Back To Target?

U.K. Webinar March 2023: Does The MPC Still Need To Trigger A Recession To Get CPI Inflation Sustainably Back To Target?

Does The MPC Still Need To Trigger A Recession To Get CPI Inflation Sustainably Back To Target?

U.S. Webinar April 2023: Recession Incoming...The Labour Market Is Set To Weaken

U.S. Webinar April 2023: Recession Incoming...The Labour Market Is Set To Weaken

Recession Incoming...The Labour Market Is Set To Weaken

U.S. Webinar February 2023: Broad Disinflation Pressure Is Building....Further Hikes Risk An Unnecessary Recession

U.S. Webinar February 2023: Broad Disinflation Pressure Is Building....Further Hikes Risk An Unnecessary Recession

U.S. Webinar February 2023: Broad Disinflation Pressure Is Building....Further Hikes Risk An Unnecessary Recession

U.S. Webinar July 2023: THE FED PROBABLY IS DONE... ...DISINFLATION MOMENTUM IS BUILDING

U.S. Webinar July 2023: THE FED PROBABLY IS DONE... ...DISINFLATION MOMENTUM IS BUILDING

U.S. Webinar July 2023: THE FED PROBABLY IS DONE... ...DISINFLATION MOMENTUM IS BUILDING

U.S. Webinar June 2023: TWO MORE FED HIKES ARE NOT BAKED-IN...PAYROLL GROWTH AND CORE INFLATION ARE SET TO SLOW

U.S. Webinar June 2023: TWO MORE FED HIKES ARE NOT BAKED-IN...PAYROLL GROWTH AND CORE INFLATION ARE SET TO SLOW

TWO MORE FED HIKES ARE NOT BAKED-IN...PAYROLL GROWTH AND CORE INFLATION ARE SET TO SLOW

U.S. Webinar March 2023: This Is Not 2008, But The Crisis Is Deflationary....How Will The Fed Respond?

U.S. Webinar March 2023: This Is Not 2008, But The Crisis Is Deflationary....How Will The Fed Respond?

This Is Not 2008, But The Crisis Is Deflationary....How Will The Fed Respond?

U.S. Webinar May 2023: Recession Risk Is Mostly In The Business Sector...But Consumption Is Slowing Too

U.S. Webinar May 2023: Recession Risk Is Mostly In The Business Sector...But Consumption Is Slowing Too

Recession Risk Is Mostly In The Business Sector...But Consumption Is Slowing Too

UK Webinar December 2023: How Agile Will the MPC be Next Year

UK Webinar December 2023: How Agile Will the MPC be Next Year

UK Webinar December 2023: How Agile Will the MPC be Next Year

US Webinar June 2024: Squeezed Business Credit

US Webinar June 2024: Squeezed Business Credit

Squeezed Business Credit, Cashflow-Constrained Consumers: Bad for Growth, Good for (Dis)Inflation

US Webinar March 2024: The Labor Market will be the Spring Game-Changer...

US Webinar March 2024: The Labor Market will be the Spring Game-Changer...

The Labor Market will be the Spring Game-Changer...What will Happen, and how will the Fed Respond?

US Webinar May 2024: The Labor Market is Starting to Weaken...

US Webinar May 2024: The Labor Market is Starting to Weaken...

The Labor Market is Starting to Weaken...Will it Push the Fed into Action?

 

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