Pantheon Macroeconomics

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116 items tagged "china":

Chart of the Week 22nd Feb 2023

Chart of the Week 22nd Feb 2023

China's top brass wants more consumption; will they get it?

Chart of the Week 16th November 2022

Chart of the Week 16th November 2022

How will Germany's yield curve un-invert?

November 2025- Emerging Asia Chartbook

November 2025- Emerging Asia Chartbook

THAI AND PHILIPPINE GROWTH SLOWEST SINCE COVIDTAIWAN IS STILL FLYING, BUT THE TURN IN GDP HAS COME

December 2025- Emerging Asia Chartbook

December 2025- Emerging Asia Chartbook

BI--RIGHTLY--ISN'T BUYING THE 'STRONG' Q2 GDP...TAIWAN'S EXPORT OUTPERFORMANCE HAS STAYING POWER

January 2026 Emerging Asia Chartbook

January 2026 Emerging Asia Chartbook

EM ASIA EXPORTERS END 2025 WITH A GDP BANG...WE RAISE OUR 2026 INDIA CPI FORECAST TO OVER 4%

February 2026 Emerging Asia Chartbook

February 2026 Emerging Asia Chartbook

THAI BALLOT AND HOT Q4 GDP NO SILVER BULLET...INDIA'S 2026/27 BUDGET KICKS THE CAN DOWN THE ROAD

February 2026 - Latin America Chartbook

February 2026 - Latin America Chartbook

LATAM ACTIVITY STABILISES AS POLICY PATHS DIVERGEDISINFLATION PROVES UNEVEN, WHILE POLITICAL RISK INTENSIFIES

March 2026 - Emerging Asia Chartbook

March 2026 - Emerging Asia Chartbook

CPI FORECASTS UP ACROSS THE BOARD IN EM ASIA...BUT FROM LOW STARTING POINTS; ONLY SBV SET TO HIKE

March 2025 - Latin America Chartbook

March 2025 - Latin America Chartbook

IRAN-WAR SHOCK COMPLICATES LATAM EASING CYCLEOIL-DRIVEN INFLATION DELAYS POLICY NORMALISATION

UK Datanote: UK Public Finances, November 2025

UK Datanote: UK Public Finances, November 2025

In one line: Fiscal plans rest on shaky foundations.

EM Asia Datanote: Core IP, India, December

EM Asia Datanote: Core IP, India, December

In one line: Just about enough to salvage Q4.

EZ Datanote: Factory Orders, Germany, October 2025

EZ Datanote: Factory Orders, Germany, October 2025

In one line: Orders rise again, boosted by major orders.

EZ Datanote: GfK Consumer Confidence, Germany, February 2026

EZ Datanote: GfK Consumer Confidence, Germany, February 2026

In one line: Solid details, but will it be sustained?

EZ Datanote: Unemployment, Germany, March 2026

EZ Datanote: Unemployment, Germany, March 2026

In one line: Stable, but renewed risks now loom.

EZ Datanote: Factory Orders, Germany, February 2026

EZ Datanote: Factory Orders, Germany, February 2026

In one line: Strong gain in core orders.

EZ Datanote: ZEW, Germany, May 2026

EZ Datanote: ZEW, Germany, May 2026

In one line: Investor sentiment rebounds in May, slightly.

CHINA+ DATA WRAP 1 December 2025: China's domestic demand stalling

CHINA+ DATA WRAP 1 December 2025: China's domestic demand stalling

RatingDog PMI stung by waning domestic demand, despite buoyant overseas ordersKorean manufacturing index treading water

PM Datanote: US Productivity & Unit Labor Costs / Weekly Jobless Claims

PM Datanote: US Productivity & Unit Labor Costs / Weekly Jobless Claims

Strong productivity growth is restraining unit labor costs.

9 April 2026 China+ Monitor Iran war hits China via trade channel, but with limited impact

9 April 2026 China+ Monitor Iran war hits China via trade channel, but with limited impact

Iran war hits China via trade channel, but with limited impact

17 April 2026 China+ Monitor All that glitters is not gold: China's flawed Q1 GDP print

17 April 2026 China+ Monitor All that glitters is not gold: China's flawed Q1 GDP print

All that glitters is not gold: China's flawed Q1 GDP print

21 April 2026 China+ Monitor China rates steady on NIM pressure; ample liquidity cushioning growth

21 April 2026 China+ Monitor China rates steady on NIM pressure; ample liquidity cushioning growth

China rates steady on NIM pressure; ample liquidity cushioning growth

28 April 2026 China+ Monitor Q1 industrial profits extend strong gains, led by high-tech and energy

28 April 2026 China+ Monitor Q1 industrial profits extend strong gains, led by high-tech and energy

Q1 industrial profits extend strong gains, led by high-tech and energy

29 April 2026 China+ Monitor Governor Ueda's attempt to 'thread the needle' leaves currency exposed

29 April 2026 China+ Monitor Governor Ueda's attempt to 'thread the needle' leaves currency exposed

Governor Ueda's attempt to 'thread the needle' leaves currency exposed

1 May 2026 China+ Monitor China's April manufacturing PMIs hint at front-loading by exporters

1 May 2026 China+ Monitor China's April manufacturing PMIs hint at front-loading by exporters

China's April manufacturing PMIs hint at front-loading by exporters

EZ Datanote: ISTAT Business Confidence, Italy, March 2026

EZ Datanote: ISTAT Business Confidence, Italy, March 2026

In one line: Households already rattled by energy shock; industry yet to report feeling jittery.

EZ Datanote: Final Inflation, France, March 2026

EZ Datanote: Final Inflation, France, March 2026

In one line: On track for around 2.5% in May.

EZ Datanote: Advance Inflation, France, April 2026

EZ Datanote: Advance Inflation, France, April 2026

In one line: Lifted by a further surge in energy inflation.

EZ Datanote: Unemployment, Eurozone, October 2025

EZ Datanote: Unemployment, Eurozone, October 2025

In one line: Steady near record lows.

EZ Datanote: Construction, Eurozone, October 2025

EZ Datanote: Construction, Eurozone, October 2025

In one line: EZ construction likely escaped recession in Q4.

EZ Datanote: Advance EC Consumer Confidence, Eurozone, December 2025

EZ Datanote: Advance EC Consumer Confidence, Eurozone, December 2025

In one line: Little holiday cheer for EZ households at year-end.

EZ Datanote: Advance EC Consumer Confidence, Eurozone, January 2026

EZ Datanote: Advance EC Consumer Confidence, Eurozone, January 2026

In one line: EZ consumers seem to be beating the January blues.

EZ Datanote: Advance EC Consumer Confidence, Eurozone, February 2026

EZ Datanote: Advance EC Consumer Confidence, Eurozone, February 2026

In one line: EZ consumer sentiment up once again, but by only a bit this time.

EZ Datanote: Unemployment, Eurozone, January 2026

EZ Datanote: Unemployment, Eurozone, January 2026

In one line: More hawkish data for EZ short-term bonds to digest.

EZ Datanote: Sentix, Eurozone, April 2026

EZ Datanote: Sentix, Eurozone, April 2026

In one line: Downside risks are widening for Q2.

EZ Datanote: Construction Output, Eurozone, February 2026

EZ Datanote: Construction Output, Eurozone, February 2026

In one line: No signs of Germany's infrastructure spending spree before the energy shock.

EZ Datanote: ISTAT Business Confidence, Italy, December 2025

EZ Datanote: ISTAT Business Confidence, Italy, December 2025

In one line: Consistent with a pick up in GDP growth in Q4.

Global Datanote: GDP Flash, Switzerland, Q4 2025

Global Datanote: GDP Flash, Switzerland, Q4 2025

In one line: Better than we thought; growth will pick up in Q1.

EM Asia Datanote: GDP, India, Q4

EM Asia Datanote: GDP, India, Q4

In one line: New series paints a more stable picture of recent years; 'statistical discrepancies' no longer a bug-bear.

EZ Datanote: Advance GDP, Spain, Q1 2026

EZ Datanote: Advance GDP, Spain, Q1 2026

In one line: Beats expectations, but this strength won't last

EZ Datanote: Advance Q1 GDP, Italy, Q1 2026

EZ Datanote: Advance Q1 GDP, Italy, Q1 2026

In one line: The energy shock will hurt Italian growth more than other major EZ economies.

PM Datanote: US Advance GDP, Q1

PM Datanote: US Advance GDP, Q1

Growth outside of the tech sector already was anemic ahead of the energy shock.

PM Datanote: President Boluarte impeached, Peru, Oct 2025

PM Datanote: President Boluarte impeached, Peru, Oct 2025

In one line: President Boluarte removed; uncertainty persists but economy remains resilient.

PM Datanote: US Employment Cost Index, Q3 2025

PM Datanote: US Employment Cost Index, Q3 2025

Much weaker wage growth likely lies ahead.

PM Datanote: Banxico Announcement, Mexico, May, 2026

PM Datanote: Banxico Announcement, Mexico, May, 2026

In one line: Banxico cuts rates, likely ending the easing cycle.

Global Datanote: Banxico Announcement, Mexico, May, 2026

Global Datanote: Banxico Announcement, Mexico, May, 2026

In one line: Banxico cuts rates, likely ending the easing cycle.

PM Datanote: US Michigan Consumer Survey, May 2026

PM Datanote: US Michigan Consumer Survey, May 2026

The recent resilience in consumers' spending probably is on borrowed time.

China+ Webinar June 2023 - What will China do about its Spluttering Economy?

China+ Webinar June 2023 - What will China do about its Spluttering Economy?

How Much Further Does The MPC Need To Go To Suppress Inflation?

China+ Webinar March 2023: China Is Prioritising Domestic Expansion As It Reopens...But How Much Policy Support Is Coming Out Of The NPC

China+ Webinar March 2023: China Is Prioritising Domestic Expansion As It Reopens...But How Much Policy Support Is Coming Out Of The NPC

China Is Prioritising Domestic Expansion As It Reopens...But How Much Policy Support Is Coming Out Of The NPC

China+ Webinar March 2024: Course Correction or More of the Same?

China+ Webinar March 2024: Course Correction or More of the Same?

China's Two Sessions - Course Correction or More of the Same?

China+ Webinar May 2024: China's New Round of Property Easing

China+ Webinar May 2024: China's New Round of Property Easing

China's New Round of Property Easing - Turning Point or Staging Point?

US Webinar September 2025: Is the Consumer Slowdown Already Over?

US Webinar September 2025: Is the Consumer Slowdown Already Over?

Real Income Outlook Implies Recent Pick-Up is a False Dawn

UK Webinar October 2025: Can the Budget Bring Back Rate Cuts?

UK Webinar October 2025: Can the Budget Bring Back Rate Cuts?

...One More Cut in February, but Inflation is Still Sticky

U.S. Webinar October 2025: How to Take the Economy's Pulse Without Official Data

U.S. Webinar October 2025: How to Take the Economy's Pulse Without Official Data

Only Labour Market Indicators are Worth your Attention

UK Webinar March 2026: How Long Will the MPC Have to Wait to Cut?

UK Webinar March 2026: How Long Will the MPC Have to Wait to Cut?

...The Rest of the Year if the Energy Futures are Sustained

U.S. Webinar April 2026: Will Consumers Buckle Under Higher Energy Prices?

U.S. Webinar April 2026: Will Consumers Buckle Under Higher Energy Prices?

Balance Sheets Can Be Flexed, But Spending Will Slow

Eurozone Webinar May 2022: How Will EZ Policymakers Respond To Stagflation?

Eurozone Webinar May 2022: How Will EZ Policymakers Respond To Stagflation?

Eurozone Webinar by Claus Vistesen and Melanie Debono

Brace for Chaos and Uncertainty...U.S. Webinar, 26 September, 2023

Brace for Chaos and Uncertainty...U.S. Webinar, 26 September, 2023

Brace for Chaos and Uncertainty...U.S. Webinar, 26 September, 2023

Eurozone Webinar January 2022: Omicron Is Milder Than Delta...But It Will Still Weigh On Growth In Q1

Eurozone Webinar January 2022: Omicron Is Milder Than Delta...But It Will Still Weigh On Growth In Q1

Global Webinar by Ian Shepherdson, Craig Botham, Miguel Chanco, Andres Abadia, Claus Vistesen, and Samuel Tombs.

Eurozone Webinar March 2023: The ECB Is Still Focused On Rising Core Inflation; Is It Making A Policy Error?

Eurozone Webinar March 2023: The ECB Is Still Focused On Rising Core Inflation; Is It Making A Policy Error?

The ECB Is Still Focused On Rising Core Inflation; Is It Making A Policy Error?

EZ Webinar April 2024: What is the Link Between EZ Wage Growth & Inflation?

EZ Webinar April 2024: What is the Link Between EZ Wage Growth & Inflation?

What is the Link Between EZ Wage Growth & Inflation?

EZ Webinar December 2023: When Will the ECB's Message Shift?

EZ Webinar December 2023: When Will the ECB's Message Shift?

EZ Webinar December 2023: When Will the ECB's Message Shift?

EZ Webinar February 2024: Will the SNB Beat the ECB to it on Rate Cuts?

EZ Webinar February 2024: Will the SNB Beat the ECB to it on Rate Cuts?

Switzerland Focus: Will the SNB Beat the ECB to it on Rate Cuts?

Global Webinar January 2023: The Global Economy in 2023 - More Turbulence Ahead, but Inflation will Calm

Global Webinar January 2023: The Global Economy in 2023 - More Turbulence Ahead, but Inflation will Calm

Global Webinar January 2023: The Global Economy in 2023 - More Turbulence Ahead, but Inflation will Calm

Global Webinar November 2023: Who Will Be Easing Next Year, And By How Much?

Global Webinar November 2023: Who Will Be Easing Next Year, And By How Much?

Global Webinar November 2023: Who Will Be Easing Next Year, And By How Much?

Rate Cuts on the Horizon: How soon, and How Big?

Rate Cuts on the Horizon: How soon, and How Big?

Rate Cuts on the Horizon: How soon, and How Big?

U.K. Webinar June 2023: How Much Further Does The MPC Need To Go To Suppress Inflation?

U.K. Webinar June 2023: How Much Further Does The MPC Need To Go To Suppress Inflation?

How Much Further Does The MPC Need To Go To Suppress Inflation?

U.K. Webinar March 2023: Does The MPC Still Need To Trigger A Recession To Get CPI Inflation Sustainably Back To Target?

U.K. Webinar March 2023: Does The MPC Still Need To Trigger A Recession To Get CPI Inflation Sustainably Back To Target?

Does The MPC Still Need To Trigger A Recession To Get CPI Inflation Sustainably Back To Target?

U.S. Webinar April 2023: Recession Incoming...The Labour Market Is Set To Weaken

U.S. Webinar April 2023: Recession Incoming...The Labour Market Is Set To Weaken

Recession Incoming...The Labour Market Is Set To Weaken

U.S. Webinar February 2023: Broad Disinflation Pressure Is Building....Further Hikes Risk An Unnecessary Recession

U.S. Webinar February 2023: Broad Disinflation Pressure Is Building....Further Hikes Risk An Unnecessary Recession

U.S. Webinar February 2023: Broad Disinflation Pressure Is Building....Further Hikes Risk An Unnecessary Recession

U.S. Webinar July 2023: THE FED PROBABLY IS DONE... ...DISINFLATION MOMENTUM IS BUILDING

U.S. Webinar July 2023: THE FED PROBABLY IS DONE... ...DISINFLATION MOMENTUM IS BUILDING

U.S. Webinar July 2023: THE FED PROBABLY IS DONE... ...DISINFLATION MOMENTUM IS BUILDING

U.S. Webinar June 2023: TWO MORE FED HIKES ARE NOT BAKED-IN...PAYROLL GROWTH AND CORE INFLATION ARE SET TO SLOW

U.S. Webinar June 2023: TWO MORE FED HIKES ARE NOT BAKED-IN...PAYROLL GROWTH AND CORE INFLATION ARE SET TO SLOW

TWO MORE FED HIKES ARE NOT BAKED-IN...PAYROLL GROWTH AND CORE INFLATION ARE SET TO SLOW

U.S. Webinar March 2023: This Is Not 2008, But The Crisis Is Deflationary....How Will The Fed Respond?

U.S. Webinar March 2023: This Is Not 2008, But The Crisis Is Deflationary....How Will The Fed Respond?

This Is Not 2008, But The Crisis Is Deflationary....How Will The Fed Respond?

U.S. Webinar May 2023: Recession Risk Is Mostly In The Business Sector...But Consumption Is Slowing Too

U.S. Webinar May 2023: Recession Risk Is Mostly In The Business Sector...But Consumption Is Slowing Too

Recession Risk Is Mostly In The Business Sector...But Consumption Is Slowing Too

UK Webinar December 2023: How Agile Will the MPC be Next Year

UK Webinar December 2023: How Agile Will the MPC be Next Year

UK Webinar December 2023: How Agile Will the MPC be Next Year

US Webinar June 2024: Squeezed Business Credit

US Webinar June 2024: Squeezed Business Credit

Squeezed Business Credit, Cashflow-Constrained Consumers: Bad for Growth, Good for (Dis)Inflation

US Webinar March 2024: The Labor Market will be the Spring Game-Changer...

US Webinar March 2024: The Labor Market will be the Spring Game-Changer...

The Labor Market will be the Spring Game-Changer...What will Happen, and how will the Fed Respond?

US Webinar May 2024: The Labor Market is Starting to Weaken...

US Webinar May 2024: The Labor Market is Starting to Weaken...

The Labor Market is Starting to Weaken...Will it Push the Fed into Action?

 

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