Pantheon Macroeconomics

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112 items tagged "china":

Chart of the Week 22nd Feb 2023

Chart of the Week 22nd Feb 2023

China's top brass wants more consumption; will they get it?

Chart of the Week 16th November 2022

Chart of the Week 16th November 2022

How will Germany's yield curve un-invert?

UK Datanote: UK Public Finances, November 2025

UK Datanote: UK Public Finances, November 2025

In one line: Fiscal plans rest on shaky foundations.

PM Datanote: US Michigan Sentiment Survey, January 2026

PM Datanote: US Michigan Sentiment Survey, January 2026

Overstating the gloom, but a downbeat message nonetheless.

UK Datanote: UK GfK Consumers' Confidence Survey, January 2026

UK Datanote: UK GfK Consumers' Confidence Survey, January 2026

In one line: Consumers' confidence can continue to rise slowly in 2026.

PM Datanote: US Consumer Confidence, January 2026

PM Datanote: US Consumer Confidence, January 2026

Spending slowdown and further labor market weakness are likely.

UK Datanote: U.K. Nationwide House Price Index, January 2026

UK Datanote: U.K. Nationwide House Price Index, January 2026

In one line: House price inflation will continue to steadily rise over the coming year.

UK Datanote: UK Car Registrations, January 2026

UK Datanote: UK Car Registrations, January 2026

In one line: Autos registrations will continue to rise slowly over the coming year.

PM Datanote: US NFIB Small Business Optimism Survey, January 2026

PM Datanote: US NFIB Small Business Optimism Survey, January 2026

Probably overstating the labor market's health.

PM Datanote: US Employment, January 2026

PM Datanote: US Employment, January 2026

Above trend due to mild weather and a blip in healthcare jobs.

Global Datanote: Employment, US, January, 2026

Global Datanote: Employment, US, January, 2026

In one line: Above trend due to mild weather and a blip in healthcare jobs.

UK Datanote: UK Report on Jobs Survey, January 2026

UK Datanote: UK Report on Jobs Survey, January 2026

In one line: Hiring sentiment has further to improve in Q1.

UK Datanote: UK Public Finances, September 2025

UK Datanote: UK Public Finances, September 2025

In one line: Borrowing overshoot shrinks but the Chancellor still has to raise taxes or cut spending by at least £25B.

PM Datanote: Advance GDP, Mexico, Q3, 2025

PM Datanote: Advance GDP, Mexico, Q3, 2025

In one line: A poor Q3, but early Q4 indicators hint at tentative stabilisation.

Global Datanote: Advance GDP, Mexico, Q3, 2025

Global Datanote: Advance GDP, Mexico, Q3, 2025

In one line: A poor Q3, but early Q4 indicators hint at tentative stabilisation.

PM Datanote: GDP, Chile, Q3, 2025

PM Datanote: GDP, Chile, Q3, 2025

In one line: Momentum fades as mining weakens, while domestic demand holds firm.

EM Asia Datanote: GDP, India, Q3 2025

EM Asia Datanote: GDP, India, Q3 2025

In one line: Not worth the paper it's printed on.

PM Datanote: GDP, Third Quarter, Brazil, 2025

PM Datanote: GDP, Third Quarter, Brazil, 2025

In one line: Growth almost stalls as industry steadies and agriculture rebounds.

Global Datanote: GDP, Third Quarter, Brazil, 2025

Global Datanote: GDP, Third Quarter, Brazil, 2025

In one line: Growth almost stalls as industry steadies and agriculture rebounds.

Global Datanote: GDP, US, Q3 2025

Global Datanote: GDP, US, Q3 2025

In one line: Q3's strength is unlikely to be sustained.

PM Datanote:  Advance GDP, Mexico, Q4, 2025

PM Datanote: Advance GDP, Mexico, Q4, 2025

In one line: Solid Q4 rebound eases recession fears.

Global Datanote: Advance GDP, Mexico, Q4, 2025

Global Datanote: Advance GDP, Mexico, Q4, 2025

In one line: Solid Q4 rebound eases recession fears.

PM Datanote: GDP, Fourth Quarter, Brazil, 2025

PM Datanote: GDP, Fourth Quarter, Brazil, 2025

In one line: Q4 confirms stagnation as tight policy weighs on capex.

Global Datanote: GDP, Fourth Quarter, Brazil, 2025

Global Datanote: GDP, Fourth Quarter, Brazil, 2025

In one line: Q4 confirms stagnation as tight policy weighs on capex.

EM Asia Datanote: Core IP, India, December

EM Asia Datanote: Core IP, India, December

In one line: Just about enough to salvage Q4.

EZ Datanote: GfK Consumer Confidence, Germany, December 2025

EZ Datanote: GfK Consumer Confidence, Germany, December 2025

In one line: Decent headline, but mixed details.

EZ Datanote: Factory Orders, Germany, October 2025

EZ Datanote: Factory Orders, Germany, October 2025

In one line: Orders rise again, boosted by major orders.

EZ Datanote: GfK Consumer Confidence, Germany, February 2026

EZ Datanote: GfK Consumer Confidence, Germany, February 2026

In one line: Solid details, but will it be sustained?

EZ Datanote: Unemployment, Eurozone, August 2025

EZ Datanote: Unemployment, Eurozone, August 2025

In one line: Nothing to see, the trend is flat.

EZ Datanote: Advance EC Consumer Confidence, Eurozone, November

EZ Datanote: Advance EC Consumer Confidence, Eurozone, November

In one line: Stable in November; spending should pick up regardless.

EZ Datanote: Unemployment, Eurozone, October 2025

EZ Datanote: Unemployment, Eurozone, October 2025

In one line: Steady near record lows.

EZ Datanote: Construction, Eurozone, October 2025

EZ Datanote: Construction, Eurozone, October 2025

In one line: EZ construction likely escaped recession in Q4.

EZ Datanote: Advance EC Consumer Confidence, Eurozone, December 2025

EZ Datanote: Advance EC Consumer Confidence, Eurozone, December 2025

In one line: Little holiday cheer for EZ households at year-end.

EZ Datanote: Advance EC Consumer Confidence, Eurozone, January 2026

EZ Datanote: Advance EC Consumer Confidence, Eurozone, January 2026

In one line: EZ consumers seem to be beating the January blues.

EZ Datanote: Advance EC Consumer Confidence, Eurozone, February 2026

EZ Datanote: Advance EC Consumer Confidence, Eurozone, February 2026

In one line: EZ consumer sentiment up once again, but by only a bit this time.

EZ Datanote: Unemployment, Eurozone, January 2026

EZ Datanote: Unemployment, Eurozone, January 2026

In one line: More hawkish data for EZ short-term bonds to digest.

EZ Datanote: Final Inflation, Eurozone, September 2025

EZ Datanote: Final Inflation, Eurozone, September 2025

In one line: Core is too strong for another rate cut in Q4.

Global Datanote: Final Inflation, Eurozone, September 2025

Global Datanote: Final Inflation, Eurozone, September 2025

In one line: Core is too strong for another rate cut in Q4.

EZ Datanote:  Detailed Inflation, France, October 2025

EZ Datanote: Detailed Inflation, France, October 2025

In one line: Lowest in the Eurozone.

EZ Datanote: Final Inflation, Eurozone, October 2025

EZ Datanote: Final Inflation, Eurozone, October 2025

In one line: Inflation to stay above 2% in Q4.

CHINA+ DATA WRAP 1 December 2025: China's domestic demand stalling

CHINA+ DATA WRAP 1 December 2025: China's domestic demand stalling

RatingDog PMI stung by waning domestic demand, despite buoyant overseas ordersKorean manufacturing index treading water

EZ Datanote: Construction, Eurozone, August 2025

EZ Datanote: Construction, Eurozone, August 2025

In one line: Significant back revisions mean Q3 was likely better than Q2.

EZ Datanote: INSEE Business Confidence, France, October 2025

EZ Datanote: INSEE Business Confidence, France, October 2025

In one line: Punchy headline, but details remain flaky.

EZ Datanote: Construction, Eurozone, September 2025

EZ Datanote: Construction, Eurozone, September 2025

In one line: Construction had a neutral impact on EZ GDP in Q3.

EZ Datanote: ISTAT Business Confidence, Italy, December 2025

EZ Datanote: ISTAT Business Confidence, Italy, December 2025

In one line: Consistent with a pick up in GDP growth in Q4.

Global Datanote: GDP Flash, Switzerland, Q4 2025

Global Datanote: GDP Flash, Switzerland, Q4 2025

In one line: Better than we thought; growth will pick up in Q1.

EM Asia Datanote: GDP, India, Q4

EM Asia Datanote: GDP, India, Q4

In one line: New series paints a more stable picture of recent years; 'statistical discrepancies' no longer a bug-bear.

China+ Webinar June 2023 - What will China do about its Spluttering Economy?

China+ Webinar June 2023 - What will China do about its Spluttering Economy?

How Much Further Does The MPC Need To Go To Suppress Inflation?

China+ Webinar March 2023: China Is Prioritising Domestic Expansion As It Reopens...But How Much Policy Support Is Coming Out Of The NPC

China+ Webinar March 2023: China Is Prioritising Domestic Expansion As It Reopens...But How Much Policy Support Is Coming Out Of The NPC

China Is Prioritising Domestic Expansion As It Reopens...But How Much Policy Support Is Coming Out Of The NPC

China+ Webinar March 2024: Course Correction or More of the Same?

China+ Webinar March 2024: Course Correction or More of the Same?

China's Two Sessions - Course Correction or More of the Same?

China+ Webinar May 2024: China's New Round of Property Easing

China+ Webinar May 2024: China's New Round of Property Easing

China's New Round of Property Easing - Turning Point or Staging Point?

UK Datanote: UK National Accounts, Q2 2025

UK Datanote: UK National Accounts, Q2 2025

In one line: Growth still reliant on government, but business investment growing through the H1 headwinds is an encouraging sign.

PM Datanote: President Boluarte impeached, Peru, Oct 2025

PM Datanote: President Boluarte impeached, Peru, Oct 2025

In one line: President Boluarte removed; uncertainty persists but economy remains resilient.

PM Datanote: US Employment Cost Index, Q3 2025

PM Datanote: US Employment Cost Index, Q3 2025

Much weaker wage growth likely lies ahead.

US Webinar September 2025: Is the Consumer Slowdown Already Over?

US Webinar September 2025: Is the Consumer Slowdown Already Over?

Real Income Outlook Implies Recent Pick-Up is a False Dawn

UK Webinar October 2025: Can the Budget Bring Back Rate Cuts?

UK Webinar October 2025: Can the Budget Bring Back Rate Cuts?

...One More Cut in February, but Inflation is Still Sticky

U.S. Webinar October 2025: How to Take the Economy's Pulse Without Official Data

U.S. Webinar October 2025: How to Take the Economy's Pulse Without Official Data

Only Labour Market Indicators are Worth your Attention

Eurozone Webinar May 2022: How Will EZ Policymakers Respond To Stagflation?

Eurozone Webinar May 2022: How Will EZ Policymakers Respond To Stagflation?

Eurozone Webinar by Claus Vistesen and Melanie Debono

Brace for Chaos and Uncertainty...U.S. Webinar, 26 September, 2023

Brace for Chaos and Uncertainty...U.S. Webinar, 26 September, 2023

Brace for Chaos and Uncertainty...U.S. Webinar, 26 September, 2023

Eurozone Webinar January 2022: Omicron Is Milder Than Delta...But It Will Still Weigh On Growth In Q1

Eurozone Webinar January 2022: Omicron Is Milder Than Delta...But It Will Still Weigh On Growth In Q1

Global Webinar by Ian Shepherdson, Craig Botham, Miguel Chanco, Andres Abadia, Claus Vistesen, and Samuel Tombs.

Eurozone Webinar March 2023: The ECB Is Still Focused On Rising Core Inflation; Is It Making A Policy Error?

Eurozone Webinar March 2023: The ECB Is Still Focused On Rising Core Inflation; Is It Making A Policy Error?

The ECB Is Still Focused On Rising Core Inflation; Is It Making A Policy Error?

EZ Webinar April 2024: What is the Link Between EZ Wage Growth & Inflation?

EZ Webinar April 2024: What is the Link Between EZ Wage Growth & Inflation?

What is the Link Between EZ Wage Growth & Inflation?

EZ Webinar December 2023: When Will the ECB's Message Shift?

EZ Webinar December 2023: When Will the ECB's Message Shift?

EZ Webinar December 2023: When Will the ECB's Message Shift?

EZ Webinar February 2024: Will the SNB Beat the ECB to it on Rate Cuts?

EZ Webinar February 2024: Will the SNB Beat the ECB to it on Rate Cuts?

Switzerland Focus: Will the SNB Beat the ECB to it on Rate Cuts?

Global Webinar January 2023: The Global Economy in 2023 - More Turbulence Ahead, but Inflation will Calm

Global Webinar January 2023: The Global Economy in 2023 - More Turbulence Ahead, but Inflation will Calm

Global Webinar January 2023: The Global Economy in 2023 - More Turbulence Ahead, but Inflation will Calm

Global Webinar November 2023: Who Will Be Easing Next Year, And By How Much?

Global Webinar November 2023: Who Will Be Easing Next Year, And By How Much?

Global Webinar November 2023: Who Will Be Easing Next Year, And By How Much?

Rate Cuts on the Horizon: How soon, and How Big?

Rate Cuts on the Horizon: How soon, and How Big?

Rate Cuts on the Horizon: How soon, and How Big?

U.K. Webinar June 2023: How Much Further Does The MPC Need To Go To Suppress Inflation?

U.K. Webinar June 2023: How Much Further Does The MPC Need To Go To Suppress Inflation?

How Much Further Does The MPC Need To Go To Suppress Inflation?

U.K. Webinar March 2023: Does The MPC Still Need To Trigger A Recession To Get CPI Inflation Sustainably Back To Target?

U.K. Webinar March 2023: Does The MPC Still Need To Trigger A Recession To Get CPI Inflation Sustainably Back To Target?

Does The MPC Still Need To Trigger A Recession To Get CPI Inflation Sustainably Back To Target?

U.S. Webinar April 2023: Recession Incoming...The Labour Market Is Set To Weaken

U.S. Webinar April 2023: Recession Incoming...The Labour Market Is Set To Weaken

Recession Incoming...The Labour Market Is Set To Weaken

U.S. Webinar February 2023: Broad Disinflation Pressure Is Building....Further Hikes Risk An Unnecessary Recession

U.S. Webinar February 2023: Broad Disinflation Pressure Is Building....Further Hikes Risk An Unnecessary Recession

U.S. Webinar February 2023: Broad Disinflation Pressure Is Building....Further Hikes Risk An Unnecessary Recession

U.S. Webinar July 2023: THE FED PROBABLY IS DONE... ...DISINFLATION MOMENTUM IS BUILDING

U.S. Webinar July 2023: THE FED PROBABLY IS DONE... ...DISINFLATION MOMENTUM IS BUILDING

U.S. Webinar July 2023: THE FED PROBABLY IS DONE... ...DISINFLATION MOMENTUM IS BUILDING

U.S. Webinar June 2023: TWO MORE FED HIKES ARE NOT BAKED-IN...PAYROLL GROWTH AND CORE INFLATION ARE SET TO SLOW

U.S. Webinar June 2023: TWO MORE FED HIKES ARE NOT BAKED-IN...PAYROLL GROWTH AND CORE INFLATION ARE SET TO SLOW

TWO MORE FED HIKES ARE NOT BAKED-IN...PAYROLL GROWTH AND CORE INFLATION ARE SET TO SLOW

U.S. Webinar March 2023: This Is Not 2008, But The Crisis Is Deflationary....How Will The Fed Respond?

U.S. Webinar March 2023: This Is Not 2008, But The Crisis Is Deflationary....How Will The Fed Respond?

This Is Not 2008, But The Crisis Is Deflationary....How Will The Fed Respond?

U.S. Webinar May 2023: Recession Risk Is Mostly In The Business Sector...But Consumption Is Slowing Too

U.S. Webinar May 2023: Recession Risk Is Mostly In The Business Sector...But Consumption Is Slowing Too

Recession Risk Is Mostly In The Business Sector...But Consumption Is Slowing Too

UK Webinar December 2023: How Agile Will the MPC be Next Year

UK Webinar December 2023: How Agile Will the MPC be Next Year

UK Webinar December 2023: How Agile Will the MPC be Next Year

US Webinar June 2024: Squeezed Business Credit

US Webinar June 2024: Squeezed Business Credit

Squeezed Business Credit, Cashflow-Constrained Consumers: Bad for Growth, Good for (Dis)Inflation

US Webinar March 2024: The Labor Market will be the Spring Game-Changer...

US Webinar March 2024: The Labor Market will be the Spring Game-Changer...

The Labor Market will be the Spring Game-Changer...What will Happen, and how will the Fed Respond?

US Webinar May 2024: The Labor Market is Starting to Weaken...

US Webinar May 2024: The Labor Market is Starting to Weaken...

The Labor Market is Starting to Weaken...Will it Push the Fed into Action?

 

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