Pantheon Macroeconomics
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147 items tagged "china":
In one line: Another bold rate hike and a continued hawkish stance.
In one line: Another bold rate hike and a continued hawkish stance.
Continuing claims consistent with flat unemployment in January.
In one line: On hold, as uncertainty has increased substantially.
In one line: On hold, as uncertainty has increased substantially.
In one line: Hot, but all eyes on tariffs this morning.
In one line: Private car registrations fall eases in January; the trend should improve in 2025.
In one line: Inflation spikes in January, driven by electricity tariffs.
In one line: Inflation spikes in January, driven by electricity tariffs.
In one line: A good start to the year, supporting further policy normalisation.
In one line: A good start to the year, supporting further policy normalisation.
Post-Trump euphoria already starting to fade.
In one line: Modest January pressures offer little relief to a challenging inflation outlook.
In one line: Modest January pressures offer little relief to a challenging inflation outlook.
Positive near-term revisions offset the subpar January print; a March easing is off the table.
In one line: Positive near-term revisions offset the subpar January print; a March easing is off the table
In one line: Looming end of stamp duty relief causes volatility, longer-term house price outlook still looks solid.
In one line: Employment stagnates but disinflation is over.
In one line: Revisions in healthcare lifts CPI inflation from initial estimate.
The underlying trend in residential construction is flat and likely to turn lower.
In one line: Fiscal pressures pile on the Chancellor as revenues undershoot in January; it will only get worse from here.
In one line: Offsetting base effects all over the place; momentum is solid, otherwise.
Poor track record suggests ADP's resilient picture should be disregarded.
In one line: Inflation held steady, but declines are coming; we are adding a July ECB rate cut.
In one line: Inflation held steady, but declines are coming; we are adding a July ECB rate cut.
In one line: GDP growth slowed at end-2024 despite continued strength in the labour market. ESI points to better times ahead.
In one line: A terrible end to the year, and downside risks have increased.
In one line: A terrible end to the year, and downside risks have increased.
Tariff front-running prompts a surge in consumption; capex hit by Boeing strike.
In one line: A solid end to the year, explaining the cautious tone of the BCCh.
In one line: A trade- and consumption-driven bounce; the economy is still operating below potential.
In one line: Ending 2024 on a strong note, but risks loom for 2025.
In one line: GDP growth pick up in Q1 will prove short-lived as trade uncertainty hits.
In one line: Agricultural rebound masks broad-based weakness.
In one line: Agricultural rebound masks broad-based weakness.
Tariffs distort the numbers, but underlying growth was already slowing in Q1.
In one line: Tariffs distort the numbers, but underlying growth was already slowing in Q1.
In one line: A strong first quarter for the Swiss economy.
In one line: Still consistent with slight slowdown in growth in Q2.
In one line: Boosted by investment, which can't be relied upon post-"Liberation Day".
China+ Webinar with Craig Botham
What's China's Policy Priority for 2024?
How Much Further Does The MPC Need To Go To Suppress Inflation?
China Is Prioritising Domestic Expansion As It Reopens...But How Much Policy Support Is Coming Out Of The NPC
China's Two Sessions - Course Correction or More of the Same?
China's New Round of Property Easing - Turning Point or Staging Point?
Are China's New Property Measures Enough?
Global Webinar by Ian Shepherdson, Craig Botham, Miguel Chanco, Andres Abadia, Claus Vistesen, and Samuel Tombs.
U.S. Webinar with Ian Shepherdson
U.K. Webinar by Samuel Tombs
China+. Webinar by Craig Botham
Global Webinar January 2023: The Global Economy in 2023 - More Turbulence Ahead, but Inflation will Calm
U.S. Webinar February 2023: Broad Disinflation Pressure Is Building....Further Hikes Risk An Unnecessary Recession
Does The MPC Still Need To Trigger A Recession To Get CPI Inflation Sustainably Back To Target?
This Is Not 2008, But The Crisis Is Deflationary....How Will The Fed Respond?
The ECB Is Still Focused On Rising Core Inflation; Is It Making A Policy Error?
Recession Incoming...The Labour Market Is Set To Weaken
Recession Risk Is Mostly In The Business Sector...But Consumption Is Slowing Too
How Much Further Does The MPC Need To Go To Suppress Inflation?
TWO MORE FED HIKES ARE NOT BAKED-IN...PAYROLL GROWTH AND CORE INFLATION ARE SET TO SLOW
Will Italy and Spain Continue to Outperform?
What is the ECB's reaction functions?
U.S. Webinar July 2023: THE FED PROBABLY IS DONE... ...DISINFLATION MOMENTUM IS BUILDING
WHAT NOW FOR THE ECB AND INTEREST RATES IN THE EZ?
Brace for Chaos and Uncertainty...U.S. Webinar, 26 September, 2023
Global Webinar November 2023: Who Will Be Easing Next Year, And By How Much?
UK Webinar December 2023: How Agile Will the MPC be Next Year
EZ Webinar December 2023: When Will the ECB's Message Shift?
Disinflation is Overtaking the Fed's Forecasts...
Inflation Data Say the Fed Should Ease Now...
Switzerland Focus: Will the SNB Beat the ECB to it on Rate Cuts?
The Labor Market will be the Spring Game-Changer...What will Happen, and how will the Fed Respond?
What is the Link Between EZ Wage Growth & Inflation?
The Labor Market is Starting to Weaken...Will it Push the Fed into Action?
Squeezed Business Credit, Cashflow-Constrained Consumers: Bad for Growth, Good for (Dis)Inflation
Rate Cuts and a Cyclical Upturn in the Eurozone
Will Rising Inflation Prevent Further ECB cuts Past September
Rates need to drop a long way to stop sub-2% inflation
How Quickly Will the MPC Cut Bank Rate?
The unemployment rate has further to rise.. Why the Fed's optimism is misplaced
Trick or Treat from the ECB in December?
What has changed since the US election, and what has not?
Is the Fed's easing cycle already over?
The Outlook for Growth and Inflation as Rate Expectations Reset
EZ Webinar 20 February 2025
Will Rising Goods Prices Reignite Overall Inflation?
EZ Webinar 19 March 2025
What of the World After Us "Liberation Day?"
Eurozone Webinar by Claus Vistesen and Melanie Debono
Eurozone Webinar with Claus Vistesen
U.K. Webinar with Samuel Tombs
U.K. Webinar with Samuel Tombs
U.S. Webinar with Ian Shepherdson
U.S. Webinar with Ian Shepherdson
Brace for Chaos and Uncertainty...U.S. Webinar, 26 September, 2023
China+. Webinar by Craig Botham
Global Webinar by Ian Shepherdson, Craig Botham, Miguel Chanco, Andres Abadia, Claus Vistesen, and Samuel Tombs.
What is the ECB's reaction functions?
The ECB Is Still Focused On Rising Core Inflation; Is It Making A Policy Error?
What is the Link Between EZ Wage Growth & Inflation?
EZ Webinar December 2023: When Will the ECB's Message Shift?
Switzerland Focus: Will the SNB Beat the ECB to it on Rate Cuts?
Global Webinar January 2023: The Global Economy in 2023 - More Turbulence Ahead, but Inflation will Calm
Global Webinar November 2023: Who Will Be Easing Next Year, And By How Much?
Will Italy and Spain Continue to Outperform?
U.K. Webinar by Samuel Tombs
How Much Further Does The MPC Need To Go To Suppress Inflation?
Does The MPC Still Need To Trigger A Recession To Get CPI Inflation Sustainably Back To Target?
Recession Incoming...The Labour Market Is Set To Weaken
U.S. Webinar with Ian Shepherdson
U.S. Webinar February 2023: Broad Disinflation Pressure Is Building....Further Hikes Risk An Unnecessary Recession
U.S. Webinar July 2023: THE FED PROBABLY IS DONE... ...DISINFLATION MOMENTUM IS BUILDING
TWO MORE FED HIKES ARE NOT BAKED-IN...PAYROLL GROWTH AND CORE INFLATION ARE SET TO SLOW
This Is Not 2008, But The Crisis Is Deflationary....How Will The Fed Respond?
Recession Risk Is Mostly In The Business Sector...But Consumption Is Slowing Too
UK Webinar December 2023: How Agile Will the MPC be Next Year
Disinflation is Overtaking the Fed's Forecasts...
Inflation Data Say the Fed Should Ease Now...
Squeezed Business Credit, Cashflow-Constrained Consumers: Bad for Growth, Good for (Dis)Inflation
The Labor Market will be the Spring Game-Changer...What will Happen, and how will the Fed Respond?
The Labor Market is Starting to Weaken...Will it Push the Fed into Action?
WHAT NOW FOR THE ECB AND INTEREST RATES IN THE EZ?
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