Pantheon Macroeconomics
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112 items tagged "china":
Overstating the gloom, but a downbeat message nonetheless.
In one line: Consumers' confidence can continue to rise slowly in 2026.
Spending slowdown and further labor market weakness are likely.
In one line: House price inflation will continue to steadily rise over the coming year.
In one line: Autos registrations will continue to rise slowly over the coming year.
Probably overstating the labor market's health.
Above trend due to mild weather and a blip in healthcare jobs.
In one line: Above trend due to mild weather and a blip in healthcare jobs.
In one line: Hiring sentiment has further to improve in Q1.
In one line: Borrowing overshoot shrinks but the Chancellor still has to raise taxes or cut spending by at least £25B.
In one line: A poor Q3, but early Q4 indicators hint at tentative stabilisation.
In one line: A poor Q3, but early Q4 indicators hint at tentative stabilisation.
In one line: Momentum fades as mining weakens, while domestic demand holds firm.
In one line: Growth almost stalls as industry steadies and agriculture rebounds.
In one line: Growth almost stalls as industry steadies and agriculture rebounds.
In one line: Q4 confirms stagnation as tight policy weighs on capex.
In one line: Q4 confirms stagnation as tight policy weighs on capex.
In one line: Decent headline, but mixed details.
In one line: Orders rise again, boosted by major orders.
In one line: Solid details, but will it be sustained?
In one line: Stable in November; spending should pick up regardless.
In one line: EZ construction likely escaped recession in Q4.
In one line: Little holiday cheer for EZ households at year-end.
In one line: EZ consumers seem to be beating the January blues.
In one line: EZ consumer sentiment up once again, but by only a bit this time.
In one line: More hawkish data for EZ short-term bonds to digest.
In one line: Core is too strong for another rate cut in Q4.
In one line: Core is too strong for another rate cut in Q4.
RatingDog PMI stung by waning domestic demand, despite buoyant overseas ordersKorean manufacturing index treading water
In one line: Significant back revisions mean Q3 was likely better than Q2.
In one line: Punchy headline, but details remain flaky.
In one line: Construction had a neutral impact on EZ GDP in Q3.
In one line: Consistent with a pick up in GDP growth in Q4.
In one line: Better than we thought; growth will pick up in Q1.
In one line: New series paints a more stable picture of recent years; 'statistical discrepancies' no longer a bug-bear.
-- Will it Revamp it's Growth Model?
-- Takeaways from the two sessions
China+ Webinar with Craig Botham
What's China's Policy Priority for 2024?
How Much Further Does The MPC Need To Go To Suppress Inflation?
China Is Prioritising Domestic Expansion As It Reopens...But How Much Policy Support Is Coming Out Of The NPC
China's Two Sessions - Course Correction or More of the Same?
China's New Round of Property Easing - Turning Point or Staging Point?
Are China's New Property Measures Enough?
In one line: Growth still reliant on government, but business investment growing through the H1 headwinds is an encouraging sign.
In one line: President Boluarte removed; uncertainty persists but economy remains resilient.
Real Income Outlook Implies Recent Pick-Up is a False Dawn
Eurozone Webinar September 2025
...One More Cut in February, but Inflation is Still Sticky
Only Labour Market Indicators are Worth your Attention
Eurozone Webinar October 2025
Eurozone Webinar December 2025
U.S. Webinar January 2025
Eurozone Webinar January 2026
Eurozone Webinar February 2026
Most Indicators Suggest it Hasn't
Eurozone Webinar by Claus Vistesen and Melanie Debono
Eurozone Webinar with Claus Vistesen
U.K. Webinar with Samuel Tombs
U.K. Webinar with Samuel Tombs
U.S. Webinar with Ian Shepherdson
U.S. Webinar with Ian Shepherdson
Brace for Chaos and Uncertainty...U.S. Webinar, 26 September, 2023
China+. Webinar by Craig Botham
Global Webinar by Ian Shepherdson, Craig Botham, Miguel Chanco, Andres Abadia, Claus Vistesen, and Samuel Tombs.
What is the ECB's reaction functions?
The ECB Is Still Focused On Rising Core Inflation; Is It Making A Policy Error?
What is the Link Between EZ Wage Growth & Inflation?
EZ Webinar December 2023: When Will the ECB's Message Shift?
Switzerland Focus: Will the SNB Beat the ECB to it on Rate Cuts?
Global Webinar January 2023: The Global Economy in 2023 - More Turbulence Ahead, but Inflation will Calm
Global Webinar November 2023: Who Will Be Easing Next Year, And By How Much?
Will Italy and Spain Continue to Outperform?
U.K. Webinar by Samuel Tombs
How Much Further Does The MPC Need To Go To Suppress Inflation?
Does The MPC Still Need To Trigger A Recession To Get CPI Inflation Sustainably Back To Target?
Recession Incoming...The Labour Market Is Set To Weaken
U.S. Webinar with Ian Shepherdson
U.S. Webinar February 2023: Broad Disinflation Pressure Is Building....Further Hikes Risk An Unnecessary Recession
U.S. Webinar July 2023: THE FED PROBABLY IS DONE... ...DISINFLATION MOMENTUM IS BUILDING
TWO MORE FED HIKES ARE NOT BAKED-IN...PAYROLL GROWTH AND CORE INFLATION ARE SET TO SLOW
This Is Not 2008, But The Crisis Is Deflationary....How Will The Fed Respond?
Recession Risk Is Mostly In The Business Sector...But Consumption Is Slowing Too
UK Webinar December 2023: How Agile Will the MPC be Next Year
Disinflation is Overtaking the Fed's Forecasts...
Inflation Data Say the Fed Should Ease Now...
Squeezed Business Credit, Cashflow-Constrained Consumers: Bad for Growth, Good for (Dis)Inflation
The Labor Market will be the Spring Game-Changer...What will Happen, and how will the Fed Respond?
The Labor Market is Starting to Weaken...Will it Push the Fed into Action?
WHAT NOW FOR THE ECB AND INTEREST RATES IN THE EZ?

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