Pantheon Macroeconomics
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117 items tagged "china":
In one line: Consumers' confidence has further to fall in 2026.
In one line: BanRep hikes again, doubling down on credibility.
In one line: BanRep hikes again, doubling down on credibility.
In one line: Job market stable in March, but high inflation will weigh on employment in 2026.
In one line: Growth in autos registrations will ease in the coming months.
In one line: Housing market activity will grind down over the course of 2026.
Small business capex plans drop to a post-GFC low.
In one line: Activity contracted sharply in Q1, and the outlook is difficult.
In one line: Activity contracted sharply in Q1, and the outlook is difficult.
In one line: Growth outside of the tech sector already was anemic ahead of the energy shock.
EM ASIA EXPORTERS END 2025 WITH A GDP BANG...WE RAISE OUR 2026 INDIA CPI FORECAST TO OVER 4%
THAI BALLOT AND HOT Q4 GDP NO SILVER BULLET...INDIA'S 2026/27 BUDGET KICKS THE CAN DOWN THE ROAD
LATAM ACTIVITY STABILISES AS POLICY PATHS DIVERGEDISINFLATION PROVES UNEVEN, WHILE POLITICAL RISK INTENSIFIES
CPI FORECASTS UP ACROSS THE BOARD IN EM ASIA...BUT FROM LOW STARTING POINTS; ONLY SBV SET TO HIKE
IRAN-WAR SHOCK COMPLICATES LATAM EASING CYCLEOIL-DRIVEN INFLATION DELAYS POLICY NORMALISATION
EARLY Q1 GDP NUMBERS SHOW A GENERAL COOLING...BSP AND MAS TIGHTEN IN VIEW OF CPI RISKS
OIL SHOCK FEEDS INTO INFLATION, DELAYING EASING CYCLESDISINFLATION STALLS, CENTRAL BANKS TURN MORE CAUTIOUS
BI SHOCKS WITH A 50BP HIKE; Q1 STRENGTH DUBIOUS...TAIWAN STILL FLYING, BUT DOWNSIDE RISKS ARE RISING
LATAM'S DISINFLATION STORY IS BREAKING DOWNOIL, POLITICS AND FISCAL RISKS KEEP CENTRAL BANKS ON ALERT
In one line: Solid details, but will it be sustained?
In one line: Households already rattled by energy shock; industry yet to report feeling jittery.
In one line: Lifted by a further surge in energy inflation.
In one line: EZ consumers seem to be beating the January blues.
In one line: EZ consumer sentiment up once again, but by only a bit this time.
In one line: More hawkish data for EZ short-term bonds to digest.
In one line: No signs of Germany's infrastructure spending spree before the energy shock.
Iran war hits China via trade channel, but with limited impact
China's credit data indicates areas of stronger activity
China's trade surplus squeezed by tech-led import surge
All that glitters is not gold: China's flawed Q1 GDP print
China rates steady on NIM pressure; ample liquidity cushioning growth
Q1 industrial profits extend strong gains, led by high-tech and energy
Governor Ueda's attempt to 'thread the needle' leaves currency exposed
China's April manufacturing PMIs hint at front-loading by exporters
In one line: Better than we thought; growth will pick up in Q1.
In one line: New series paints a more stable picture of recent years; 'statistical discrepancies' no longer a bug-bear.
In one line: Beats expectations, but this strength won't last
In one line: The energy shock will hurt Italian growth more than other major EZ economies.
Growth outside of the tech sector already was anemic ahead of the energy shock.
In one line: President Boluarte removed; uncertainty persists but economy remains resilient.
-- Will it Revamp it's Growth Model?
-- Takeaways from the two sessions
China+ Webinar with Craig Botham
What's China's Policy Priority for 2024?
How Much Further Does The MPC Need To Go To Suppress Inflation?
China Is Prioritising Domestic Expansion As It Reopens...But How Much Policy Support Is Coming Out Of The NPC
China's Two Sessions - Course Correction or More of the Same?
China's New Round of Property Easing - Turning Point or Staging Point?
Are China's New Property Measures Enough?
Real Income Outlook Implies Recent Pick-Up is a False Dawn
Eurozone Webinar September 2025
...One More Cut in February, but Inflation is Still Sticky
Only Labour Market Indicators are Worth your Attention
Eurozone Webinar October 2025
Eurozone Webinar December 2025
U.S. Webinar January 2025
Eurozone Webinar January 2026
Eurozone Webinar February 2026
Most Indicators Suggest it Hasn't
...The Rest of the Year if the Energy Futures are Sustained
Balance Sheets Can Be Flexed, But Spending Will Slow
Eurozone Webinar April 2026
Eurozone Webinar by Claus Vistesen and Melanie Debono
Eurozone Webinar with Claus Vistesen
U.K. Webinar with Samuel Tombs
U.K. Webinar with Samuel Tombs
U.S. Webinar with Ian Shepherdson
U.S. Webinar with Ian Shepherdson
Brace for Chaos and Uncertainty...U.S. Webinar, 26 September, 2023
China+. Webinar by Craig Botham
Global Webinar by Ian Shepherdson, Craig Botham, Miguel Chanco, Andres Abadia, Claus Vistesen, and Samuel Tombs.
What is the ECB's reaction functions?
The ECB Is Still Focused On Rising Core Inflation; Is It Making A Policy Error?
What is the Link Between EZ Wage Growth & Inflation?
EZ Webinar December 2023: When Will the ECB's Message Shift?
Switzerland Focus: Will the SNB Beat the ECB to it on Rate Cuts?
Global Webinar January 2023: The Global Economy in 2023 - More Turbulence Ahead, but Inflation will Calm
Global Webinar November 2023: Who Will Be Easing Next Year, And By How Much?
Will Italy and Spain Continue to Outperform?
U.K. Webinar by Samuel Tombs
How Much Further Does The MPC Need To Go To Suppress Inflation?
Does The MPC Still Need To Trigger A Recession To Get CPI Inflation Sustainably Back To Target?
Recession Incoming...The Labour Market Is Set To Weaken
U.S. Webinar with Ian Shepherdson
U.S. Webinar February 2023: Broad Disinflation Pressure Is Building....Further Hikes Risk An Unnecessary Recession
U.S. Webinar July 2023: THE FED PROBABLY IS DONE... ...DISINFLATION MOMENTUM IS BUILDING
TWO MORE FED HIKES ARE NOT BAKED-IN...PAYROLL GROWTH AND CORE INFLATION ARE SET TO SLOW
This Is Not 2008, But The Crisis Is Deflationary....How Will The Fed Respond?
Recession Risk Is Mostly In The Business Sector...But Consumption Is Slowing Too
UK Webinar December 2023: How Agile Will the MPC be Next Year
Disinflation is Overtaking the Fed's Forecasts...
Inflation Data Say the Fed Should Ease Now...
Squeezed Business Credit, Cashflow-Constrained Consumers: Bad for Growth, Good for (Dis)Inflation
The Labor Market will be the Spring Game-Changer...What will Happen, and how will the Fed Respond?
The Labor Market is Starting to Weaken...Will it Push the Fed into Action?
WHAT NOW FOR THE ECB AND INTEREST RATES IN THE EZ?

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