Pantheon Macroeconomics

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147 items tagged "china":

Global Datanote: Monetary policy meeting, Brazil, January, 2025

Global Datanote: Monetary policy meeting, Brazil, January, 2025

In one line: Another bold rate hike and a continued hawkish stance.

PM Datanote: Monetary policy meeting, Brazil, January, 2025

PM Datanote: Monetary policy meeting, Brazil, January, 2025

In one line: Another bold rate hike and a continued hawkish stance.

PM Datanote: US Weekly Jobless Claims, January 25

PM Datanote: US Weekly Jobless Claims, January 25

Continuing claims consistent with flat unemployment in January.

PM Datanote: BanRep Announcement, Colombia, January, 2025

PM Datanote: BanRep Announcement, Colombia, January, 2025

In one line: On hold, as uncertainty has increased substantially.

Global Datanote: BanRep Announcement, Colombia, January, 2025

Global Datanote: BanRep Announcement, Colombia, January, 2025

In one line: On hold, as uncertainty has increased substantially.

Global Datanote: Advance Inflation, Eurozone, January 2025

Global Datanote: Advance Inflation, Eurozone, January 2025

In one line: Hot, but all eyes on tariffs this morning.

UK Datanote: UK Car Registrations, January 2025

UK Datanote: UK Car Registrations, January 2025

In one line: Private car registrations fall eases in January; the trend should improve in 2025.

PM Datanote: Inflation, Chile, January, 2025

PM Datanote: Inflation, Chile, January, 2025

In one line: Inflation spikes in January, driven by electricity tariffs.

Global Datanote: Inflation, Chile, January, 2025

Global Datanote: Inflation, Chile, January, 2025

In one line: Inflation spikes in January, driven by electricity tariffs.

Global Datanote: Inflation, Mexico, January, 2025

Global Datanote: Inflation, Mexico, January, 2025

In one line: A good start to the year, supporting further policy normalisation.

PM Datanote: Inflation, Mexico, January, 2025

PM Datanote: Inflation, Mexico, January, 2025

In one line: A good start to the year, supporting further policy normalisation.

PM Datanote: US NFIB Small Business Optimism Survey, January

PM Datanote: US NFIB Small Business Optimism Survey, January

Post-Trump euphoria already starting to fade.

PM Datanote: Inflation, Brazil, January, 2025

PM Datanote: Inflation, Brazil, January, 2025

In one line: Modest January pressures offer little relief to a challenging inflation outlook.

Global Datanote: Inflation, Brazil, January, 2025

Global Datanote: Inflation, Brazil, January, 2025

In one line: Modest January pressures offer little relief to a challenging inflation outlook.

PM Datanote: US Employment, January

PM Datanote: US Employment, January

Positive near-term revisions offset the subpar January print; a March easing is off the table.

Global Datanote: US Employment, January

Global Datanote: US Employment, January

In one line: Positive near-term revisions offset the subpar January print; a March easing is off the table

EZ Datanote: Inflation, Switzerland, January 2025

EZ Datanote: Inflation, Switzerland, January 2025

In one line: Probably nearing a trough now.

UK Datanote: UK RICS Residential Market Survey, January 2025

UK Datanote: UK RICS Residential Market Survey, January 2025

In one line: Looming end of stamp duty relief causes volatility, longer-term house price outlook still looks solid.

UK Datanote: Bank of England Decision Maker Panel, January 2025

UK Datanote: Bank of England Decision Maker Panel, January 2025

In one line: Employment stagnates but disinflation is over.

PM Datanote: Final Inflation, France, January

PM Datanote: Final Inflation, France, January

In one line: Revisions in healthcare lifts CPI inflation from initial estimate.

PM Datanote: US Housing Starts, January

PM Datanote: US Housing Starts, January

The underlying trend in residential construction is flat and likely to turn lower.

UK Datanote: UK Public Finances, January 2025

UK Datanote: UK Public Finances, January 2025

In one line: Fiscal pressures pile on the Chancellor as revenues undershoot in January; it will only get worse from here.

EM Asia Datanote: Core Industries, India, January

EM Asia Datanote: Core Industries, India, January

In one line: Offsetting base effects all over the place; momentum is solid, otherwise.

PM Datanote: US FOMC Minutes, January 28/29

PM Datanote: US FOMC Minutes, January 28/29

Waiting for more disinflation progress to ease again

PM Datanote: US ADP Employment, January

PM Datanote: US ADP Employment, January

Poor track record suggests ADP's resilient picture should be disregarded.

EZ Datanote: Advance Inflation, Eurozone, April 2025 & Unemployment, Eurozone, March 2025

EZ Datanote: Advance Inflation, Eurozone, April 2025 & Unemployment, Eurozone, March 2025

In one line: Inflation held steady, but declines are coming; we are adding a July ECB rate cut.

Global Datanote: Advance Inflation, Eurozone, April 2025 & Unemployment, Eurozone, March 2025

Global Datanote: Advance Inflation, Eurozone, April 2025 & Unemployment, Eurozone, March 2025

In one line: Inflation held steady, but declines are coming; we are adding a July ECB rate cut.

EZ Datanote: Advance GDP, EZ, Q4 2024; Unemployment, EZ, December 2024; ESI, EZ, January 2025

EZ Datanote: Advance GDP, EZ, Q4 2024; Unemployment, EZ, December 2024; ESI, EZ, January 2025

In one line: GDP growth slowed at end-2024 despite continued strength in the labour market. ESI points to better times ahead.

PM Datanote: Advance GDP, Mexico, Q4, 2025

PM Datanote: Advance GDP, Mexico, Q4, 2025

In one line: A terrible end to the year, and downside risks have increased.

Global Datanote: Advance GDP, Mexico, Q4, 2025

Global Datanote: Advance GDP, Mexico, Q4, 2025

In one line: A terrible end to the year, and downside risks have increased.

PM Datanote: US GDP, Q4

PM Datanote: US GDP, Q4

Tariff front-running prompts a surge in consumption; capex hit by Boeing strike.

PM Datanote: Sectoral activity, and Unemployment, Chile, December, 2025

PM Datanote: Sectoral activity, and Unemployment, Chile, December, 2025

In one line: A solid end to the year, explaining the cautious tone of the BCCh.

EZ Datanote: GDP flash, Switzerland, Q4 2024

EZ Datanote: GDP flash, Switzerland, Q4 2024

In one line: Picking up, as expected.

EZ Datanote: GDP, Switzerland, Q4 2024

EZ Datanote: GDP, Switzerland, Q4 2024

In one line: Outperforming the EZ, again.

EM Asia Datanote: GDP, India, Q4

EM Asia Datanote: GDP, India, Q4

In one line: A trade- and consumption-driven bounce; the economy is still operating below potential.

PM Datanote: GDP, Chile, Q4, 2025

PM Datanote: GDP, Chile, Q4, 2025

In one line: Ending 2024 on a strong note, but risks loom for 2025.

EZ Datanote: ISTAT Confidence, Italy, March 2025

EZ Datanote: ISTAT Confidence, Italy, March 2025

In one line: Business sentiment eases.

EZ Datanote: Advance GDP, EZ, Q1 2025

EZ Datanote: Advance GDP, EZ, Q1 2025

In one line: GDP growth pick up in Q1 will prove short-lived as trade uncertainty hits.

PM Datanote: Advance GDP, Mexico, Q1, 2025

PM Datanote: Advance GDP, Mexico, Q1, 2025

In one line: Agricultural rebound masks broad-based weakness.

Global Datanote: Advance GDP, Mexico, Q1, 2025

Global Datanote: Advance GDP, Mexico, Q1, 2025

In one line: Agricultural rebound masks broad-based weakness.

PM Datanote: US Advance GDP, Q1

PM Datanote: US Advance GDP, Q1

Tariffs distort the numbers, but underlying growth was already slowing in Q1.

Global Datanote: Advance GDP, US, Q1, 2025

Global Datanote: Advance GDP, US, Q1, 2025

In one line: Tariffs distort the numbers, but underlying growth was already slowing in Q1.

EZ Datanote: GDP flash, Switzerland, Q1 2025

EZ Datanote: GDP flash, Switzerland, Q1 2025

In one line: A strong first quarter for the Swiss economy.

PM Datanote: GDP, Colombia, Q1, 2025

PM Datanote: GDP, Colombia, Q1, 2025

In one line: Solid start to the year, but risks loom.

PM Datanote: GDP, Chile, Q1, 2025

PM Datanote: GDP, Chile, Q1, 2025

In one line: Q1 growth solid, but momentum set to ease.

EZ Datanote: ISTAT Confidence, Italy, May 2025

EZ Datanote: ISTAT Confidence, Italy, May 2025

In one line: Still consistent with slight slowdown in growth in Q2.

EM Asia Datanote: GDP, India, Q1

EM Asia Datanote: GDP, India, Q1

In one line: Boosted by investment, which can't be relied upon post-"Liberation Day".

China+ Webinar June 2023 - What will China do about its Spluttering Economy?

China+ Webinar June 2023 - What will China do about its Spluttering Economy?

How Much Further Does The MPC Need To Go To Suppress Inflation?

China+ Webinar March 2023: China Is Prioritising Domestic Expansion As It Reopens...But How Much Policy Support Is Coming Out Of The NPC

China+ Webinar March 2023: China Is Prioritising Domestic Expansion As It Reopens...But How Much Policy Support Is Coming Out Of The NPC

China Is Prioritising Domestic Expansion As It Reopens...But How Much Policy Support Is Coming Out Of The NPC

China+ Webinar March 2024: Course Correction or More of the Same?

China+ Webinar March 2024: Course Correction or More of the Same?

China's Two Sessions - Course Correction or More of the Same?

China+ Webinar May 2024: China's New Round of Property Easing

China+ Webinar May 2024: China's New Round of Property Easing

China's New Round of Property Easing - Turning Point or Staging Point?

Eurozone Webinar January 2022: Omicron Is Milder Than Delta...But It Will Still Weigh On Growth In Q1

Eurozone Webinar January 2022: Omicron Is Milder Than Delta...But It Will Still Weigh On Growth In Q1

Global Webinar by Ian Shepherdson, Craig Botham, Miguel Chanco, Andres Abadia, Claus Vistesen, and Samuel Tombs.

Global Webinar January 2023: The Global Economy in 2023 - More Turbulence Ahead, but Inflation will Calm

Global Webinar January 2023: The Global Economy in 2023 - More Turbulence Ahead, but Inflation will Calm

Global Webinar January 2023: The Global Economy in 2023 - More Turbulence Ahead, but Inflation will Calm

U.S. Webinar February 2023: Broad Disinflation Pressure Is Building....Further Hikes Risk An Unnecessary Recession

U.S. Webinar February 2023: Broad Disinflation Pressure Is Building....Further Hikes Risk An Unnecessary Recession

U.S. Webinar February 2023: Broad Disinflation Pressure Is Building....Further Hikes Risk An Unnecessary Recession

U.K. Webinar March 2023: Does The MPC Still Need To Trigger A Recession To Get CPI Inflation Sustainably Back To Target?

U.K. Webinar March 2023: Does The MPC Still Need To Trigger A Recession To Get CPI Inflation Sustainably Back To Target?

Does The MPC Still Need To Trigger A Recession To Get CPI Inflation Sustainably Back To Target?

U.S. Webinar March 2023: This Is Not 2008, But The Crisis Is Deflationary....How Will The Fed Respond?

U.S. Webinar March 2023: This Is Not 2008, But The Crisis Is Deflationary....How Will The Fed Respond?

This Is Not 2008, But The Crisis Is Deflationary....How Will The Fed Respond?

Eurozone Webinar March 2023: The ECB Is Still Focused On Rising Core Inflation; Is It Making A Policy Error?

Eurozone Webinar March 2023: The ECB Is Still Focused On Rising Core Inflation; Is It Making A Policy Error?

The ECB Is Still Focused On Rising Core Inflation; Is It Making A Policy Error?

U.S. Webinar April 2023: Recession Incoming...The Labour Market Is Set To Weaken

U.S. Webinar April 2023: Recession Incoming...The Labour Market Is Set To Weaken

Recession Incoming...The Labour Market Is Set To Weaken

U.S. Webinar May 2023: Recession Risk Is Mostly In The Business Sector...But Consumption Is Slowing Too

U.S. Webinar May 2023: Recession Risk Is Mostly In The Business Sector...But Consumption Is Slowing Too

Recession Risk Is Mostly In The Business Sector...But Consumption Is Slowing Too

U.K. Webinar June 2023: How Much Further Does The MPC Need To Go To Suppress Inflation?

U.K. Webinar June 2023: How Much Further Does The MPC Need To Go To Suppress Inflation?

How Much Further Does The MPC Need To Go To Suppress Inflation?

U.S. Webinar June 2023: TWO MORE FED HIKES ARE NOT BAKED-IN...PAYROLL GROWTH AND CORE INFLATION ARE SET TO SLOW

U.S. Webinar June 2023: TWO MORE FED HIKES ARE NOT BAKED-IN...PAYROLL GROWTH AND CORE INFLATION ARE SET TO SLOW

TWO MORE FED HIKES ARE NOT BAKED-IN...PAYROLL GROWTH AND CORE INFLATION ARE SET TO SLOW

U.S. Webinar July 2023: THE FED PROBABLY IS DONE... ...DISINFLATION MOMENTUM IS BUILDING

U.S. Webinar July 2023: THE FED PROBABLY IS DONE... ...DISINFLATION MOMENTUM IS BUILDING

U.S. Webinar July 2023: THE FED PROBABLY IS DONE... ...DISINFLATION MOMENTUM IS BUILDING

Brace for Chaos and Uncertainty...U.S. Webinar, 26 September, 2023

Brace for Chaos and Uncertainty...U.S. Webinar, 26 September, 2023

Brace for Chaos and Uncertainty...U.S. Webinar, 26 September, 2023

Rate Cuts on the Horizon: How soon, and How Big?

Rate Cuts on the Horizon: How soon, and How Big?

Rate Cuts on the Horizon: How soon, and How Big?

Global Webinar November 2023: Who Will Be Easing Next Year, And By How Much?

Global Webinar November 2023: Who Will Be Easing Next Year, And By How Much?

Global Webinar November 2023: Who Will Be Easing Next Year, And By How Much?

UK Webinar December 2023: How Agile Will the MPC be Next Year

UK Webinar December 2023: How Agile Will the MPC be Next Year

UK Webinar December 2023: How Agile Will the MPC be Next Year

EZ Webinar December 2023: When Will the ECB's Message Shift?

EZ Webinar December 2023: When Will the ECB's Message Shift?

EZ Webinar December 2023: When Will the ECB's Message Shift?

EZ Webinar February 2024: Will the SNB Beat the ECB to it on Rate Cuts?

EZ Webinar February 2024: Will the SNB Beat the ECB to it on Rate Cuts?

Switzerland Focus: Will the SNB Beat the ECB to it on Rate Cuts?

US Webinar March 2024: The Labor Market will be the Spring Game-Changer...

US Webinar March 2024: The Labor Market will be the Spring Game-Changer...

The Labor Market will be the Spring Game-Changer...What will Happen, and how will the Fed Respond?

EZ Webinar April 2024: What is the Link Between EZ Wage Growth & Inflation?

EZ Webinar April 2024: What is the Link Between EZ Wage Growth & Inflation?

What is the Link Between EZ Wage Growth & Inflation?

US Webinar May 2024: The Labor Market is Starting to Weaken...

US Webinar May 2024: The Labor Market is Starting to Weaken...

The Labor Market is Starting to Weaken...Will it Push the Fed into Action?

US Webinar June 2024: Squeezed Business Credit

US Webinar June 2024: Squeezed Business Credit

Squeezed Business Credit, Cashflow-Constrained Consumers: Bad for Growth, Good for (Dis)Inflation

EZ Webinar June 2024 - Rate Cuts and a Cyclical Upturn in the Eurozone

EZ Webinar June 2024 - Rate Cuts and a Cyclical Upturn in the Eurozone

Rate Cuts and a Cyclical Upturn in the Eurozone

EZ Webinar September 2024 - Will Rising Inflation Prevent Further ECB Cuts Past September

EZ Webinar September 2024 - Will Rising Inflation Prevent Further ECB Cuts Past September

Will Rising Inflation Prevent Further ECB cuts Past September

US Webinar September 2024 - The Powell Pivot is not Enough

US Webinar September 2024 - The Powell Pivot is not Enough

Rates need to drop a long way to stop sub-2% inflation

US Webinar October 2024 The Unemployment Rate has Further to Rise

US Webinar October 2024 The Unemployment Rate has Further to Rise

The unemployment rate has further to rise.. Why the Fed's optimism is misplaced

Global Webinar November 2024: The World in 2025

Global Webinar November 2024: The World in 2025

What has changed since the US election, and what has not?

EZ Webinar January 2025 - The ECB's Policy Tightrope

EZ Webinar January 2025 - The ECB's Policy Tightrope

The Outlook for Growth and Inflation as Rate Expectations Reset

US Webinar February 2025 - Disinflation at a Crossroads

US Webinar February 2025 - Disinflation at a Crossroads

Will Rising Goods Prices Reignite Overall Inflation?

Eurozone Webinar May 2022: How Will EZ Policymakers Respond To Stagflation?

Eurozone Webinar May 2022: How Will EZ Policymakers Respond To Stagflation?

Eurozone Webinar by Claus Vistesen and Melanie Debono

Brace for Chaos and Uncertainty...U.S. Webinar, 26 September, 2023

Brace for Chaos and Uncertainty...U.S. Webinar, 26 September, 2023

Brace for Chaos and Uncertainty...U.S. Webinar, 26 September, 2023

Eurozone Webinar January 2022: Omicron Is Milder Than Delta...But It Will Still Weigh On Growth In Q1

Eurozone Webinar January 2022: Omicron Is Milder Than Delta...But It Will Still Weigh On Growth In Q1

Global Webinar by Ian Shepherdson, Craig Botham, Miguel Chanco, Andres Abadia, Claus Vistesen, and Samuel Tombs.

Eurozone Webinar March 2023: The ECB Is Still Focused On Rising Core Inflation; Is It Making A Policy Error?

Eurozone Webinar March 2023: The ECB Is Still Focused On Rising Core Inflation; Is It Making A Policy Error?

The ECB Is Still Focused On Rising Core Inflation; Is It Making A Policy Error?

EZ Webinar April 2024: What is the Link Between EZ Wage Growth & Inflation?

EZ Webinar April 2024: What is the Link Between EZ Wage Growth & Inflation?

What is the Link Between EZ Wage Growth & Inflation?

EZ Webinar December 2023: When Will the ECB's Message Shift?

EZ Webinar December 2023: When Will the ECB's Message Shift?

EZ Webinar December 2023: When Will the ECB's Message Shift?

EZ Webinar February 2024: Will the SNB Beat the ECB to it on Rate Cuts?

EZ Webinar February 2024: Will the SNB Beat the ECB to it on Rate Cuts?

Switzerland Focus: Will the SNB Beat the ECB to it on Rate Cuts?

Global Webinar January 2023: The Global Economy in 2023 - More Turbulence Ahead, but Inflation will Calm

Global Webinar January 2023: The Global Economy in 2023 - More Turbulence Ahead, but Inflation will Calm

Global Webinar January 2023: The Global Economy in 2023 - More Turbulence Ahead, but Inflation will Calm

Global Webinar November 2023: Who Will Be Easing Next Year, And By How Much?

Global Webinar November 2023: Who Will Be Easing Next Year, And By How Much?

Global Webinar November 2023: Who Will Be Easing Next Year, And By How Much?

Rate Cuts on the Horizon: How soon, and How Big?

Rate Cuts on the Horizon: How soon, and How Big?

Rate Cuts on the Horizon: How soon, and How Big?

U.K. Webinar June 2023: How Much Further Does The MPC Need To Go To Suppress Inflation?

U.K. Webinar June 2023: How Much Further Does The MPC Need To Go To Suppress Inflation?

How Much Further Does The MPC Need To Go To Suppress Inflation?

U.K. Webinar March 2023: Does The MPC Still Need To Trigger A Recession To Get CPI Inflation Sustainably Back To Target?

U.K. Webinar March 2023: Does The MPC Still Need To Trigger A Recession To Get CPI Inflation Sustainably Back To Target?

Does The MPC Still Need To Trigger A Recession To Get CPI Inflation Sustainably Back To Target?

U.S. Webinar April 2023: Recession Incoming...The Labour Market Is Set To Weaken

U.S. Webinar April 2023: Recession Incoming...The Labour Market Is Set To Weaken

Recession Incoming...The Labour Market Is Set To Weaken

U.S. Webinar February 2023: Broad Disinflation Pressure Is Building....Further Hikes Risk An Unnecessary Recession

U.S. Webinar February 2023: Broad Disinflation Pressure Is Building....Further Hikes Risk An Unnecessary Recession

U.S. Webinar February 2023: Broad Disinflation Pressure Is Building....Further Hikes Risk An Unnecessary Recession

U.S. Webinar July 2023: THE FED PROBABLY IS DONE... ...DISINFLATION MOMENTUM IS BUILDING

U.S. Webinar July 2023: THE FED PROBABLY IS DONE... ...DISINFLATION MOMENTUM IS BUILDING

U.S. Webinar July 2023: THE FED PROBABLY IS DONE... ...DISINFLATION MOMENTUM IS BUILDING

U.S. Webinar June 2023: TWO MORE FED HIKES ARE NOT BAKED-IN...PAYROLL GROWTH AND CORE INFLATION ARE SET TO SLOW

U.S. Webinar June 2023: TWO MORE FED HIKES ARE NOT BAKED-IN...PAYROLL GROWTH AND CORE INFLATION ARE SET TO SLOW

TWO MORE FED HIKES ARE NOT BAKED-IN...PAYROLL GROWTH AND CORE INFLATION ARE SET TO SLOW

U.S. Webinar March 2023: This Is Not 2008, But The Crisis Is Deflationary....How Will The Fed Respond?

U.S. Webinar March 2023: This Is Not 2008, But The Crisis Is Deflationary....How Will The Fed Respond?

This Is Not 2008, But The Crisis Is Deflationary....How Will The Fed Respond?

U.S. Webinar May 2023: Recession Risk Is Mostly In The Business Sector...But Consumption Is Slowing Too

U.S. Webinar May 2023: Recession Risk Is Mostly In The Business Sector...But Consumption Is Slowing Too

Recession Risk Is Mostly In The Business Sector...But Consumption Is Slowing Too

UK Webinar December 2023: How Agile Will the MPC be Next Year

UK Webinar December 2023: How Agile Will the MPC be Next Year

UK Webinar December 2023: How Agile Will the MPC be Next Year

US Webinar June 2024: Squeezed Business Credit

US Webinar June 2024: Squeezed Business Credit

Squeezed Business Credit, Cashflow-Constrained Consumers: Bad for Growth, Good for (Dis)Inflation

US Webinar March 2024: The Labor Market will be the Spring Game-Changer...

US Webinar March 2024: The Labor Market will be the Spring Game-Changer...

The Labor Market will be the Spring Game-Changer...What will Happen, and how will the Fed Respond?

US Webinar May 2024: The Labor Market is Starting to Weaken...

US Webinar May 2024: The Labor Market is Starting to Weaken...

The Labor Market is Starting to Weaken...Will it Push the Fed into Action?

 

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