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12th Apr 2022 00:20U.S., Daily Monitor

Both headline and core inflation peaked in March; base effect alone will trigger a clear drop in Q2.

The risks to the March core consensus are mostly to the downside, thanks to falling used vehicle prices.

The NFIB index likely dropped again in March; it’s sensitive to the stock market and gas prices.

airline fares apparel core goods core inflation food prices fuel gasoline gasoline prices headline inflation hiring intentions inflation easing January labor labor market March margin compression nfib index oil oil prices payroll payroll growth real spending rents stock market supply chain vehicles

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Keywords for: Inflation Peak Arrives; the Downshift Could be Disorientingly Fast

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