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2nd Dec 2022 15:06U.S., Weekly Monitor

  • Strong payrolls and wages mean December’s 50bp hike will be followed by another on February 1.
  • Rising layoffs and slowing hiring suggest payroll growth will soften in the first quarter.
  • A shift in the labor data and a run of better inflation reports should allow the Fed to hold fire in March.

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Keywords for: 5 Dec 2022 US Monitor

Pantheon Macro, Pantheon Macroeconomics, independent macro research, independent research, ian shepherdson, economic intelligence