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27th Jun 2023 10:45U.S., Daily Monitor

  • High-yield spreads are far below levels usually associated with recessions, but expect them to widen…
  • …Excess liquidity compressed spreads, and it is draining away as QT continues and bank lending falls.
  • Gains in core durable goods orders look unsustainable; net foreign trade set to hit Q2 GDP growth.

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Keywords for: 28 June 2023 US Monitor

Pantheon Macro, Pantheon Macroeconomics, independent macro research, independent research, ian shepherdson, economic intelligence