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26th Aug 2025 11:26USDaily Monitor

  • We look for a mere 75K rise in payrolls, despite the rebound in stock prices and decline in tariff uncertainty.
  • Reliable surveys of hiring intentions have remained weak; consumers report worsening job availability.
  • A rise in the unemployment rate to 4.3% in August is likely too, given the latest continuing claims data. 

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Keywords for: 28 August 2025 US Monitor

independent macro research, Pantheon Macro, Pantheon Macroeconomics, independent research, ian shepherdson, economic intelligence