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21st Dec 2023 19:16US, Daily Monitor

  • We think the core PCE deflator rose by only 0.11% in November; the trend is slowing sharply.
  • Consumers’ spending is still rising, but the rate of growth is moderating after the Q3 jump.
  • Aircraft and autos likely lifted November orders, but expect a soft core.

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Keywords for: 22 December 2023 US Monitor

Pantheon Macro, Pantheon Macroeconomics, independent macro research, independent research, ian shepherdson, economic intelligence