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17th Jul 2025 09:07USWeekly Monitor

  • The jump in June education jobs is more likely to be revised away than to unwind over coming months.
  • June education jobs were revised down in 2022, 2023 and 2024; no other data corroborate the 2025 jump.
  • A structural break following a mid-2024 methodology change makes the Michigan survey hard to believe.

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Keywords for: 21 July 2025 US Monitor

independent macro research, Pantheon Macro, Pantheon Macroeconomics, independent research, ian shepherdson, economic intelligence