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31st Oct 2023 19:12US, Daily Monitor

  • The Fed preserves optionality, but two rounds of softer jobs and CPI data should keep them on hold.
  • Unit labor costs growth is slowing sharply, signalling low inflation once the Covid echoes fade.
  • Unexpectedly weak ISM manufacturing signals a renewed slowdown and an inventory correction. 

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Keywords for: 2 November 2023 US Monitor

Pantheon Macro, Pantheon Macroeconomics, independent macro research, independent research, ian shepherdson, economic intelligence