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11th Sep 2025 17:49USWeekly Monitor
  • A 25bp easing this week is highly likely, but the vote probably will be split three ways.
  • Committee members are still divided on whether rising inflation or unemployment is the bigger risk...
  • ...That discord will rule out clear guidance on future easing, though markets will still price-in a big shift.

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Keywords for: 15 September 2025 US Monitor

independent macro research, Pantheon Macro, Pantheon Macroeconomics, independent research, ian shepherdson, economic intelligence