Pantheon Macroeconomics

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1st Feb 2017 04:00U.S., Economic Monitor

We're expecting the FOMC to vote unanimously not raise rates today, but we do expect a modestly hawkish tilt in the statement. Specifically, we're expecting an acknowledgment of the upturn in business investment reported in the Q4 GDP data, and of the increase in market-based measures of inflation expectations, given that 10-year TIPS breakevens are now above 2% for the first time since September 2014.

fomc payroll payroll growth adp manufacturing ism gdp ism employment nfib hiring intentions nfib adp employment growth auto auto sales consumer spending consumers spending consumer confidence

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Keywords for: 1 February 2017 Expect a Slightly More Hawkish FOMC Tone, to Keep March Alive

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