Pantheon Macroeconomics

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U.S. Publications

Below is a list of our U.S. Publications for the last 6 months. If you are looking for reports older than 6 months please email info@pantheonmacro.com, or contact your account rep

Please use the filters on the right to search for a specific date or topic.

summer

7 May 2021 April Payrolls Likely Rose at a Solid Pace, but Bigger Gains are Coming

April Payrolls Likely Rose at a Solid Pace, but Bigger Gains are Coming

Ian Shepherdson (Chief Economist and Founder)7th May 2021 00:20U.S.

27 Apr 2021 Core Capital Goods Orders aren't Softening, it Just Looks that Way

Core Capital Goods Orders aren't Softening, it Just Looks that Way

Ian Shepherdson (Chief Economist and Founder)27th Apr 2021 00:30U.S.

23 Apr 2021 Layoffs are Falling Fast;,Returning to Previous Norms by the Summer

Layoffs are Falling Fast;,Returning to Previous Norms by the Summer

Ian Shepherdson (Chief Economist and Founder)23rd Apr 2021 00:20U.S.

21 Apr 2021 A Capital Stock Rebuild and Rising R-star is Still a Good Post-Covid Bet

A Capital Stock Rebuild and Rising R-star is Still a Good Post-Covid Bet

Ian Shepherdson (Chief Economist and Founder)21st Apr 2021 00:20U.S.

31 Mar 2021 Upside Risk for March ADP Jobs as Small Firms' Hiring Accelerates

Upside Risk for March ADP Jobs as Small Firms' Hiring Accelerates

Ian Shepherdson (Chief Economist and Founder)31st Mar 2021 00:20U.S.

4 Mar 2021 ISM Services Prices Point to Inflation Beyond Mere Base Effects

The startling jump in the ISM services price index is the main story from the survey, released yesterday, not the modest and likely temporary dip in the headline index.

Ian Shepherdson (Chief Economist and Founder)4th Mar 2021 00:20U.S.

11 Feb 2021 Core Inflation won't Surge Until After Covid is Gone, but Watch Rents

Core Inflation won't Surge Until After Covid is Gone, but Watch Rents

Ian Shepherdson (Chief Economist and Founder)11th Feb 2021 00:20U.S.

22 Jan 2021 All the Key Housing Metrics Have Flattened, Except Prices

Most people buy homes--new and existing--with mortgage finance, so it follows that mortgage demand ought to lead the sales numbers.

Ian Shepherdson (Chief Economist and Founder)22nd Jan 2021 00:20U.S.

20 Jan 2021 Don't Worry About the Dip in Savings Balances, They're Still Huge

Don't Worry About the Dip in Savings Balances, They're Still Huge

Ian Shepherdson (Chief Economist and Founder)20th Jan 2021 00:20U.S.

4 Jan 2021 Covid Cases Surging Post-Holiday, but they won't Beyond Mid-month

While we were out, confirmed U.S. Covid-19 cases fell as Christmas approached—the seven-day average hit a three-week low on December 28—but they have since rebounded...

Ian Shepherdson (Chief Economist and Founder)24th Dec 2020 12:32U.S.

17 Dec 2020 Opportunity Missed as the FOMC Leaves QE Unchanged

The Fed disappointed markets yesterday, by choosing not to increase the weighted average maturity--WAM--of its Treasury purchases.

Ian Shepherdson (Chief Economist and Founder)16th Dec 2020 22:20U.S.

14 Dec 2020 Soaring Margins Could Drive Inflation if Demand Explodes Post-Covid

The conventional way to model U.S. inflation a year or two ahead is to start with a projection for the rate of increase of unit labor costs, and then tweak it to account for...

Ian Shepherdson (Chief Economist and Founder)14th Dec 2020 00:20U.S.

3 Dec 2020 What does ADP Tell us About November's Official Jobs Data

November's 307K increase in the ADP measure of private payrolls report was much stronger than we expected, but below the 440K consensus.

Ian Shepherdson (Chief Economist and Founder)3rd Dec 2020 00:10U.S.

6 Nov 2020 Powell Begs for More Fiscal Action, but More QE is Coming, Either Way

The Fed's inaction yesterday was no surprise, but it doesn't necessarily tell us anything about what will happen over the next few months.

Ian Shepherdson (Chief Economist and Founder)6th Nov 2020 00:10U.S.

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