Pantheon Macroeconomics

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U.S. Publications

Below is a list of our U.S. Publications for the last 6 months. If you are looking for reports older than 6 months please email info@pantheonmacro.com, or contact your account rep

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savings

21 Apr 2021 A Capital Stock Rebuild and Rising R-star is Still a Good Post-Covid Bet

A Capital Stock Rebuild and Rising R-star is Still a Good Post-Covid Bet

Ian Shepherdson (Chief Economist and Founder)21st Apr 2021 00:20U.S.

25 Mar 2021 Rejigged Fed Data Show People's Cash Balances Still Huge, and Rising

Rejigged Fed Data Show People's Cash Balances Still Huge, and Rising

Ian Shepherdson (Chief Economist and Founder)25th Mar 2021 00:20U.S.

22 Feb 2021 Higher Spending on Services After Covid won't hurt Spending on Goods

Higher Spending on Services After Covid won't hurt Spending on Goods

Ian Shepherdson (Chief Economist and Founder)22nd Feb 2021 00:30U.S.

19 Feb 2021 Higher-Income People's Spending is Limited by Opportunity, not Cashflow

Higher-Income People's Spending is Limited by Opportunity, not Cashflow

Ian Shepherdson (Chief Economist and Founder)19th Feb 2021 00:20U.S.

20 Jan 2021 Don't Worry About the Dip in Savings Balances, They're Still Huge

Don't Worry About the Dip in Savings Balances, They're Still Huge

Ian Shepherdson (Chief Economist and Founder)20th Jan 2021 00:20U.S.

12 Jan 2021 Watch Small Firms' Selling Prices for Clues to Post-Covid Inflation

Watch Small Firms' Selling Prices for Clues to Post-Covid Inflation

Ian Shepherdson (Chief Economist and Founder)12th Jan 2021 00:20U.S.

24 Dec 2020 Look Behind the Headlines for the Real Stories in the Latest Data

This is the final U.S. Monitor for 2020, a year we'll be thrilled to leave behind.

Ian Shepherdson (Chief Economist and Founder)24th Dec 2020 00:20U.S.

21 Dec 2020 A Bill Beats No Bill, but it Could have been so Much Better

Any Covid relief bill is better than no Covid relief bill, but the measures set to be passed by Congress after our Sunday deadline do not represent the most efficient use of the...

Ian Shepherdson (Chief Economist and Founder)21st Dec 2020 00:20U.S.

18 Dec 2020 A Post-Covid Jump in Inflation Might be "Transient", but it Might Not

Fed Chair Powell argued in his press conference Wednesday that any increase in inflation when the economy re-opens likely will be short-lived.

Ian Shepherdson (Chief Economist and Founder)18th Dec 2020 00:20U.S.

15 Dec 2020 Manufacturing is Recovering, but not in a Straight Line

The industrial economy continues to recover, buoyed by a combination of strong domestic demand for goods, both consumer and capital, including anything housing-related, and the...

Ian Shepherdson (Chief Economist and Founder)15th Dec 2020 00:20U.S.

9 Dec 2020 Will Mortgage Demand Surge Again Post-Covid?

Most of the time, we don't pay too much attention to the weekly mortgage applications numbers from the Mortgage Bankers Association, because the noise-to- signal ratio is too...

Ian Shepherdson (Chief Economist and Founder)9th Dec 2020 00:20U.S.

3 Dec 2020 What does ADP Tell us About November's Official Jobs Data

November's 307K increase in the ADP measure of private payrolls report was much stronger than we expected, but below the 440K consensus.

Ian Shepherdson (Chief Economist and Founder)3rd Dec 2020 00:10U.S.

2 Dec 2020 The Bipartisan Covid Relief Bill is Welcome, but not Certain to Pass

The release yesterday of a $908B Covid relief bill, put together by a bipartisan group of senators, is good news.

Ian Shepherdson (Chief Economist and Founder)2nd Dec 2020 00:20U.S.

1 Dec 2020 Help is Needed for the Unemployed, but the Employed Drive Growth

While we wait to see the extent to which Thanksgiving travel and family gatherings interrupted the emerging downshift in U.S. Covid cases, this week brings a ton of new data on...

Ian Shepherdson (Chief Economist and Founder)1st Dec 2020 00:20U.S.

30 Nov 2020 The Services Sector is Weakening, can Spending on Goods Save Q4?

You've probably read several media stories by now reporting that retail spending over the Thanksgiving weekend was up, down, or unchanged from a year ago, based on credit card...

Ian Shepherdson (Chief Economist and Founder)30th Nov 2020 00:20U.S.

23 Nov 2020 Increased QE More Likely After the Treasury Kills Fed Lending Programs

The unilateral decision of Treasury Secretary Mnuchin to allow a slew of Fed emergency lending programs to close to new borrowers on December 31, despite Fed objections, increases...

Ian Shepherdson (Chief Economist and Founder)23rd Nov 2020 00:20U.S.

18 Nov 2020 The Restaurant Recovery Stalled in October, Reversal in November

After five straight months of gains, during which the food service component of retail sales recovered 73% of the ground lost in March and April, during the initial Covid...

Ian Shepherdson (Chief Economist and Founder)18th Nov 2020 00:20U.S.

12 Nov 2020 The 2021 Inflation Outlook is Very Uncertain

We remain resolutely open-minded about the medium-term inflation outlook, on the straightforward grounds that the post-Covid economy will bear little resemblance to any previous...

Ian Shepherdson (Chief Economist and Founder)12th Nov 2020 00:10U.S.

10 Nov 2020 The Post-Covid Era is no Longer Just a Dream, but it's Not Here Yet

Pfizer's announcement yesterday provided the answer to the--rhetorical--question we've been asking for months: Do you want to be short equities the day we learn...

Ian Shepherdson (Chief Economist and Founder)9th Nov 2020 22:40U.S.

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