Pantheon Macroeconomics

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U.S. Publications

Below is a list of our U.S. Publications for the last 6 months. If you are looking for reports older than 6 months please email info@pantheonmacro.com, or contact your account rep

Please use the filters on the right to search for a specific date or topic.

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28 July 2021 Expect a Light Touch from the Fed Today, and Some Delta Nerves

Chair Powell will stick to his lines today, and will add that the Fed is closely watching the march of Delta. Most states appear to be short of the 85% immunity required to...

Ian Shepherdson (Chief Economist and Founder)U.S.

22 July 2021 Core CPI Inflation to Settle Above Core PCE as Rents Accelerate

For most of the decade before the pandemic, core CPI inflation ran a few tenths higher than core PCE inflation, mostly because rents, which are twice as important in the core CPI,...

Ian Shepherdson (Chief Economist and Founder)U.S.

11 Dec 2020 The Core CPI Rebounded in November Despite Flat Rents

Both the jobless claims and CPI numbers released yesterday behaved as we expected at the headline level, but some of the CPI details were surprising and, perhaps, ominous.

Ian Shepherdson (Chief Economist and Founder)U.S.

10 Dec 2020 Upside Risk for Jobless Claims, Last Week's Drop was Seasonal Noise

Most of the pre-release focus in markets this morning will be on the November CPI, but we see potential for more excitement over the weekly initial jobless claims numbers, where...

Ian Shepherdson (Chief Economist and Founder)U.S.

16 Nov 2020 Expect Rolling Restrictions and Lockdowns, Covid is Out of Control

The story of the next few weeks will be a gradual and uneven--but unambiguous--tightening of anti-Covid restrictions across the country.

Ian Shepherdson (Chief Economist and Founder)U.S.

13 Nov 2020 Banks Threatened to Turn the Screws on Borrowers, but Haven't

The Fed's Senior Loan Officer Surveys in April and July were deeply alarming, signaling that banks were aggressively tightening lending standards for firms of all sizes.

Ian Shepherdson (Chief Economist and Founder)U.S.

12 Nov 2020 The 2021 Inflation Outlook is Very Uncertain

We remain resolutely open-minded about the medium-term inflation outlook, on the straightforward grounds that the post-Covid economy will bear little resemblance to any previous...

Ian Shepherdson (Chief Economist and Founder)U.S.

28 Oct 2020 What's Really Happening to Home Prices--and What's Coming Next

The best way to answer the perennially vexed question of what's happening to home prices is to take a deep breath and cite a range, given that the four main measures of prices...

Ian Shepherdson (Chief Economist and Founder)U.S.

14 Oct 2020 CPI Cross-Currents are Hard to Read, but Rent Slowdown is Key

The overarching theme in the September CPI numbers is that there is no overarching theme.

Ian Shepherdson (Chief Economist and Founder)U.S.

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