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Stimulus Payments Likely Boosted Retail Sales in January
16th Feb 2021 18:20U.S.
Watch Small Firms' Selling Prices for Clues to Post-Covid Inflation
11th Jan 2021 18:20U.S.
This is the final U.S. Monitor for 2020, a year we'll be thrilled to leave behind.
23rd Dec 2020 18:20U.S.
Small business owners--at least, those who are members of the NFIB and respond to its monthly survey--were delighted by the election of President Trump in November 2016.
7th Dec 2020 18:20U.S.
You've probably read several media stories by now reporting that retail spending over the Thanksgiving weekend was up, down, or unchanged from a year ago, based on credit card...
29th Nov 2020 18:20U.S.
Before the Covid pandemic struck, the mix-adjusted measure of wages and salaries in the employment costs index was trending up by about 3.0% year-over-year.
29th Oct 2020 19:10U.S.
The best way to answer the perennially vexed question of what's happening to home prices is to take a deep breath and cite a range, given that the four main measures of prices...
27th Oct 2020 19:10U.S.
We're expecting to learn today that shipments of core capital goods jumped at a 33% annualized rate in the third quarter, a record increase, and more than reversing the 19.7%...
26th Oct 2020 19:10U.S.
Back in the olden days, we argued that shifts in the global manufacturing cycle often originated in China, and then fed into the U.S. and European data with a lag of one-to-three...
25th Oct 2020 19:10U.S.
All the key measures of retail sales have returned to the trends in place before the Covid pandemic, thanks to the enhanced unemployment benefits paid to people who lost their...
15th Oct 2020 19:20U.S.
We remain bullish on the near-term outlook for the housing market, but momentum in the mortgage applications numbers has faded a bit in recent weeks.
21st Sep 2020 19:20U.S.
Momentum in the rebound in economic activity has faded over the past couple months, housing and auto sales aside.
14th Sep 2020 19:20U.S.
After two hefty month-to-month increases, durable goods orders ex-transportation now stand only 3.9% below their January pre-Covid peak.
25th Aug 2020 17:10U.S.
We have been bullish about the housing market for some time now--since Google searches for "new homes" and mortgage demand began to pick up, in late April--but...
24th Aug 2020 17:10U.S.
The final Monitor before our summer break is characterized by great uncertainty.
6th Aug 2020 19:10U.S.
Our hopes of another solid increase in payrolls in July were severely dented by yesterday's ADP report, showing that private payrolls rose only 167K in July.
5th Aug 2020 19:10U.S.
The advance indicators of July payrolls are wildly contradictory, so you should be prepared for anything from a consensus-busting jump to a renewed outright drop, in both...
4th Aug 2020 19:10U.S.
Under normal circumstances, sustained ISM manufacturing readings around the July level, 54.2, would be consistent with GDP growth of about 2% year-over-year.
3rd Aug 2020 19:20U.S.
We remain very bullish on the housing market, given sustained 11-year highs in applications for new mortgages to finance house purchase.
21st Jul 2020 19:20U.S.
The weekly initial jobless claims numbers have been a useful proxy for the real-time performance of the economy since Covid-19 struck.
15th Jul 2020 19:10U.S.
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