Pantheon Macroeconomics

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U.S. Publications

Below is a list of our U.S. Publications for the last 6 months. If you are looking for reports older than 6 months please email info@pantheonmacro.com, or contact your account rep

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23 Apr 2021 Layoffs are Falling Fast;,Returning to Previous Norms by the Summer

Layoffs are Falling Fast;,Returning to Previous Norms by the Summer

Ian Shepherdson (Chief Economist and Founder)23rd Apr 2021 00:20U.S.

16 Mar 2021 Did Stimulus Payments Offset the Storm Hit to February Retail Sales

Did Stimulus Payments Offset the Storm Hit to February Retail Sales

Ian Shepherdson (Chief Economist and Founder)16th Mar 2021 00:30U.S.

11 Mar 2021 The $1.9T Covid Bill will be Visible in the Macro Data Very Quickly

The $1.9T Covid Bill will be Visible in the Macro Data Very Quickly

Ian Shepherdson (Chief Economist and Founder)11th Mar 2021 00:20U.S.

1 Mar 2021. Stocks don't Need to Keep Falling on the Back of Higher Yields

1 Mar 2021. Stocks don't Need to Keep Falling on the Back of Higher Yields

Ian Shepherdson (Chief Economist and Founder)1st Mar 2021 00:30U.S.

7 Jan 2021 The Biden Administration is Still Constrained, Despite Georgia Wins

Everything has changed in Washington after the Democrats won the Georgia Senate runoff elections, except the need to find 60 votes for fiscal measures which can't be passed...

Ian Shepherdson (Chief Economist and Founder)7th Jan 2021 00:20U.S.

6 Jan 2021 ISM Prices Paid Lifted by Oil Prices, the Real Inflation Risk is Elsewhere

We are not unduly concerned by the jump in theISM manufacturing prices paid index in January, toits highest level since May 2018.

Ian Shepherdson (Chief Economist and Founder)6th Jan 2021 00:20U.S.

24 Dec 2020 Look Behind the Headlines for the Real Stories in the Latest Data

This is the final U.S. Monitor for 2020, a year we'll be thrilled to leave behind.

Ian Shepherdson (Chief Economist and Founder)24th Dec 2020 00:20U.S.

17 Dec 2020 Opportunity Missed as the FOMC Leaves QE Unchanged

The Fed disappointed markets yesterday, by choosing not to increase the weighted average maturity--WAM--of its Treasury purchases.

Ian Shepherdson (Chief Economist and Founder)16th Dec 2020 22:20U.S.

16 Dec 2020 QE Curve Extension is a Decent Bet Today, Increased Purchases in '21

In the absence of hints from senior Fed officials that a major change to the QE program is imminent, we would be surprised today if the Fed increases the pace of purchases from...

Ian Shepherdson (Chief Economist and Founder)15th Dec 2020 22:20U.S.

14 Dec 2020 Soaring Margins Could Drive Inflation if Demand Explodes Post-Covid

The conventional way to model U.S. inflation a year or two ahead is to start with a projection for the rate of increase of unit labor costs, and then tweak it to account for...

Ian Shepherdson (Chief Economist and Founder)14th Dec 2020 00:20U.S.

3 Dec 2020 What does ADP Tell us About November's Official Jobs Data

November's 307K increase in the ADP measure of private payrolls report was much stronger than we expected, but below the 440K consensus.

Ian Shepherdson (Chief Economist and Founder)3rd Dec 2020 00:10U.S.

3 Nov 2020 Mr. Trump Might be Re-Elected, but the Odds are Against Him

It's entirely possible that Donald Trump will be re-elected today, but it is not very likely. The FiveThirtyEight model--the only one to give Mr. Trump much chance in...

Ian Shepherdson (Chief Economist and Founder)3rd Nov 2020 00:20U.S.

30 Oct 2020 What's Happening to Wages?

Before the Covid pandemic struck, the mix-adjusted measure of wages and salaries in the employment costs index was trending up by about 3.0% year-over-year.

Ian Shepherdson (Chief Economist and Founder)30th Oct 2020 00:10U.S.

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