Pantheon Macroeconomics

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U.S. Publications

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employment

5 Mar 2021 Payrolls Likely Rose Modestly in February; Bigger Gains are Coming

We expect to see a 300K increase in February payrolls reported today, a bit better than the 195K consensus but barely visible against the 10½M shortfall compared to the level...

Ian Shepherdson (Chief Economist and Founder)5th Mar 2021 03:19U.S.

4 Mar 2021 ISM Services Prices Point to Inflation Beyond Mere Base Effects

The startling jump in the ISM services price index is the main story from the survey, released yesterday, not the modest and likely temporary dip in the headline index.

Ian Shepherdson (Chief Economist and Founder)3rd Mar 2021 19:20U.S.

3 Mar 2021 ADP Likely to Signal Stronger Payrolls in February

3 Mar 2021 ADP Likely to Signal Stronger Payrolls in February

Ian Shepherdson (Chief Economist and Founder)2nd Mar 2021 19:20U.S.

2 Mar 2021 The Services Sector is Stirring as Covid Cases Plunge

2 Mar 2021 The Services Sector is Stirring as Covid Cases Plunge

Ian Shepherdson (Chief Economist and Founder)1st Mar 2021 19:30U.S.

24 Feb 2021 No Crack in the Fed Facade as Powell Emphasizes Risk and Uncertainties

24 Feb 2021 No Crack in the Fed Facade as Powell Emphasizes Risk and Uncertainties

Ian Shepherdson (Chief Economist and Founder)23rd Feb 2021 19:20U.S.

11 Feb 2021 Core Inflation won't Surge Until After Covid is Gone, but Watch Rents

Core Inflation won't Surge Until After Covid is Gone, but Watch Rents

Ian Shepherdson (Chief Economist and Founder)10th Feb 2021 19:20U.S.

US Datanote: U.S. Personal Income and Spending, December and Employment costs index, Q4 2020

U.S. Personal Income and Spending, December, Employment costs index, Q4 2020

Ian Shepherdson (Chief Economist and Founder)29th Jan 2021 11:08U.S.

22 Jan 2021 All the Key Housing Metrics Have Flattened, Except Prices

Most people buy homes--new and existing--with mortgage finance, so it follows that mortgage demand ought to lead the sales numbers.

Ian Shepherdson (Chief Economist and Founder)21st Jan 2021 19:20U.S.

21 Jan 2021 Jobless Claims Set to Drop; Last Week's Spike was a Seasonal Fluke

The spike in initial jobless claims last week was merely a correction after a run of below-trend readings, and we expect it to reverse over the next couple weeks. 

Ian Shepherdson (Chief Economist and Founder)20th Jan 2021 19:20U.S.

12 Jan 2021 Watch Small Firms' Selling Prices for Clues to Post-Covid Inflation

Watch Small Firms' Selling Prices for Clues to Post-Covid Inflation

Ian Shepherdson (Chief Economist and Founder)11th Jan 2021 19:20U.S.

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