Pantheon Macroeconomics

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U.S. Publications

Below is a list of our U.S. Publications for the last 6 months. If you are looking for reports older than 6 months please email info@pantheonmacro.com, or contact your account rep

Please use the filters on the right to search for a specific date or topic.

Economic Monitor durable goods

15 June 2021 Brace for Rising Covid Cases as the Delta Variant Takes Hold

We have to talk about Covid again, unfortunately. The downward trend in U.S. cases appears to be over, for now, following a 94% drop from the January peak. 

Ian Shepherdson (Chief Economist and Founder)15th Jun 2021 00:30U.S.

4 June 2021 ADP Likely Overstates May Payrolls, Homebase Data are Softer, Again

We still look for a 550K May headline payroll print today, with private payrolls up 500K, despite the 978K ADP reading yesterday.

Ian Shepherdson (Chief Economist and Founder)4th Jun 2021 00:20U.S.

3 June 2021 May ADP Payrolls Likely Constrained by the April Softness in Official Data

ADP hugely overstated the official payroll number in April, compounding the shock in markets from the 266K headline print, with private payrolls up only 218K.

Ian Shepherdson (Chief Economist and Founder)3rd Jun 2021 00:20U.S.

2 June 2021 Will Auto Sales Jump as Businesses Buy Again and Chip Shortages Ease

After two months of upside surprises, most auto industry publications expect today's May headline sales number to drop quite sharply, 

Ian Shepherdson (Chief Economist and Founder)2nd Jun 2021 00:20U.S.

28 May 2021 Core PCE Inflation is Headed for 3%- plus, but Probably not in April

Core PCE Inflation is Headed for 3%- plus, but Probably not in April

Ian Shepherdson (Chief Economist and Founder)28th May 2021 00:20U.S.

27 Apr 2021 Core Capital Goods Orders aren't Softening, it Just Looks that Way

Core Capital Goods Orders aren't Softening, it Just Looks that Way

Ian Shepherdson (Chief Economist and Founder)27th Apr 2021 00:30U.S.

15 Apr 2021 Upside Risk for March Retail Sales as Stimulus Money Flows into Stores

Upside Risk for March Retail Sales as Stimulus Money Flows into Stores

Ian Shepherdson (Chief Economist and Founder)15th Apr 2021 00:20U.S.

22 Feb 2021 Higher Spending on Services After Covid won't hurt Spending on Goods

Higher Spending on Services After Covid won't hurt Spending on Goods

Ian Shepherdson (Chief Economist and Founder)22nd Feb 2021 00:30U.S.

16 Dec 2020 QE Curve Extension is a Decent Bet Today, Increased Purchases in '21

In the absence of hints from senior Fed officials that a major change to the QE program is imminent, we would be surprised today if the Fed increases the pace of purchases from...

Ian Shepherdson (Chief Economist and Founder)15th Dec 2020 22:20U.S.

15 Dec 2020 Manufacturing is Recovering, but not in a Straight Line

The industrial economy continues to recover, buoyed by a combination of strong domestic demand for goods, both consumer and capital, including anything housing-related, and the...

Ian Shepherdson (Chief Economist and Founder)15th Dec 2020 00:20U.S.

9 Dec 2020 Will Mortgage Demand Surge Again Post-Covid?

Most of the time, we don't pay too much attention to the weekly mortgage applications numbers from the Mortgage Bankers Association, because the noise-to- signal ratio is too...

Ian Shepherdson (Chief Economist and Founder)9th Dec 2020 00:20U.S.

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