Pantheon Macroeconomics

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U.S. Publications

Below is a list of our U.S. Publications for the last 6 months. If you are looking for reports older than 6 months please email info@pantheonmacro.com, or contact your account rep

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25 Mar 2021 Rejigged Fed Data Show People's Cash Balances Still Huge, and Rising

Rejigged Fed Data Show People's Cash Balances Still Huge, and Rising

Ian Shepherdson (Chief Economist and Founder)25th Mar 2021 00:20U.S.

22 Feb 2021 Higher Spending on Services After Covid won't hurt Spending on Goods

Higher Spending on Services After Covid won't hurt Spending on Goods

Ian Shepherdson (Chief Economist and Founder)22nd Feb 2021 00:30U.S.

20 Jan 2021 Don't Worry About the Dip in Savings Balances, They're Still Huge

Don't Worry About the Dip in Savings Balances, They're Still Huge

Ian Shepherdson (Chief Economist and Founder)20th Jan 2021 00:20U.S.

12 Jan 2021 Watch Small Firms' Selling Prices for Clues to Post-Covid Inflation

Watch Small Firms' Selling Prices for Clues to Post-Covid Inflation

Ian Shepherdson (Chief Economist and Founder)12th Jan 2021 00:20U.S.

24 Dec 2020 Look Behind the Headlines for the Real Stories in the Latest Data

This is the final U.S. Monitor for 2020, a year we'll be thrilled to leave behind.

Ian Shepherdson (Chief Economist and Founder)24th Dec 2020 00:20U.S.

21 Dec 2020 A Bill Beats No Bill, but it Could have been so Much Better

Any Covid relief bill is better than no Covid relief bill, but the measures set to be passed by Congress after our Sunday deadline do not represent the most efficient use of the...

Ian Shepherdson (Chief Economist and Founder)21st Dec 2020 00:20U.S.

18 Dec 2020 A Post-Covid Jump in Inflation Might be "Transient", but it Might Not

Fed Chair Powell argued in his press conference Wednesday that any increase in inflation when the economy re-opens likely will be short-lived.

Ian Shepherdson (Chief Economist and Founder)18th Dec 2020 00:20U.S.

23 Nov 2020 Increased QE More Likely After the Treasury Kills Fed Lending Programs

The unilateral decision of Treasury Secretary Mnuchin to allow a slew of Fed emergency lending programs to close to new borrowers on December 31, despite Fed objections, increases...

Ian Shepherdson (Chief Economist and Founder)23rd Nov 2020 00:20U.S.

18 Nov 2020 The Restaurant Recovery Stalled in October, Reversal in November

After five straight months of gains, during which the food service component of retail sales recovered 73% of the ground lost in March and April, during the initial Covid...

Ian Shepherdson (Chief Economist and Founder)18th Nov 2020 00:20U.S.

2 Nov 2020 The Covid Surge is Accelerating

After 99.3K new Covid cases on Friday and 81.2K Saturday, and a further 1,279K net new hospitalizations, the U.S. is beginning to look alarmingly like several large European...

Ian Shepherdson (Chief Economist and Founder)2nd Nov 2020 00:20U.S.

19 Oct 2020 The Big Threat to Q4 Consumption is Covid, not Consumers' Cashflow

The third quarter ended with a bit of a bang for retailers, with sales rising strongly, even in the woebegone department store sector. The apparent loss of momentum in July and...

Ian Shepherdson (Chief Economist and Founder)19th Oct 2020 00:20U.S.

2 Oct 2020 Decent September Payrolls don't Guarantee a Repeat in October

We look for a 950K increase in September private payrolls, more than the 700K or so implied by the Homebase daily employment data but consistent with ADP, assuming it has...

Ian Shepherdson (Chief Economist and Founder)2nd Oct 2020 00:20U.S.

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