Pantheon Macroeconomics

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U.S. Publications

Below is a list of our U.S. Publications for the last 6 months. If you are looking for reports older than 6 months please email info@pantheonmacro.com, or contact your account rep

Please use the filters on the right to search for a specific date or topic.

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4 May 2021 Manufacturing Growth has Peaked, for now; Inflation Pressure has not

Manufacturing Growth has Peaked, for now; Inflation Pressure has not

Ian Shepherdson (Chief Economist and Founder)4th May 2021 00:30U.S.

30 Apr 2021 The Biden Agenda is Startlingly Ambitious, Achievability is Unclear

The Biden Agenda is Startlingly Ambitious, Achievability is Unclear

Ian Shepherdson (Chief Economist and Founder)30th Apr 2021 00:20U.S.

5 Mar 2021 Payrolls Likely Rose Modestly in February; Bigger Gains are Coming

We expect to see a 300K increase in February payrolls reported today, a bit better than the 195K consensus but barely visible against the 10½M shortfall compared to the level...

Ian Shepherdson (Chief Economist and Founder)5th Mar 2021 08:19U.S.

3 Mar 2021 ADP Likely to Signal Stronger Payrolls in February

3 Mar 2021 ADP Likely to Signal Stronger Payrolls in February

Ian Shepherdson (Chief Economist and Founder)3rd Mar 2021 00:20U.S.

24 Feb 2021 No Crack in the Fed Facade as Powell Emphasizes Risk and Uncertainties

24 Feb 2021 No Crack in the Fed Facade as Powell Emphasizes Risk and Uncertainties

Ian Shepherdson (Chief Economist and Founder)24th Feb 2021 00:20U.S.

19 Feb 2021 Higher-Income People's Spending is Limited by Opportunity, not Cashflow

Higher-Income People's Spending is Limited by Opportunity, not Cashflow

Ian Shepherdson (Chief Economist and Founder)19th Feb 2021 00:20U.S.

22 Jan 2021 All the Key Housing Metrics Have Flattened, Except Prices

Most people buy homes--new and existing--with mortgage finance, so it follows that mortgage demand ought to lead the sales numbers.

Ian Shepherdson (Chief Economist and Founder)22nd Jan 2021 00:20U.S.

21 Jan 2021 Jobless Claims Set to Drop; Last Week's Spike was a Seasonal Fluke

The spike in initial jobless claims last week was merely a correction after a run of below-trend readings, and we expect it to reverse over the next couple weeks. 

Ian Shepherdson (Chief Economist and Founder)21st Jan 2021 00:20U.S.

7 Jan 2021 The Biden Administration is Still Constrained, Despite Georgia Wins

Everything has changed in Washington after the Democrats won the Georgia Senate runoff elections, except the need to find 60 votes for fiscal measures which can't be passed...

Ian Shepherdson (Chief Economist and Founder)7th Jan 2021 00:20U.S.

19 Nov 2020 More Evidence Signals a Slowing Housing Rebound, but no Relapse

It's tempting to think, in the wake of yesterday's strong October housing starts numbers and the dip in mortgage rates to record lows, that the market will continue to...

Ian Shepherdson (Chief Economist and Founder)19th Nov 2020 00:10U.S.

18 Nov 2020 The Restaurant Recovery Stalled in October, Reversal in November

After five straight months of gains, during which the food service component of retail sales recovered 73% of the ground lost in March and April, during the initial Covid...

Ian Shepherdson (Chief Economist and Founder)18th Nov 2020 00:20U.S.

9 Nov 2020 October Payrolls were Good, but Nothing Like Good Enough

October payrolls surprised us to the upside, prompting a wave of chatter from the commentariat to the effect that the labor market is healing. Well, it was healing, in the week...

Ian Shepherdson (Chief Economist and Founder)9th Nov 2020 00:20U.S.

28 Oct 2020 What's Really Happening to Home Prices--and What's Coming Next

The best way to answer the perennially vexed question of what's happening to home prices is to take a deep breath and cite a range, given that the four main measures of prices...

Ian Shepherdson (Chief Economist and Founder)28th Oct 2020 00:10U.S.

27 Oct 2020 Capex Orders and Shipments Still Rising, but Momentum is Easing

We're expecting to learn today that shipments of core capital goods jumped at a 33% annualized rate in the third quarter, a record increase, and more than reversing the 19.7%...

Ian Shepherdson (Chief Economist and Founder)27th Oct 2020 00:10U.S.

21 Oct 2020 No Stimulus Deal Yet, but the Clock has not Yet Run Down Completely

As we reach our deadline on Tuesday afternoon, Eastern time, no agreement has been reached between Treasury Secretary Mnuchin and House Speaker Pelosi on the next Covid relief...

Ian Shepherdson (Chief Economist and Founder)21st Oct 2020 00:10U.S.

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