Pantheon Macroeconomics
Best viewed on a device with a bigger screen...
Below is a list of our US Publications for the last 6 months. If you are looking for reports older than 6 months please email info@pantheonmacro.com, or contact your account rep
Please use the filters on the right to search for a specific date or topic.
Growth in services spending has slowed only modestly, but a sharper decline lies ahead.
No preemptive layoffs by tariff-afflicted firms, but cuts are likely when sales struggle.
No real sign yet of tariff-linked layoffs.
Clear signs of an underlying consumer slowdown.
Challenger data point to a big rise in claims this spring.
Still set for decent spending growth in Q1 overall, but a slowdown looms further ahead.
Decision-making on hold until the federal policy outlook becomes clearer.
DOGE layoffs not a big issue for claims just yet.
Trend still low for now; leading indicators paint a mixed picture.
Poor track record suggests ADP’s resilient picture should be disregarded.
Continuing claims consistent with flat unemployment in January.
Claims are noisy at the turn of the year; forward-looking indicators point to a renewed rise ahead.
U.S. Document Vault, independent macro research, Pantheon Macro, Pantheon Macroeconomics, independent research, ian shepherdson, economic intelligence,