Pantheon Macroeconomics

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U.S. Publications

Below is a list of our U.S. Publications for the last 6 months. If you are looking for reports older than 6 months please email info@pantheonmacro.com, or contact your account rep

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United States Credit

23 July 2021 Don't Worry About the Contraction in C&I Lending, this is not 2008 Redux

A defining feature of the aftermath of the 2008 financial crisis was a sustained decline in the stock of bank lending to businesses.

Ian Shepherdson (Chief Economist and Founder)23rd Jul 2021 00:20U.S.

8 July 2021 Does Trimmed Mean Inflation Signal Broader Trouble Ahead

The Dallas Fed last week published a short blog post--seehere--focused on the predictive power of their trimmed mean PCE inflation measure. 

Ian Shepherdson (Chief Economist and Founder)8th Jul 2021 00:20U.S.

24 June 2021 No End in Sight to the Surge in Orders for Capital Goods

A solid increase in aircraft orders and a rebound in the auto component likely will flatter the headline May durable goods orders number today--we look for a 3.0% increase, close...

Ian Shepherdson (Chief Economist and Founder)24th Jun 2021 00:20U.S.

15 Mar 2021 Deeply Embedded Low Inflation Psychology didn't End Well in the 60s

Deeply Embedded Low Inflation Psychology didn't End Well in the 60s

Ian Shepherdson (Chief Economist and Founder)15th Mar 2021 00:30U.S.

5 Mar 2021 Payrolls Likely Rose Modestly in February; Bigger Gains are Coming

We expect to see a 300K increase in February payrolls reported today, a bit better than the 195K consensus but barely visible against the 10½M shortfall compared to the level...

Ian Shepherdson (Chief Economist and Founder)5th Mar 2021 08:19U.S.

2 Mar 2021 The Services Sector is Stirring as Covid Cases Plunge

2 Mar 2021 The Services Sector is Stirring as Covid Cases Plunge

Ian Shepherdson (Chief Economist and Founder)2nd Mar 2021 00:30U.S.

25 Jan 2021 Could a Margin Spike Translate into Sustained Inflation? Watch Wages

Could a Margin Spike Translate into Sustained Inflation? Watch Wages

Ian Shepherdson (Chief Economist and Founder)25th Jan 2021 00:20U.S.

12 Jan 2021 Watch Small Firms' Selling Prices for Clues to Post-Covid Inflation

Watch Small Firms' Selling Prices for Clues to Post-Covid Inflation

Ian Shepherdson (Chief Economist and Founder)12th Jan 2021 00:20U.S.

30 Nov 2020 The Services Sector is Weakening, can Spending on Goods Save Q4?

You've probably read several media stories by now reporting that retail spending over the Thanksgiving weekend was up, down, or unchanged from a year ago, based on credit card...

Ian Shepherdson (Chief Economist and Founder)30th Nov 2020 00:20U.S.

23 Nov 2020 Increased QE More Likely After the Treasury Kills Fed Lending Programs

The unilateral decision of Treasury Secretary Mnuchin to allow a slew of Fed emergency lending programs to close to new borrowers on December 31, despite Fed objections, increases...

Ian Shepherdson (Chief Economist and Founder)23rd Nov 2020 00:20U.S.

19 Nov 2020 More Evidence Signals a Slowing Housing Rebound, but no Relapse

It's tempting to think, in the wake of yesterday's strong October housing starts numbers and the dip in mortgage rates to record lows, that the market will continue to...

Ian Shepherdson (Chief Economist and Founder)19th Nov 2020 00:10U.S.

13 Nov 2020 Banks Threatened to Turn the Screws on Borrowers, but Haven't

The Fed's Senior Loan Officer Surveys in April and July were deeply alarming, signaling that banks were aggressively tightening lending standards for firms of all sizes.

Ian Shepherdson (Chief Economist and Founder)13th Nov 2020 00:20U.S.

21 Oct 2020 No Stimulus Deal Yet, but the Clock has not Yet Run Down Completely

As we reach our deadline on Tuesday afternoon, Eastern time, no agreement has been reached between Treasury Secretary Mnuchin and House Speaker Pelosi on the next Covid relief...

Ian Shepherdson (Chief Economist and Founder)21st Oct 2020 00:10U.S.

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