Pantheon Macroeconomics

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U.S. Publications

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Fed

5 Mar 2021 Payrolls Likely Rose Modestly in February; Bigger Gains are Coming

We expect to see a 300K increase in February payrolls reported today, a bit better than the 195K consensus but barely visible against the 10½M shortfall compared to the level...

Ian Shepherdson (Chief Economist and Founder)5th Mar 2021 03:19U.S.

4 Mar 2021 ISM Services Prices Point to Inflation Beyond Mere Base Effects

The startling jump in the ISM services price index is the main story from the survey, released yesterday, not the modest and likely temporary dip in the headline index.

Ian Shepherdson (Chief Economist and Founder)3rd Mar 2021 19:20U.S.

1 Mar 2021. Stocks don't Need to Keep Falling on the Back of Higher Yields

1 Mar 2021. Stocks don't Need to Keep Falling on the Back of Higher Yields

Ian Shepherdson (Chief Economist and Founder)28th Feb 2021 19:30U.S.

24 Feb 2021 No Crack in the Fed Facade as Powell Emphasizes Risk and Uncertainties

24 Feb 2021 No Crack in the Fed Facade as Powell Emphasizes Risk and Uncertainties

Ian Shepherdson (Chief Economist and Founder)23rd Feb 2021 19:20U.S.

23 February 2021 Chair Powell won't Give an Inch Today, too Soon for Taper Talk

23 February 2021 Chair Powell won't Give an Inch Today, too Soon for Taper Talk

Ian Shepherdson (Chief Economist and Founder)22nd Feb 2021 08:32U.S.

25 Jan 2021 Could a Margin Spike Translate into Sustained Inflation? Watch Wages

Could a Margin Spike Translate into Sustained Inflation? Watch Wages

Ian Shepherdson (Chief Economist and Founder)24th Jan 2021 19:20U.S.

21 Jan 2021 Jobless Claims Set to Drop; Last Week's Spike was a Seasonal Fluke

The spike in initial jobless claims last week was merely a correction after a run of below-trend readings, and we expect it to reverse over the next couple weeks. 

Ian Shepherdson (Chief Economist and Founder)20th Jan 2021 19:20U.S.

20 Jan 2021 Don't Worry About the Dip in Savings Balances, They're Still Huge

Don't Worry About the Dip in Savings Balances, They're Still Huge

Ian Shepherdson (Chief Economist and Founder)19th Jan 2021 19:20U.S.

12 Jan 2021 Watch Small Firms' Selling Prices for Clues to Post-Covid Inflation

Watch Small Firms' Selling Prices for Clues to Post-Covid Inflation

Ian Shepherdson (Chief Economist and Founder)11th Jan 2021 19:20U.S.

24 Dec 2020 Look Behind the Headlines for the Real Stories in the Latest Data

This is the final U.S. Monitor for 2020, a year we'll be thrilled to leave behind.

Ian Shepherdson (Chief Economist and Founder)23rd Dec 2020 19:20U.S.

18 Dec 2020 A Post-Covid Jump in Inflation Might be "Transient", but it Might Not

Fed Chair Powell argued in his press conference Wednesday that any increase in inflation when the economy re-opens likely will be short-lived.

Ian Shepherdson (Chief Economist and Founder)17th Dec 2020 19:20U.S.

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