Pantheon Macroeconomics
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Below is a list of our US Publications for the last 5 months. If you are looking for reports older than 5 months please email info@pantheonmacro.com, or contact your account rep
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Trade and inventories data leave a negative Q1 GDP print looking far more likely.
Growth in services spending has slowed only modestly, but a sharper decline lies ahead.
Tariffs distort the numbers, but underlying growth was already slowing in Q1.
No preemptive layoffs by tariff-afflicted firms, but cuts are likely when sales struggle.
No real sign yet of tariff-linked layoffs.
Further signs of uncertainty weighing on housing.
Pre-tariff jump in manufacturing output likely to reverse sharply.
A slump in manufacturing activity and surge in goods inflation lies ahead.
STAGNATION AHEAD, AS THE TARIFFS HIT REAL INCOMES…
Confidence crumbling even before "Liberation Day".
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